Skip to main content
← League Two

Port Vale - Northampton

League Two November 24, 2026 20:45 Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent
Port Vale
#19 · 15 pts
vs
Northampton
#21 · 14 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌤️ Mainly clear 18.3°C 💨 14 km/h · Stoke-On-Trent
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.85%
Win
Port Vale
41.69%
Draw
26.46%
Win
Northampton
0.43
Expected xG
0.31

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (19.91%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 42%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 68%
12 58%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 44%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Port Vale a 31% win probability, against 41% for a draw and 26% for Northampton. Expected goals are 0.4 for Port Vale and 0.3 for Northampton (total 0.7), with a 67% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.91% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Port Vale have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Northampton.

Season Stats

Port Vale
4W 3D 5L
Northampton
3W 5D 5L
Averages per game
0.8
Goals
0.7
1.2
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
58%
O 1.5
54%
17%
O 2.5
0%
33%
BTTS
31%
33%
Clean Sht
31%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in League Two. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
9%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Port Vale
4W 2D 0L · at home
Northampton
1W 3D 2L · away
1.3
gls/g
0.8
0.5
Conceded
1.0
67%
Win %
17%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
33%
O 1.5
83%
17%
O 2.5
0%
17%
O 3.5
0%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
17%
17%
Failed to Score
33%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Port Vale Northampton →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 47.8% 14.7% 2.3% 0.2% — —
1 20.6% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% — —
2 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% — — —
3 0.6% 0.2% — — — —
4 0.1% — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Port Vale Port Vale
W Rochdale 4–2
L York 2–0
D Gillingham 1–1
W Chesterfield 1–0
W Grimsby 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
Northampton Northampton
L Oldham 0–1
D Accrington ST 1–1
W Colchester 2–0
L Tranmere 0–1
W Grimsby 0–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 24%

Playing profile

Port Vale Port Vale
Attack
16
Defence
73
Form
46
Northampton Northampton
Attack
23
Defence
82
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Port Vale
1
Draw
0
Northampton
24 Feb 2026 League One 1–0
4 Oct 2025 League One 0–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Salford City Salford City 14 31
2 Barnet Barnet 13 26
3 Walsall Walsall 13 22
4 Crewe Crewe 14 22
5 Cheltenham Cheltenham 14 21
6 Grimsby Grimsby 14 20
7 York York 14 20
8 Gillingham Gillingham 14 20
9 Accrington ST Accrington ST 14 19
10 Chesterfield Chesterfield 14 19
11 Tranmere Tranmere 14 19
12 Exeter City Exeter City 14 19
13 Swindon Town Swindon Town 14 19
14 Newport County Newport County 14 18
15 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 14 18
16 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 14 17
17 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 14 16
18 Oldham Oldham 14 15
19 Port Vale Port Vale 12 15
20 Rochdale Rochdale 14 15
21 Northampton Northampton 13 14
22 Rotherham Rotherham 14 12
23 Colchester Colchester 13 12
24 Crawley Town Crawley Town 12 9
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Port Vale vs Northampton?
The model gives Port Vale a 31% win probability, 41% for a draw, and 26% for an Northampton win.
How many goals are expected in Port Vale vs Northampton?
Expected goals: Port Vale 0.4, Northampton 0.3 (total 0.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 67%.
What is the most likely score in Port Vale vs Northampton?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.91%.