Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 14
June 23, 2026 01:00
✓Model correct — prediction Novorizontino
32'
Robson
59'
(ast. Maykon Jesus)
Robson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Novorizontino a 65% win probability (draw 17%, Ponte Preta 16%). The final result was Ponte Preta 0–2 Novorizontino.
Match statistics
0
Shots on target
7
0.20
Actual xG
1.52
26%
Possession
74%
4
Corners
6
Match Events
7'
Tavinho
Marcio Silva
17'
Andre Lima
24'
32'
Robson⚽
45'+4
N. Castrillon
Baianinho
/ Diego Tavares
46'
Andre Lima
/ Leo Gomes
46'
Rodrigo Souza
/ M. L. Diego
46'
46'
Juninho
/
N. Castrillon
46'
Ivan Alvarino
/
Tavinho
Elvis
/ David da Hora
56'
59'
ast. Maykon Jesus ·
Robson⚽
Willian Pottker
/ Gustavo Telles
67'
70'
Gabriel Bahia
73'
Carlao
/
Robson
74'
Enderson Moreira
Marcio Zanardi
74'
80'
C. Ortiz
/
Romulo
82'
Nicolas Careca
/
Reidiney
Pre-match prediction
16.39%
Ponte
17.91%
X
65.7%
Novorizontino ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Novorizontino)
65.7%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.56
0.20
-0.36
2.58
1.52
-1.06
Novorizontino dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.20).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Diogo Silva
G
14
Danilo Barcelos
D
Danilo Barcelos
D
3
Lucas Cunha
D
Lucas Cunha
D
44
Márcio Silva
D
Márcio Silva
D
22
Thalys
D
8
André Lima
M
André Lima
M
5
Rodrigo de Souza
M
Rodrigo de Souza
M
32
Kevyson
M
Kevyson
M
10
Elvis
M
Elvis
M
26
Baianinho
M
Baianinho
M
9
William Pottker
F
William Pottker
F
Bench
21
Brandão
F
Brandão
F
18
David da Hora
F
David da Hora
F
4
Diego Leão
D
Diego Leão
D
13
Diego Porfirio
D
Diego Porfirio
D
7
Diego Tavares
F
Diego Tavares
F
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
35
Gustavo Telles
M
Gustavo Telles
M
19
Jonathan Cafú
F
2
Justen
D
16
Léo Gomes
M
Léo Gomes
M
90
Rodriguinho
F
Rodriguinho
F
38
Tarik
M
Tarik
M
93
Jordi
G
Jordi
G
66
Maykon Jesus
1 👟
D
Maykon Jesus
1 👟
D
4
Patrick
D
Patrick
D
26
Gabriel Bahia
D
Gabriel Bahia
D
20
Nilson Castrillón
D
Nilson Castrillón
D
18
Leo Naldi
M
Leo Naldi
M
6
Luís Oyama
M
Luís Oyama
M
41
Reidiney
M
Reidiney
M
10
Romulo
M
Romulo
M
15
Tavinho
M
Tavinho
M
11
Robson
2 ⚽
F
Robson
2 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Alemão
D
Alemão
D
9
Carlão
F
Carlão
F
31
César
G
César
G
8
Christian Ortíz
F
Christian Ortíz
F
19
Diego Galo
M
Diego Galo
M
27
Diego Mathias
F
Diego Mathias
F
14
Eduardo Brock
D
Eduardo Brock
D
77
Hélio Borges
F
Hélio Borges
F
50
Juninho
M
Juninho
M
30
Nicolas Careca
F
Nicolas Careca
F
7
Ronald Barcellos
F
Ronald Barcellos
F
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo Barcelos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cunha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Márcio Silva | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thalys | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Lima | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo de Souza | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevyson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elvis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baianinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Pottker | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Novorizontino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maykon Jesus | D | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bahia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nilson Castrillón | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Naldi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Oyama | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reidiney | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romulo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tavinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robson | F | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino?
The final score was Ponte Preta 0–2 Novorizontino.
What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs Novorizontino?
The model assigned 16% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 17% to a draw, and 65% to an Novorizontino win.