Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 22
August 15, 2026 00:30
Brandao
(ast. David da Hora)
40'
65'
B. Borasi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Nautico Recife a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Ponte Preta 33%). The final result was Ponte Preta 1–1 Nautico Recife. In 1 previous meetings, Ponte Preta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nautico Recife.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
4
1.15
Actual xG
2.08
3
Saves
5
37%
Possession
63%
6
Corners
6
19
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
⚽Brandao
· ast. David da Hora
40'
44'
Leo Indio
45'+1
B. Borasi
46'
Ryan Carlos
/
Igor Fernandes
46'
P. Nunez
/
Leo Indio
M. L. Diego
47'
Andre Lima
54'
59'
Arnaldo
60'
Luiz Claudio
/
Kauan Maranhao
65'
B. Borasi⚽
67'
P. Nunez
76'
Wanderson
/
Gustavo Henrique
Juan Rodrigues
/ Miguel Morais
76'
79'
Reginaldo
/
Arnaldo
Brandao
/ Gustavo Telles
82'
83'
P. Nunez
83'
P. Nunez
90'+2
Betao
Gustavo Almeida
/ Joao Damiao
90'+3
David da Hora
/ M. Souza
90'+3
M. Souza
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
33.09%
Ponte
27.63%
X ←
39.28%
Nautico
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.09
1.15
+0.06
1.16
2.08
+0.92
Nautico Recife dominated by xG (2.08 vs 1.15).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
Vinicius
G
Vinicius
G
44
Gustavo Almeida
D
Gustavo Almeida
D
4
Diego Leão
D
23
S. Palacios
D
S. Palacios
D
26
Baianinho
M
Baianinho
M
16
Léo Gomes
M
Léo Gomes
M
8
André Lima
M
André Lima
M
6
Juan
76'
M
Juan
76'
M
10
Elvis
F
Elvis
F
18
David da Hora
1 👟
F
David da Hora
1 👟
F
21
Brandão
1 ⚽
82'
F
Brandão
1 ⚽
82'
F
Bench
2
Gabriel Cicala
D
Gabriel Cicala
D
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
35
Gustavo Lopes
16'
M
Gustavo Lopes
16'
M
9
Joao Damiao
5'
F
Joao Damiao
5'
F
17
Miguel
22'
M
Miguel
22'
M
1
Muriel
G
Muriel
G
23
Igor Fernandes
45'
D
Igor Fernandes
45'
D
46
Gustavo Henrique
76'
D
Gustavo Henrique
76'
D
3
Alberto
D
Alberto
D
2
Arnaldo
79'
D
Arnaldo
79'
D
10
Jean Carlos
M
Jean Carlos
M
15
Léo Índio
45'
M
Léo Índio
45'
M
8
Wenderson
M
Wenderson
M
72
Derek
F
Derek
F
19
Kaua Almeida da Costa
60'
F
Kaua Almeida da Costa
60'
F
24
B. Borasi
1 ⚽
F
B. Borasi
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Auremir
M
Auremir
M
88
Caio
M
Caio
M
55
G. Guruceaga
G
G. Guruceaga
G
37
Juan Rikelme
D
Juan Rikelme
D
16
Luiz Cláudio
38'
F
Luiz Cláudio
38'
F
22
P. Núñez
38'
M
P. Núñez
38'
M
93
Reginaldo Lopes
19'
D
Reginaldo Lopes
19'
D
6
Ryan
53'
D
Ryan
53'
D
41
Samuel
M
Samuel
M
34
Wanderson
22'
D
Wanderson
22'
D
Best on the pitch
B. Borasi
F · Nautico
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
Brandão
F · Ponte
7.60
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 12 pass
Arnaldo
D · Nautico
7.50
· 37 pass
Ryan
D · Nautico
7.20
· 20 pass
S. Palacios
D · Ponte
7.20
· 25 pass
Baianinho
M · Ponte
7.20
1 shots
· 13 pass
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius | G | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Almeida | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 6% | 3 | — | — |
| Diego Leão | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Palacios | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Baianinho | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| Léo Gomes | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| André Lima | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Elvis | F | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| David da Hora | F | 93 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 19 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Brandão | F | 82 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 5 | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Lopes | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Joao Damiao | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — |
Nautico Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Igor Fernandes | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Alberto | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Arnaldo | D | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Índio | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wenderson | M | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Derek | F | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Kaua Almeida da Costa | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| B. Borasi | F | 98 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 15% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Luiz Cláudio | F | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| P. Núñez | M | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Reginaldo Lopes | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Ryan | D | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Wanderson | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Nautico Recife?
The final score was Ponte Preta 1–1 Nautico Recife.
What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs Nautico Recife?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 27% to a draw, and 39% to an Nautico Recife win.