Ponferradina - Real Madrid II
Friendlies Clubs
August 19, 2026 14:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.27%
Win
Ponferradina
30.95%
Draw
38.78%
Win
Real Madrid II
0.33
2.1
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.43%)
1X2 Result
1
30%
X
31%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
70%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Madrid II a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Ponferradina. Expected goals are 0.3 for Ponferradina and 2.1 for Real Madrid II (total 2.4), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.43% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Ponferradina have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Madrid II.
Season Stats
0W
1D
1L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
1.5
2.5
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
0W
1D
0L
· at home
2W
0D
0L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.5
1.0
Conceded
0.5
0%
Win %
100%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
50%
0%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Ponferradina
Real Madrid II →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 7.1% | 3.0% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ponferradina
Attack
13
Defence
38
Form
34
Real Madrid II
Attack
37
Defence
88
Form
70
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?
The model gives Ponferradina a 30% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 38% for an Real Madrid II win.
How many goals are expected in Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?
Expected goals: Ponferradina 0.3, Real Madrid II 2.1 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ponferradina vs Real Madrid II?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.43%.