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Port FC - Beijing Guoan

AFC Champions League November 03, 2026 13:15
#15 · 0 pts
vs
#5 · 7 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.86%
Win
Port FC
27.94%
Draw
36.2%
Win
Beijing Guoan
1.35
Expected xG
1.4

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.22%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 28%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 64%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Beijing Guoan a 36% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Port FC. Expected goals are 1.3 for Port FC and 1.4 for Beijing Guoan (total 2.7), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.22% probability.

Season Stats

Port FC
0W 0D 3L
Beijing Guoan
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
2.0
3.3
Conceded
1.0
2.0
Shots OT
4.0
2.7
Corners
4.7
39%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in AFC Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Port FC Beijing Guoan →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.6% 12.1% 8.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.2% 5.7% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

L Johor Darul Takzim FC 3–0
L Kashiwa Reysol 5–1
L Vissel Kobe 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
D Jeonbuk Motors 2–2
W Buriram United 0–1
W Pohang Steelers 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Port FC Port FC
Attack
45
Defence
55
Form
42
Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan
Attack
46
Defence
70
Form
65
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

East Region

What's at stake · East Region

Top 2 advance to the next round

Port FC Beijing Guoan
Current #15 #5
→ Port FC #12 #5
→ Draw #14 #3
→ Beijing Guoan #15 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Port FC vs Beijing Guoan?
The model gives Port FC a 35% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 36% for an Beijing Guoan win.
How many goals are expected in Port FC vs Beijing Guoan?
Expected goals: Port FC 1.3, Beijing Guoan 1.4 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Port FC vs Beijing Guoan?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.22%.