Ponte Preta 1–4 Londrina — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série B — May 19, 2026

← Brasileirão Série B

Brasileirão Série B · Regular Season - 9 May 19, 2026 00:00

Ponte Preta

#20 · 10 pts

1 – 4

Final score

Londrina

#18 · 25 pts

Miguel Morais (ast. Diego Tavares) 90'+4

24' (ast. Bruno Santos) Iago Teles

66' (ast. Thalis) Bruno Santos

88' (ast. Bruno Santos) Andre Cardoso

90'+3 (ast. Paulinho Moccelin) Joao Tavares

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ponte Preta a 36% win probability (draw 33%, Londrina 29%). The final result was Ponte Preta 1–4 Londrina.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.22

Actual xG

1.94

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

24'

ast. Bruno Santos · Iago Teles⚽

Tarik

35'

↕ David da Hora / Miguel Morais

46'

↕ Tarik / Elvis

46'

Julio

52'

↕ Willian Pottker / Rodriguinho

65'

↕ Julio / Luis Phelipe

65'

66'

ast. Thalis · Bruno Santos⚽

Miguel Morais

69'

70'

Joao Tavares / Thalis ↕

David Braz

72'

76'

Lucas Marques

Danilo Barcelos

78'

80'

Andre Cardoso / Vitinho Mota ↕

80'

Paulinho Moccelin / Iago Teles ↕

↕ David Braz / Jonathan Cafu

80'

83'

Kaue Leonardo / Andre Dhominique ↕

83'

Weverton / Rafael Monteiro ↕

Diego Tavares

86'

88'

ast. Bruno Santos · Andre Cardoso⚽

90'+3

ast. Paulinho Moccelin · Joao Tavares⚽

⚽Miguel Morais · ast. Diego Tavares

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

36.92%

Ponte

33.91%

29.17%

Londrina ←

we assigned to the actual result (Londrina) 29.17% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Ponte

1.24

1.22

-0.02

Londrina

0.99

1.94

+0.95

Londrina dominated by xG (1.94 vs 1.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Juventude	27	50
2	Novorizontino	27	49
3	Vila Nova	27	47
4	Fortaleza EC	27	47
5	Criciuma	27	47
6	Operario-PR	27	43
7	Atletico Goianiense	27	43
8	CRB	27	42
9	Sport Recife	27	41
10	Cuiaba	27	39
11	Nautico Recife	27	37
12	Athletic Club	27	37
13	Goias	27	36
14	São Bernardo	27	35
15	Botafogo SP	27	31
16	Ceara	27	31
17	Avai	27	29
18	Londrina	27	25
19	America Mineiro	27	17
20	Ponte Preta	27	10

Lineups

Ponte Preta 3-4-2-1

Diogo Silva G 6.60

Danilo Barcelos D 5.30

Márcio Silva D 5.90

David Braz 80' D 6.20

Diego Porfirio M 6.30

Tárik 45' M 6.50

André Lima M 6.50

Julio 65' M 6.90

David da Hora 45' F 6.60

Diego Tavares 1 👟 F 6.90

William Pottker 65' F 6.90

Bench

Elvis 53' M 6.90

Gustavo Lopes M

Jonathan Cafú 18' F 6.70

Kevyson D

Lucas Cunha D

Luis Phelipe 33' F 6.70

Miguel 1 ⚽ 53' M 7.50

Rodrigo de Souza M

Rodriguinho 33' F 6.30

S. Palacios D

Vinicius G

Weverton D

Londrina 4-1-4-1

Mauricio Kozlinski G 6.90

Rafael Monteiro 83' D 7.50

Gabriel Lacerda D 6.90

Caio Rodrigues D 7.70

André Dhominique 83' D 7.20

André Luiz M 7.30

Iago Teles 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.90

Thalis 1 👟 70' M 7.50

Lucas Marques 76' M 6.30

Victor Hugo 80' M 7.00

Bruno Santos 1 ⚽ 2 👟 F 8.90

Bench

André Cardoso 18' M 7.20

Caio Rafael F

Fabiano M

Joao Vitor D

João Vitor 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.90

Juninho F

Kauê Leonardo 15' D 6.30

Luan G

Paulinho Moccelin 1 👟 18' F 7.50

Weverton 15' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

Bruno Santos

F · Londrina

8.90

1 ⚽ 2 👟

5 shots · 22 pass

João Vitor

M · Londrina

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 4 pass

Iago Teles

M · Londrina

7.90

1 ⚽

4 shots · 20 pass

Caio Rodrigues

D · Londrina

7.70

· 26 pass

Paulinho Moccelin

F · Londrina

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 4 pass

Miguel

M · Ponte

7.50

1 ⚽

3 shots · 11 pass

Ponte Preta — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Diogo Silva	G	98	6.60	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
Danilo Barcelos	D	98	5.30	—	—	2	38	35%	1	1	—
Márcio Silva	D	98	5.90	—	—	—	32	27%	—	—	—
David Braz	D	80	6.20	—	—	—	39	29%	1	1	—
Diego Porfirio	M	98	6.30	—	—	—	25	18%	1	—	—
Tárik	M	45	6.50	—	—	1	27	25%	—	1	—
André Lima	M	98	6.50	—	—	1	55	47%	1	—	—
Julio	M	65	6.90	—	—	—	25	20%	3	1	—
David da Hora	F	45	6.60	—	—	1	11	11%	—	—	—
Diego Tavares	F	98	6.90	—	1	3	24	18%	—	1	—
William Pottker	F	65	6.90	—	—	—	13	10%	1	—	—
Elvis	M	53	6.90	—	—	—	29	25%	—	—	—
Jonathan Cafú	F	18	6.70	—	—	1	3	3%	—	—	—
Luis Phelipe	F	33	6.70	—	—	—	5	3%	—	—	—
Miguel	M	53	7.50	1	—	3	11	11%	—	1	—
Rodriguinho	F	33	6.30	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Londrina — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Mauricio Kozlinski	G	98	6.90	—	—	—	22	8%	—	—	—
Rafael Monteiro	D	83	7.50	—	—	—	38	28%	6	—	—
Gabriel Lacerda	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	29	26%	—	—	—
Caio Rodrigues	D	98	7.70	—	—	—	26	23%	—	—	—
André Dhominique	D	83	7.20	—	—	—	31	26%	—	—	—
André Luiz	M	98	7.30	—	—	—	37	36%	1	—	—
Iago Teles	M	80	7.90	1	—	4	20	16%	1	—	—
Thalis	M	70	7.50	—	1	2	32	27%	—	—	—
Lucas Marques	M	76	6.30	—	—	1	44	35%	2	—	1
Victor Hugo	M	80	7.00	—	—	—	23	20%	—	—	—
Bruno Santos	F	98	8.90	1	2	5	22	18%	—	—	—
André Cardoso	M	18	7.20	—	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
João Vitor	M	28	7.90	1	—	1	4	2%	1	—	—
Kauê Leonardo	D	15	6.30	—	—	—	1	1%	2	—	—
Paulinho Moccelin	F	18	7.50	—	1	1	4	4%	2	—	—
Weverton	D	15	6.20	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Londrina?

The final score was Ponte Preta 1–4 Londrina.

What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs Londrina?

The model assigned 36% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 33% to a draw, and 29% to an Londrina win.