Primera RFEF - Group 1
· Group 1 - 4
September 19, 2026 18:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ponferradina a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Mérida AD 29%). The final result was Ponferradina 1–0 Mérida AD. In 2 previous meetings, Ponferradina have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Mérida AD.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
38.74%
Ponferradina ←
31.61%
X
29.65%
Mérida
we assigned to the actual result (Ponferradina)
38.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.38
—
—
0.67
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Mérida AD?
The final score was Ponferradina 1–0 Mérida AD.
What did the model predict before Ponferradina vs Mérida AD?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Ponferradina win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Mérida AD win.