Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce
I Liga
August 07, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.2%
Win
Polonia Bytom
31.0%
Draw
30.8%
Win
Pogoń Siedlce
2.1
1.16
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.49%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
31%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
62%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Polonia Bytom a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Siedlce. Expected goals are 2.1 for Polonia Bytom and 1.2 for Pogoń Siedlce (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.49% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Polonia Bytom have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pogoń Siedlce.
Season Stats
4W
4D
7L
3W
3D
9L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.8
1.9
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
40%
87%
BTTS
47%
7%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in I Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
3W
4D
3L
· at home
1W
3D
6L
· away
1.7
gls/g
0.4
1.7
Conceded
1.5
30%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
20%
50%
O 3.5
10%
80%
BTTS
20%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Polonia Bytom
Pogoń Siedlce →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Polonia Bytom
Attack
34
Defence
31
Form
31
Pogoń Siedlce
Attack
14
Defence
36
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arka Gdynia
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
|
2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Nieciecza
|
2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Polonia Warszawa
|
2 | 6 |
| 5 |
Miedz Legnica
|
2 | 4 |
| 6 |
Stal Mielec
|
2 | 4 |
| 7 |
ŁKS Łódź
|
2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Chrobry Głogów
|
2 | 3 |
| 9 |
Warta Poznań
|
2 | 3 |
| 10 |
Polonia Bytom
|
2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Odra Opole
|
2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Podbeskidzie
|
2 | 2 |
| 13 |
Pogoń Siedlce
|
2 | 1 |
| 14 |
Puszcza Niepołomice
|
2 | 0 |
| 15 |
Unia Skierniewice
|
2 | 0 |
| 16 |
Ruch Chorzów
|
2 | 0 |
| 17 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
2 | 0 |
| 18 |
Stal Rzeszów
|
2 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
The model gives Polonia Bytom a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Pogoń Siedlce win.
How many goals are expected in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Expected goals: Polonia Bytom 2.1, Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.49%.