Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 20
July 29, 2026 00:30
Leo Gomes
(ast. Elvis)
21'
(pen.)
67'
Ian Luccas
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Athletic Club a 41% win probability (draw 30%, Ponte Preta 27%). The final result was Ponte Preta 1–1 Athletic Club. In 1 previous meetings, Ponte Preta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Athletic Club.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
0.92
Actual xG
1.77
3
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
1
Corners
1
10
Tackles
18
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
5'
Max
Lucas Cunha
20'
⚽Leo Gomes
· ast. Elvis
21'
46'
W. Aponza
/
G. Cabezas
49'
Diogo Batista
54'
Douglas Pele
/
Diogo Batista
Diego Porfirio
58'
60'
Felipe Negrucci
/
J. Pool
67'
(pen.)
Ian Luccas⚽
David da Hora
/ Miguel Morais
67'
69'
Jhonatan Silva
69'
Yarlen
/
Max
70'
D. Vera
/
Carlinhos
Diego Porfirio
/ Nicolas Araujo
76'
83'
D. Vera
Julio
83'
Andre Lima
85'
86'
Ian Luccas
Leo Gomes
/ Joao Damiao
87'
Danilo Barcelos
/ Rodrigo Souza
87'
Pre-match prediction
27.72%
Ponte
30.45%
X ←
41.83%
Athletic
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.45%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.77
0.92
+0.15
1.08
1.77
+0.69
Athletic Club dominated by xG (1.77 vs 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Vinicius
G
Vinicius
G
14
Danilo Barcelos
87'
D
Danilo Barcelos
87'
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
Lucas Cunha
D
23
S. Palacios
D
S. Palacios
D
13
Diego Porfírio
76'
M
Diego Porfírio
76'
M
8
André Lima
M
André Lima
M
16
Léo Gomes
1 ⚽
87'
M
Léo Gomes
1 ⚽
87'
M
2
Julio
M
Julio
M
10
Elvis
1 👟
F
Elvis
1 👟
F
32
Kevyson
F
Kevyson
F
18
David da Hora
67'
F
David da Hora
67'
F
Bench
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
4
Gustavo Almeida
D
Gustavo Almeida
D
35
Gustavo Lopes
M
Gustavo Lopes
M
9
Joao Damiao
12'
F
Joao Damiao
12'
F
6
Juan
D
Juan
D
17
Miguel
32'
M
Miguel
32'
M
7
Nicolas Silva
23'
M
Nicolas Silva
23'
M
5
Rodrigo Souza
12'
M
Rodrigo Souza
12'
M
1
Luan Polli
G
Luan Polli
G
23
Enzo
D
Enzo
D
19
J. Torres
60'
D
J. Torres
60'
D
3
Jhonatan
D
Jhonatan
D
22
Diogo Batista
54'
D
Diogo Batista
54'
D
16
João Miguel
M
João Miguel
M
17
Kauan
M
Kauan
M
5
Ian Luccas
1 ⚽
M
Ian Luccas
1 ⚽
M
8
G. Cabezas
45'
M
G. Cabezas
45'
M
11
Max
69'
M
Max
69'
M
9
Carlinhos
70'
F
Carlinhos
70'
F
Bench
2
Douglas Pelé
45'
D
Douglas Pelé
45'
D
21
D. Vera
29'
F
D. Vera
29'
F
13
Felipe Negrucci
39'
M
Felipe Negrucci
39'
M
12
Glauco
G
Glauco
G
15
Jota
M
Jota
M
4
Lucas Belezi
D
Lucas Belezi
D
14
Marcelo Henrique
D
Marcelo Henrique
D
18
Pedro Oliveira
M
Pedro Oliveira
M
20
W. Aponza
54'
F
W. Aponza
54'
F
7
Yarlen
9'
F
Yarlen
9'
F
6
Zeca
D
Zeca
D
Best on the pitch
Lucas Cunha
D · Ponte
7.50
1 shots
· 44 pass
Ian Luccas
M · Athletic
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
Elvis
F · Ponte
7.30
1 👟
6 shots
· 39 pass
André Lima
M · Ponte
7.30
· 39 pass
Enzo
D · Athletic
7.20
· 19 pass
Léo Gomes
M · Ponte
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 20 pass
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius | G | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Danilo Barcelos | D | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cunha | D | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Palacios | D | 99 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Porfírio | M | 76 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| André Lima | M | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Léo Gomes | M | 87 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Julio | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Elvis | F | 99 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 6 | 39 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Kevyson | F | 99 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| David da Hora | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Joao Damiao | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Miguel | M | 32 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Silva | M | 23 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Souza | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luan Polli | G | 99 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 28 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Enzo | D | 99 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Torres | D | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Jhonatan | D | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | 1 | — |
| Diogo Batista | D | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| João Miguel | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Kauan | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Ian Luccas | M | 99 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 4 | 1 | — |
| G. Cabezas | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Max | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlinhos | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Pelé | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vera | F | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Felipe Negrucci | M | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| W. Aponza | F | 54 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Yarlen | F | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Ponte Preta 1–1 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 30% to a draw, and 41% to an Athletic Club win.