Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 8
May 09, 2026 23:30
Danilo Barcelos
(ast. Diego Tavares)
23'
31'
(ast. Chrystian Barletta)
Felipinho
(pen.)
45'+5
Chrystian Barletta
59'
(ast. Chrystian Barletta)
Pedro Perotti
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sport Recife a 37% win probability (draw 32%, Ponte Preta 30%). The final result was Ponte Preta 1–3 Sport Recife.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
4
1.55
Actual xG
1.60
1
Saves
2
48%
Possession
52%
11
Corners
2
15
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
19'
Marcelo Ajul
⚽Danilo Barcelos
· ast. Diego Tavares
23'
31'
ast. Chrystian Barletta ·
Felipinho⚽
Danilo Barcelos
45'+4
45'+5
(pen.)
Chrystian Barletta⚽
Bryan Borges
51'
59'
ast. Chrystian Barletta ·
Pedro Perotti⚽
Kevyson
/ Rodriguinho
61'
Rodrigo Souza
/ Tarik
61'
Rodriguinho
63'
67'
Pedro Martins
/
Biel Fonseca
69'
Marcelo Ajul
69'
Marcelo Ajul
Lucas Justen
/ Elvis
71'
Andre Lima
/ Thalys
71'
72'
Ze Marcos
/
Clayson
72'
Ze Gabriel
/
de Pena Carlos
Diego Tavares
/ Baianinho
76'
79'
Felipinho
81'
Yago Felipe
/
Ze Lucas
81'
Augusto
/
Madson
81'
82'
Ze Marcos
Elvis
90'+3
Marcio Silva
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
30.5%
Ponte
32.24%
X
37.25%
Sport ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sport Recife)
37.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.97
1.55
+0.58
1.32
1.60
+0.28
xG dominance was balanced (1.55 – 1.60).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Diogo Silva
G
14
Danilo Barcelos
1 ⚽
D
Danilo Barcelos
1 ⚽
D
44
Márcio Silva
D
Márcio Silva
D
15
Weverton
D
Weverton
D
32
Kevyson
61'
M
Kevyson
61'
M
5
Rodrigo de Souza
61'
M
Rodrigo de Souza
61'
M
8
André Lima
71'
M
André Lima
71'
M
2
Justen
71'
M
31
Bryan Borges
F
Bryan Borges
F
7
Diego Tavares
1 👟
76'
F
Diego Tavares
1 👟
76'
F
18
David da Hora
F
David da Hora
F
Bench
26
Baianinho
14'
F
Baianinho
14'
F
21
Brandão
F
Brandão
F
33
David Braz
D
David Braz
D
13
Diego Porfirio
D
Diego Porfirio
D
10
Elvis
19'
M
Elvis
19'
M
1
Guilherme Viana
G
Guilherme Viana
G
35
Gustavo Telles
M
Gustavo Telles
M
3
Lucas Cunha
D
Lucas Cunha
D
17
Miguel Morais
M
Miguel Morais
M
90
Rodriguinho
29'
F
Rodriguinho
29'
F
38
Tarik
29'
M
Tarik
29'
M
22
Thalys
19'
D
26
Thiago Couto
G
Thiago Couto
G
60
Felipinho
1 ⚽
D
Felipinho
1 ⚽
D
3
Marcelo Ajul
69'
D
Marcelo Ajul
69'
D
5
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
Marcelo Benevenuto
D
13
Madson
81'
D
Madson
81'
D
58
Zé Lucas
81'
M
Zé Lucas
81'
M
6
Biel Fonseca
67'
M
Biel Fonseca
67'
M
25
Clayson
72'
M
Clayson
72'
M
10
C. de Pena
72'
M
C. de Pena
72'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
Chrystian Barletta
1 ⚽
2 👟
M
9
Perotti
1 ⚽
F
Perotti
1 ⚽
F
Bench
68
Augusto Pucci
9'
D
Augusto Pucci
9'
D
96
Edson Lucas
D
Edson Lucas
D
11
Gustavo Maia
F
Gustavo Maia
F
28
Habraão
D
Habraão
D
1
Halls
G
Halls
G
31
Marlon
F
Marlon
F
8
Max
M
Max
M
48
Pedro Martins
23'
M
Pedro Martins
23'
M
7
Yago Felipe
9'
M
Yago Felipe
9'
M
23
Zé Gabriel
18'
M
Zé Gabriel
18'
M
4
Zé Marcos
18'
D
Zé Marcos
18'
D
Best on the pitch
Chrystian Barletta
M · Sport
8.30
1 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots
· 19 pass
Felipinho
D · Sport
8.00
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 46 pass
Danilo Barcelos
D · Ponte
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 41 pass
Thiago Couto
G · Sport
7.30
· 25 pass
Perotti
F · Sport
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 16 pass
Diego Tavares
F · Ponte
7.20
1 👟
· 4 pass
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | G | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Danilo Barcelos | D | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Márcio Silva | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Weverton | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevyson | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo de Souza | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 5 | — | — |
| André Lima | M | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Justen | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Bryan Borges | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Diego Tavares | F | 76 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| David da Hora | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Baianinho | F | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Elvis | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | F | 29 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Tarik | M | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Thalys | D | 19 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Sport Recife — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Couto | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Felipinho | D | 90 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 2 | 46 | 32% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marcelo Ajul | D | 69 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 49% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Marcelo Benevenuto | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Madson | D | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Zé Lucas | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Biel Fonseca | M | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Clayson | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| C. de Pena | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Chrystian Barletta | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Perotti | F | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Augusto Pucci | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Martins | M | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Yago Felipe | M | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Gabriel | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Zé Marcos | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
The final score was Ponte Preta 1–3 Sport Recife.
What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 32% to a draw, and 37% to an Sport Recife win.