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Polonia Bytom - Pogoń Siedlce

I Liga August 07, 2026 18:00
#10 · 3 pts
vs
#13 · 1 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.2%
Win
Polonia Bytom
31.0%
Draw
30.8%
Win
Pogoń Siedlce
2.1
Expected xG
1.16

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.49%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 62%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Polonia Bytom a 38% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Pogoń Siedlce. Expected goals are 2.1 for Polonia Bytom and 1.2 for Pogoń Siedlce (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.49% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Polonia Bytom have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Pogoń Siedlce.

Season Stats

Polonia Bytom
4W 4D 7L
Pogoń Siedlce
3W 3D 9L
Averages per game
1.7
Goals
0.8
1.9
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
40%
87%
BTTS
47%
7%
Clean Sht
20%
Based on the last 15 matches in I Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Polonia Bytom
3W 4D 3L · at home
Pogoń Siedlce
1W 3D 6L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.4
1.7
Conceded
1.5
30%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
40%
90%
O 1.5
70%
50%
O 2.5
20%
50%
O 3.5
10%
80%
BTTS
20%
10%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Polonia Bytom Pogoń Siedlce →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.0% 9.3% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 5.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

L ŁKS Łódź 2–1
W Warta Poznań 4–3
L Stal Mielec 4–1
L Slask Wroclaw 1–3
W Znicz Pruszków 1–4
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
L Nieciecza 1–2
D ŁKS Łódź 1–1
L Wisla Krakow 2–0
L Stal Mielec 1–3
L Stal Rzeszów 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom
Attack
34
Defence
31
Form
31
Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce
Attack
14
Defence
36
Form
22
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Polonia Bytom
1
Draw
1
Pogoń Siedlce
22 Feb 2026 I Liga 1–1
17 Aug 2025 I Liga 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
The model gives Polonia Bytom a 38% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 30% for an Pogoń Siedlce win.
How many goals are expected in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
Expected goals: Polonia Bytom 2.1, Pogoń Siedlce 1.2 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Polonia Bytom vs Pogoń Siedlce?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.49%.