Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas — pre-match prediction — MLS — July 23, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 04:30

Portland Timbers

#8 · 43 pts

2 – 2

Final score

FC Dallas

#2 · 55 pts

K. Kelsy 66'

F. Mora (ast. K. Velde) 90'+2

45'+1 (ast. J. Valiente) P. Delgado

88' P. Musa

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 40% win probability (draw 23%, FC Dallas 35%). The final result was Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas. In 1 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Dallas.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.34

Actual xG

1.01

Saves

62%

Possession

38%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

K. Miller

37'

45'+1

ast. J. Valiente · P. Delgado⚽

↕ A. Lassiter / K. Velde

55'

↕ J. Caicedo / D. Chara

55'

59'

H. Johansson

62'

P. Musa / L. Farrington ↕

62'

B. Kamungo / P. Delgado ↕

62'

S. Sarver / S. Moreno ↕

⚽K. Kelsy

66'

↕ K. Kelsy / F. Mora

81'

↕ C. Bassett / A. Aravena

81'

84'

S. Ibeagha / H. Johansson ↕

84'

R. Binyamin / J. Valiente ↕

88'

P. Musa⚽

⚽F. Mora · ast. K. Velde

90'+2

D. Chara

90'+4

90'+6

S. Ibeagha

B. Bye

90'

Pre-match prediction

40.92%

Portland

23.35%

X ←

35.73%

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.35% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Portland

1.71

2.34

+0.63

1.66

1.01

-0.65

Portland Timbers dominated by xG (2.34 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	61
2	FC Dallas	33	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	52
4	St. Louis City	33	51
5	Houston Dynamo	33	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	44
8	Portland Timbers	33	43
9	Colorado Rapids	33	43
10	Seattle Sounders	33	43
11	Real Salt Lake	33	42
12	Minnesota United FC	33	41
13	San Diego	33	38
14	Austin	33	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	23

Lineups

Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1

J. Pantemis G 6.30

J. Fory D 6.50

K. Miller D 7.20

F. Surman D 7.20

Brandon Bye D 6.50

J. Caicedo 55' M 6.90

Antony M 6.90

David Pereira da Costa M 7.30

C. Bassett 81' M 6.30

A. Lassiter 55' M 6.70

K. Kelsy 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.20

Bench

A. Aravena 17' F 5.90

A. Bonetig D

D. Chará 43' M 6.30

E. Miller D

F. Mora 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.70

Ian Smith D

J. Ortiz M

K. Velde 1 👟 43' F 7.30

T. Muse G

FC Dallas 4-4-1-1

Daniel G 7.00

N. Norris D 6.90

S. Moore D 7.00

O. Urhoghide D 6.30

H. Johansson 84' D 6.20

P. Delgado 1 ⚽ 62' M 7.30

Kaick M 7.30

C. Cappis M 7.20

J. Valiente 1 👟 84' M 6.90

S. Moreno 62' F 6.50

L. Farrington 62' F 6.50

Bench

A. Julio F

B. Kamungo 36' F 6.60

Caleb Swann M

J. Sirois G

L. Abubakar D

P. Musa 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.90

R. Binyamin 14' M 6.70

Samuel Sarver 36' F 6.70

S. Ibeagha 14' D 6.20

Best on the pitch

P. Musa

F · FC

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 22 pass

F. Mora

F · Portland

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 6 pass

Kaick

M · FC

7.30

· 44 pass

P. Delgado

M · FC

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 25 pass

David Pereira da Costa

M · Portland

7.30

· 48 pass

K. Velde

F · Portland

7.30

1 👟

2 shots · 11 pass

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Pantemis	G	98	6.30	—	—	—	28	20%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	98	6.50	—	—	—	59	54%	2	—	—
K. Miller	D	98	7.20	—	—	—	75	69%	—	1	—
F. Surman	D	98	7.20	—	—	—	67	62%	2	—	—
Brandon Bye	D	98	6.50	—	—	1	78	58%	2	1	—
J. Caicedo	M	55	6.90	—	—	—	43	39%	2	—	—
Antony	M	98	6.90	—	—	1	35	29%	2	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	98	7.30	—	—	—	48	41%	2	—	—
C. Bassett	M	81	6.30	—	—	2	46	40%	—	—	—
A. Lassiter	M	55	6.70	—	—	—	30	28%	1	—	—
K. Kelsy	F	81	7.20	1	—	4	18	14%	1	—	—
A. Aravena	F	17	5.90	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
D. Chará	M	43	6.30	—	—	—	28	22%	2	1	—
F. Mora	F	17	7.70	1	—	1	6	5%	—	—	—
K. Velde	F	43	7.30	—	1	2	11	7%	—	—	—

FC Dallas — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Daniel	G	98	7.00	—	—	—	26	18%	—	—	—
N. Norris	D	98	6.90	—	—	—	35	25%	1	—	—
S. Moore	D	98	7.00	—	—	—	31	27%	2	—	—
O. Urhoghide	D	98	6.30	—	—	—	22	14%	3	—	—
H. Johansson	D	84	6.20	—	—	—	13	12%	2	1	—
P. Delgado	M	62	7.30	1	—	2	25	23%	—	—	—
Kaick	M	98	7.30	—	—	—	44	36%	3	—	—
C. Cappis	M	98	7.20	—	—	—	54	45%	2	—	—
J. Valiente	M	84	6.90	—	1	—	24	22%	1	—	—
S. Moreno	F	62	6.50	—	—	1	32	25%	1	—	—
L. Farrington	F	62	6.50	—	—	1	14	11%	1	—	—
B. Kamungo	F	36	6.60	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
P. Musa	F	36	7.90	1	—	2	22	14%	—	—	—
R. Binyamin	M	14	6.70	—	—	—	5	5%	—	—	—
Samuel Sarver	F	36	6.70	—	—	1	5	3%	1	—	—
S. Ibeagha	D	14	6.20	—	—	—	3	2%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

The final score was Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas.

What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

The model assigned 40% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an FC Dallas win.