Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 6
April 25, 2026 03:00
Willian Pottker
(ast. Luis Phelipe)
44'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ponte Preta a 37% win probability (draw 32%, America Mineiro 29%). The final result was Ponte Preta 1–0 America Mineiro.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
0.80
Actual xG
0.85
4
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
2
Corners
10
14
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
18'
Rafa Barcelos
Willian Pottker
33'
38'
Roger Silva
⚽Willian Pottker
· ast. Luis Phelipe
44'
46'
Paulinho
/
Dalbert
46'
Jhonatan Lima
/
Yago Santos
Willian Pottker
/ Brandao
46'
Kevyson
56'
56'
M. Segovia
Luis Phelipe
/ Miguel Morais
60'
64'
Paulo Victor
/
M. Segovia
64'
Yago Souza
/
Eduardo Person
Thalys
/ Lucas Justen
71'
Diego Tavares
/ Jonathan Cafu
71'
Jonathan Cafu
72'
Miguel Morais
74'
Murilo
/ Rodrigo Souza
78'
80'
Willian Bigode
/
Gonzalo Mastriani
Pre-match prediction
37.31%
Ponte ←
32.74%
X
29.95%
America
we assigned to the actual result (Ponte Preta)
37.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.34
0.80
-0.54
0.86
0.85
-0.01
xG dominance was balanced (0.80 – 0.85).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
32
Kevyson
D
44
Márcio Silva
D
Márcio Silva
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
22
Thalys
71'
D
31
Bryan
M
Bryan
M
8
M
20
Murilo
78'
M
11
Luis Phelipe
1 👟
60'
F
Luis Phelipe
1 👟
60'
F
9
William Pottker
1 ⚽
45'
F
William Pottker
1 ⚽
45'
F
7
Diego Tavares
Bench
19
Jonathan Cafú
25'
F
17
Miguel
36'
M
Miguel
36'
M
6
R. A. Saravia Salvia
M
5
Rodrigo de Souza
18'
M
90
Rodriguinho
F
1
G
29
Dalbert
45'
D
Dalbert
45'
D
4
Rafael Barcelos
D
Rafael Barcelos
D
3
Nathan Cardoso
D
Nathan Cardoso
D
42
Jhonny
D
Jhonny
D
8
Felipe Amaral
M
Felipe Amaral
M
11
Thauan
33
Yago Santos
45'
M
21
Eduardo Person
64'
M
Eduardo Person
64'
M
77
M. Segovia
64'
M
M. Segovia
64'
M
17
G. Mastriani
80'
F
G. Mastriani
80'
F
Bench
16
Alê
M
Alê
M
2
Emerson Santos
D
Emerson Santos
D
23
Éverton Brito
F
Éverton Brito
F
6
Paulinho
51'
D
Paulinho
51'
D
9
Willian
16'
F
Willian
16'
F
Best on the pitch
G · Ponte
8.30
· 29 pass
Rafael Barcelos
D · America
7.70
· 94 pass
William Pottker
F · Ponte
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 6 pass
Luis Phelipe
F · Ponte
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 14 pass
Felipe Amaral
M · America
7.20
1 shots
· 46 pass
Bryan
M · Ponte
7.20
1 shots
· 22 pass
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Kevyson | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Márcio Silva | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Cunha | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Thalys | D | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Bryan | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 16% | 2 | — | — | |
| Murilo | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Phelipe | F | 60 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| William Pottker | F | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Tavares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Jonathan Cafú | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Miguel | M | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo de Souza | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
America Mineiro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Dalbert | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Barcelos | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 94 | 84% | — | 1 | — |
| Nathan Cardoso | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 90 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| Jhonny | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Amaral | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 39% | 4 | — | — |
| Thauan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Yago Santos | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Person | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Segovia | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Mastriani | F | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Willian | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs America Mineiro?
The final score was Ponte Preta 1–0 America Mineiro.
What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs America Mineiro?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 32% to a draw, and 29% to an America Mineiro win.