Ponte da Barca - Amarante
Taça de Portugal
September 20, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.47%
Win
Ponte da Barca
32.47%
Draw
32.06%
Win
Amarante
1.89
0.72
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.29%)
1X2 Result
1
35%
X
32%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
65%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ponte da Barca a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Amarante. Expected goals are 1.9 for Ponte da Barca and 0.7 for Amarante (total 2.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.29% probability.
Season Stats
0W
1D
0L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.0
Goals
1.7
0.0
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
0%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
67%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Ponte da Barca
Amarante →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 13.9% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 13.1% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Playing profile
Ponte da Barca
Attack
0
Defence
100
Form
49
Amarante
Attack
18
Defence
65
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ponte da Barca vs Amarante?
The model gives Ponte da Barca a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Amarante win.
How many goals are expected in Ponte da Barca vs Amarante?
Expected goals: Ponte da Barca 1.9, Amarante 0.7 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ponte da Barca vs Amarante?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.29%.