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Pontardawe Town - Ynyshir Albions

FAW Championship January 09, 2027 15:30
Pontardawe Town
#11 · 14 pts
vs
Ynyshir Albions
#6 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.24%
Win
Pontardawe Town
25.73%
Draw
46.02%
Win
Ynyshir Albions
1.21
Expected xG
1.99

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.37%)
1X2 Result
1 28%
X 26%
2 46%
Double Chance
1X 54%
X2 72%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 60%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ynyshir Albions a 46% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Pontardawe Town. Expected goals are 1.2 for Pontardawe Town and 2.0 for Ynyshir Albions (total 3.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.37% probability.

Season Stats

Pontardawe Town
4W 2D 5L
Ynyshir Albions
5W 6D 4L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.5
1.9
Conceded
1.4
Percentages
82%
O 1.5
73%
73%
O 2.5
53%
55%
BTTS
67%
9%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Pontardawe Town
3W 0D 1L · at home
Ynyshir Albions
2W 4D 4L · away
2.8
gls/g
0.9
1.5
Conceded
1.4
75%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
70%
100%
O 2.5
50%
50%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
60%
25%
Clean Sht
30%
25%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pontardawe Town Ynyshir Albions →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.1% 8.1% 8.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.8% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.0% 5.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town
D llanelli AFC 3–3
W Carmarthen Town 2–1
D Llantwit Major 1–1
W Trethomas Bluebirds 2–3
W Treowen Stars 6–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions
L Baglan Dragons 2–1
W Swansea University 4–2
W llanelli AFC 6–2
W Treowen Stars 1–2
D Trethomas Bluebirds 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town
Attack
35
Defence
55
Form
46
Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions
Attack
51
Defence
67
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

South

# Team G Pts
1 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 13 27
2 Swansea University Swansea University 11 24
3 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 10 22
4 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 13 22
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 13 20
6 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 11 19
7 Afan Lido Afan Lido 14 18
8 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 13 17
9 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 12 17
10 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 12 15
11 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 11 14
12 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 13 14
13 Newport City Newport City 11 13
14 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 11 12
15 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 12 12
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 14 3

What's at stake · South

Top 2 advance to the next round

Pontardawe Town Ynyshir Albions
Current #11 #6
→ Pontardawe Town #10 #6
→ Draw #10 #5
→ Ynyshir Albions #11 #4

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
The model gives Pontardawe Town a 28% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 46% for an Ynyshir Albions win.
How many goals are expected in Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Expected goals: Pontardawe Town 1.2, Ynyshir Albions 2.0 (total 3.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Pontardawe Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.37%.