MLS
· Regular Season - 22
August 30, 2026 04:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Portland Timbers, result Austin wins
Antony
89'
(pen.)
25'
(ast. J. Rosales)
F. Torres
90'+3
O. Svatok
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 67% win probability (draw 18%, Austin 14%). The final result was Portland Timbers 1–2 Austin.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
5
Shots on target
4
1.46
Actual xG
1.08
1
Saves
4
49%
Possession
51%
6
Corners
3
14
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
25'
ast. J. Rosales ·
F. Torres⚽
35'
Guilherme Biro
47'
M. Desler
G. Guerra
/ Antony
63'
63'
P. Placheta
/
J. Gallagher
63'
Z. Kolmanic
/
J. Alastuey
71'
B. Hines-Ike
/
M. Desler
C. Bassett
/ J. Ortiz
75'
J. Fory
/ I. Smith
75'
83'
O. Svatok
/
J. Bell
83'
I. Sanchez
/
F. Torres
E. Miller
/ O. Fernandez
83'
88'
O. Svatok
J. Caicedo
88'
⚽Antony
(pen.)
89'
90'+3
O. Svatok⚽
90'+7
J. Rosales
Pre-match prediction
67.16%
Portland
18.65%
X
14.18%
Austin ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Austin)
14.18%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.14
1.46
-0.68
0.72
1.08
+0.36
Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.46 vs 1.08).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
James Pantemis
G
James Pantemis
G
27
Jímer Fory
75'
D
Jímer Fory
75'
D
4
Kamal Miller
D
Kamal Miller
D
20
Finn Surman
D
Finn Surman
D
15
Eric Miller
83'
D
Eric Miller
83'
D
10
David Pereira da Costa
M
David Pereira da Costa
M
30
J. Caicedo
M
J. Caicedo
M
17
Cole Bassett
75'
M
Cole Bassett
75'
M
99
K. Velde
F
K. Velde
F
88
Gage Guerra
63'
F
Gage Guerra
63'
F
7
A. Lassiter
F
A. Lassiter
F
Bench
6
Alex Bonetig
D
Alex Bonetig
D
11
Antony Alves
1 ⚽
33'
F
Antony Alves
1 ⚽
33'
F
73
Eric Izoita
M
Eric Izoita
M
26
Hunter Sulte
G
Hunter Sulte
G
23
Ian Smith
21'
D
Ian Smith
21'
D
80
Joao Ortíz
21'
M
Joao Ortíz
21'
M
22
Omir Fernandez
13'
F
Omir Fernandez
13'
F
16
S. Jura
D
S. Jura
D
18
Zac McGraw
D
Zac McGraw
D
1
Brad Stuver
G
Brad Stuver
G
29
Guilherme Biro
D
Guilherme Biro
D
15
Jonathan Bell
83'
D
Jonathan Bell
83'
D
3
Mikkel Desler
71'
D
Mikkel Desler
71'
D
17
Jon Gallagher
63'
M
Jon Gallagher
63'
M
14
B. Šabović
M
B. Šabović
M
38
Ervin Torres
M
Ervin Torres
M
30
J. Rosales
1 👟
M
J. Rosales
1 👟
M
24
Jorge Alastuey
63'
F
Jorge Alastuey
63'
F
11
Facundo Torres
1 ⚽
83'
F
Facundo Torres
1 ⚽
83'
F
9
Brandon Vázquez
F
Brandon Vázquez
F
Bench
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
25'
D
Brendan Hines-Ike
25'
D
21
Christian Ramirez
F
Christian Ramirez
F
12
Damian Las
G
Damian Las
G
6
Ilie Sánchez
13'
M
Ilie Sánchez
13'
M
35
Mateja Đorđević
D
Mateja Đorđević
D
32
Micah Burton
M
Micah Burton
M
5
O. Svatok
1 ⚽
13'
D
O. Svatok
1 ⚽
13'
D
77
P. Płacheta
33'
M
P. Płacheta
33'
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
33'
D
Žan Kolmanič
33'
D
Best on the pitch
Finn Surman
D · Portland
7.50
· 65 pass
O. Svatok
D · Austin
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
Facundo Torres
F · Austin
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 45 pass
Kamal Miller
D · Portland
7.20
· 61 pass
J. Caicedo
M · Portland
7.20
· 68 pass
B. Šabović
M · Austin
7.20
1 shots
· 57 pass
Portland Timbers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Pantemis | G | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Jímer Fory | D | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Kamal Miller | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 61 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 65 | 63% | — | — | — |
| Eric Miller | D | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| David Pereira da Costa | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 57% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cole Bassett | M | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 36% | — | — | — |
| K. Velde | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Gage Guerra | F | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Lassiter | F | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Antony Alves | F | 33 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Ian Smith | D | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Joao Ortíz | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Omir Fernandez | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Austin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Stuver | G | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 54% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 83 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jon Gallagher | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | — | — | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 52% | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 59 | 52% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 96 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Alastuey | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Facundo Torres | F | 83 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 45 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| Brandon Vázquez | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 25 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| O. Svatok | D | 13 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Płacheta | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | D | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Austin?
The final score was Portland Timbers 1–2 Austin.
What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Austin?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 18% to a draw, and 14% to an Austin win.