Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 18
July 18, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Goias
Elvis
45'+2
(pen.)
7'
(ast. Cadu)
Kadu
45'+3
(ast. Lucas Lima)
Kadu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Goias a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Ponte Preta 20%). The final result was Ponte Preta 1–2 Goias.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
8
4
Shots on target
2
1.71
Actual xG
1.03
0
Saves
3
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
2
18
Tackles
16
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
ast. Cadu ·
Kadu⚽
S. Palacios
23'
24'
Ramon Menezes
⚽Elvis
(pen.)
45'+2
45'+3
ast. Lucas Lima ·
Kadu⚽
Juan Rodrigues
/ Baianinho
46'
David da Hora
/ Brandao
46'
57'
Lucas Ribeiro
/
Ramon Menezes
Miguel Morais
/ Diego Porfirio
58'
66'
(missed pen.)
Cadu⚽
66'
Luisao
/
Rodrigo Soares
67'
Nicolas
/
Djalma Silva
67'
Lourenco
/
Lucas Lima
M. L. Diego
/ Nicolas Araujo
74'
82'
Gege
/
Jean Carlos
82'
Lucas Ribeiro
Julio
/ Rodriguinho
86'
Pre-match prediction
20.51%
Ponte
24.38%
X
55.11%
Goias ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Goias)
55.11%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.64
1.71
+1.07
1.63
1.03
-0.6
Ponte Preta dominated by xG (1.71 vs 1.03).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
3
Lucas Cunha
D
Lucas Cunha
D
4
Diego Leão
74'
D
23
S. Palacios
D
S. Palacios
D
32
Kevyson
M
Kevyson
M
17
Miguel
58'
M
Miguel
58'
M
14
Danilo Barcelos
M
Danilo Barcelos
M
6
Juan
45'
M
Juan
45'
M
2
Julio
86'
M
Julio
86'
M
10
Elvis
1 ⚽
F
Elvis
1 ⚽
F
18
David da Hora
45'
F
David da Hora
45'
F
Bench
8
André Lima
M
André Lima
M
26
Baianinho
45'
F
Baianinho
45'
F
21
Brandão
45'
F
Brandão
45'
F
13
Diego Porfírio
32'
D
Diego Porfírio
32'
D
15
Gustavo Almeida
D
Gustavo Almeida
D
35
Gustavo Lopes
M
Gustavo Lopes
M
16
Léo Gomes
M
Léo Gomes
M
7
Nicolas Silva
16'
M
Nicolas Silva
16'
M
90
Rodriguinho
12'
F
Rodriguinho
12'
F
30
Vinicius
G
Vinicius
G
1
Thiago Rodrigues
G
Thiago Rodrigues
G
54
Djalma Silva
67'
D
Djalma Silva
67'
D
4
Ramon Menezes
57'
D
Ramon Menezes
57'
D
3
Luiz Felipe
D
Luiz Felipe
D
2
Rodrigo Soares
66'
D
Rodrigo Soares
66'
D
8
Juninho
M
Juninho
M
5
Filipe Machado
M
Filipe Machado
M
40
Kadu
2 ⚽
M
Kadu
2 ⚽
M
10
Lucas Lima
1 👟
67'
M
Lucas Lima
1 👟
67'
M
21
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira
82'
M
Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira
82'
M
18
Cadu
1 👟
F
Cadu
1 👟
F
Bench
9
Anselmo Ramon
F
Anselmo Ramon
F
88
Brayann
M
Brayann
M
15
Esli García
F
Esli García
F
12
Ezequiel
G
Ezequiel
G
28
Gegê
8'
M
Gegê
8'
M
55
Guilherme Baldória
M
Guilherme Baldória
M
77
Halerrandrio
F
Halerrandrio
F
97
Lourenço
23'
M
Lourenço
23'
M
14
Lucas Ribeiro
33'
D
Lucas Ribeiro
33'
D
25
Luis Fellipe
24'
D
Luis Fellipe
24'
D
6
Nicolas
23'
D
Nicolas
23'
D
17
Pedro Junqueira
F
Pedro Junqueira
F
Best on the pitch
Kadu
M · Goias
8.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
Kevyson
M · Ponte
7.70
· 19 pass
Elvis
F · Ponte
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 45 pass
Luiz Felipe
D · Goias
7.50
· 39 pass
Thiago Rodrigues
G · Goias
7.50
· 21 pass
Filipe Machado
M · Goias
7.20
1 shots
· 49 pass
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guilherme Viana | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cunha | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Leão | D | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Palacios | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Kevyson | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Miguel | M | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Danilo Barcelos | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Julio | M | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 7% | 7 | — | — |
| Elvis | F | 90 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 45 | 36% | — | — | — |
| David da Hora | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Baianinho | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Brandão | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Diego Porfírio | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Silva | M | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | F | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Goias — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Rodrigues | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Djalma Silva | D | 67 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramon Menezes | D | 57 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Luiz Felipe | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Soares | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Juninho | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Filipe Machado | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Kadu | M | 90 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 31 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Lucas Lima | M | 67 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Cadu | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Gegê | M | 8 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lourenço | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ribeiro | D | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Luis Fellipe | D | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolas | D | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Goias?
The final score was Ponte Preta 1–2 Goias.
What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs Goias?
The model assigned 20% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 24% to a draw, and 55% to an Goias win.