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Pors Grenland - Stabaek

NM Cupen September 16, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.91%
Win
Pors Grenland
31.91%
Draw
32.18%
Win
Stabaek
4.5
Expected xG
2.26

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.13%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ 93.3% hit rate (15 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Pors Grenland a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Stabaek. Expected goals are 4.5 for Pors Grenland and 2.3 for Stabaek (total 6.8), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.13% probability.

Season Stats

Pors Grenland
1W 0D 1L
Stabaek
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.0
1.5
Conceded
1.8
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 4 matches in NM Cupen. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
88%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Pors Grenland
0W 0D 1L · at home
Stabaek
3W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
3.0
3.0
Conceded
1.8
0%
Win %
75%
0%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
100%
O 3.5
75%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Pors Grenland Stabaek →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
2 1.2% 2.6% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
3 1.8% 4.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9%
4 2.0% 4.5% 5.1% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
5 1.8% 4.0% 4.6% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9%

Recent form

W Urædd 0–3
L ODD Ballklubb 1–3
W Heming 0–2
L Bjarg 6–1
W Gamle Oslo 1–4
W Bærum 0–5
Away clean sheet (120 days) 31%

Playing profile

Pors Grenland Pors Grenland
Attack
62
Defence
83
Form
78
Stabaek Stabaek
Attack
58
Defence
61
Form
62
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Pors Grenland vs Stabaek?
The model gives Pors Grenland a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Stabaek win.
How many goals are expected in Pors Grenland vs Stabaek?
Expected goals: Pors Grenland 4.5, Stabaek 2.3 (total 6.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Pors Grenland vs Stabaek?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.13%.