Skip to main content
← Premier League

Police - Ulinzi Stars

Premier League September 18, 2026 14:00
Police
#10 · 0 pts
vs
Ulinzi Stars
#2 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Police
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Ulinzi Stars
1.03
Expected xG
1.15

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.66%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Police a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Ulinzi Stars. Expected goals are 1.0 for Police and 1.2 for Ulinzi Stars (total 2.2), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.66% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Police have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Ulinzi Stars.

Season Stats

Police
6W 8D 1L
Ulinzi Stars
7W 3D 5L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
1.2
0.5
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
73%
20%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
53%
53%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
5%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Police
4W 6D 0L · at home
Ulinzi Stars
4W 1D 5L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.0
0.7
Conceded
1.1
40%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
50%
20%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
10%
70%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Police Ulinzi Stars →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3% 13.0% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.4% 7.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.0% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% —
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Police Police
D Homeboyz 1–1
D Kariobangi Sharks 1–1
D Nairobi United 0–0
D GOR Mahia 1–1
W Murang'a SEAL 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
W Posta Rangers FC 0–1
W Tusker 2–0
W Mathare United 2–1
L AFC Leopards 0–2
D Shabana 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Police Police
Attack
12
Defence
45
Form
30
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
Attack
17
Defence
39
Form
28
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Police
2
Draw
0
Ulinzi Stars
15 Feb 2026 Premier League 1–1
1 Oct 2025 Premier League 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Mathare United Mathare United 0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 0 0
3 Tusker Tusker 0 0
4 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 0 0
5 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 0 0
6 KCB KCB 0 0
7 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 0 0
8 Bandari Bandari 0 0
9 Homeboyz Homeboyz 0 0
10 Police Police 0 0
11 Migori Youth Migori Youth 0 0
12 Shabana Shabana 0 0
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 0 0
14 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 0 0
15 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 0 0
16 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 0 0
17 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0 0
18 3K 3K 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
The model gives Police a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Ulinzi Stars win.
How many goals are expected in Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Expected goals: Police 1.0, Ulinzi Stars 1.2 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.66%.