Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 4
April 11, 2026 23:00
38'
(ast. Janderson)
Ryan
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vila Nova a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Ponte Preta 30%). The final result was Ponte Preta 0–1 Vila Nova. In 1 previous meetings, Ponte Preta have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vila Nova.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
5
1.99
Actual xG
0.80
4
Saves
5
49%
Possession
51%
9
Corners
4
21
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
David Braz
/ Lucas Cunha
6'
30'
Pedro Romano
38'
ast. Janderson ·
Ryan⚽
Elvis
/ Luis Phelipe
46'
54'
Rafael Silva
Rodriguinho
/ Diego Tavares
63'
64'
Ryan Lima
70'
Bruno Xavier
/
Ryan
70'
Hayner
/
Janderson
Murilo
72'
Willian Pottker
/ Brandao
74'
Murilo
/ Miguel Morais
74'
78'
Willian Formiga
/
Elias
78'
Gustavo Puskas
/
Rafa Silva
84'
Nathan Camargo
/
Dudu
90'+5
90'+11
Higor
Pre-match prediction
30.81%
Ponte
31.96%
X
37.23%
Vila ←
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
37.23%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.78
1.99
+1.21
1.64
0.80
-0.85
Ponte Preta dominated by xG (1.99 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
32
Kevyson
D
Kevyson
D
44
Márcio Silva
D
Márcio Silva
D
33
David Braz
6'
D
David Braz
6'
D
22
Thalys
D
20
Murilo
74'
M
Murilo
74'
M
8
M
31
Bryan
M
Bryan
M
10
Elvis
45'
M
Elvis
45'
M
90
Rodriguinho
63'
M
Rodriguinho
63'
M
9
William Pottker
74'
F
William Pottker
74'
F
Bench
3
Lucas Cunha
99'
D
Lucas Cunha
99'
D
11
Luis Phelipe
60'
F
Luis Phelipe
60'
F
17
Miguel
31'
M
Miguel
31'
M
5
Rodrigo Souza
M
Rodrigo Souza
M
1
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
38
Caio Marcelo
D
Caio Marcelo
D
4
Pedro Romano
D
Pedro Romano
D
2
Elias
78'
D
Elias
78'
D
8
Willian Maranhão
M
Willian Maranhão
M
15
Dudu
84'
M
Dudu
84'
M
99
Janderson
1 👟
70'
M
Janderson
1 👟
70'
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
M
11
Ryan Lima
70'
M
Ryan Lima
70'
M
9
Rafa Silva
78'
F
Rafa Silva
78'
F
Bench
22
Hayner
35'
D
Hayner
35'
D
5
João Vieira
M
João Vieira
M
19
Puskas Gustavo
27'
F
Puskas Gustavo
27'
F
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
Tiago Pagnussat
D
13
Willian Formiga
27'
D
Willian Formiga
27'
D
Best on the pitch
G · Vila
8.00
· 28 pass
Caio Marcelo
D · Vila
7.90
· 47 pass
Ryan Lima
M · Vila
7.60
2 shots
· 20 pass
G · Ponte
7.50
1 shots
· 36 pass
Willian Maranhão
M · Vila
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
Pedro Romano
D · Vila
7.30
2 shots
· 45 pass
Ponte Preta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 105 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 17% | 1 | — | — | |
| Kevyson | D | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Márcio Silva | D | 105 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| David Braz | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Thalys | D | 105 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Murilo | M | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 29% | 4 | 1 | — |
| M | 105 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 38% | 3 | — | — | |
| Bryan | M | 105 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Elvis | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| William Pottker | F | 74 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cunha | D | 99 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Luis Phelipe | F | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 105 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Higor | D | 105 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Caio Marcelo | D | 105 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Romano | D | 105 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 45 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Elias | D | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Willian Maranhão | M | 105 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Janderson | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 105 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Lima | M | 70 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Rafa Silva | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 9 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hayner | D | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Puskas Gustavo | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Formiga | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?
The final score was Ponte Preta 0–1 Vila Nova.
What did the model predict before Ponte Preta vs Vila Nova?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Ponte Preta win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Vila Nova win.