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Polonia Warszawa - Ruch Chorzów

I Liga August 07, 2026 20:30
Polonia Warszawa
#4 · 6 pts
vs
Ruch Chorzów
#16 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.73%
Win
Polonia Warszawa
31.63%
Draw
34.64%
Win
Ruch Chorzów
1.16
Expected xG
1.63

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.6%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 32%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 66%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ruch Chorzów a 34% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Polonia Warszawa. Expected goals are 1.2 for Polonia Warszawa and 1.6 for Ruch Chorzów (total 2.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.6% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Polonia Warszawa have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Ruch Chorzów.

Season Stats

Polonia Warszawa
7W 1D 7L
Ruch Chorzów
6W 4D 5L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.5
1.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
73%
O 1.5
87%
60%
O 2.5
47%
60%
BTTS
53%
20%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in I Liga. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Polonia Warszawa
5W 2D 3L · at home
Ruch Chorzów
5W 2D 3L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.1
50%
Win %
50%
70%
Win or Draw
70%
60%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
40%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Polonia Warszawa Ruch Chorzów →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2% 10.1% 8.2% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
1 7.1% 11.6% 9.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.1% 6.7% 5.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
3 1.6% 2.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa
W Unia Skierniewice 3–1
W Puszcza Niepołomice 0–1
L Wieczysta Kraków 3–2
W Odra Opole 1–2
L Wisla Krakow 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Ruch Chorzów Ruch Chorzów
L Miedz Legnica 0–2
L Nieciecza 2–0
L Znicz Pruszków 3–2
W Miedz Legnica 1–2
W Tychy 71 0–4
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa
Attack
23
Defence
42
Form
35
Ruch Chorzów Ruch Chorzów
Attack
26
Defence
43
Form
33
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Polonia Warszawa
1
Draw
0
Ruch Chorzów
21 Feb 2026 I Liga 3–2
15 Aug 2025 I Liga 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2 6
2 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 2 6
3 Nieciecza Nieciecza 2 6
4 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2 6
5 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2 4
6 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 2 4
7 ŁKS Łódź ŁKS Łódź 2 4
8 Chrobry Głogów Chrobry Głogów 2 3
9 Warta Poznań Warta Poznań 2 3
10 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2 3
11 Odra Opole Odra Opole 2 3
12 Podbeskidzie Podbeskidzie 2 2
13 Pogoń Siedlce Pogoń Siedlce 2 1
14 Puszcza Niepołomice Puszcza Niepołomice 2 0
15 Unia Skierniewice Unia Skierniewice 2 0
16 Ruch Chorzów Ruch Chorzów 2 0
17 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 2 0
18 Stal Rzeszów Stal Rzeszów 2 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
The model gives Polonia Warszawa a 33% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an Ruch Chorzów win.
How many goals are expected in Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
Expected goals: Polonia Warszawa 1.2, Ruch Chorzów 1.6 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Polonia Warszawa vs Ruch Chorzów?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.6%.