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MLS · Regular Season - 16 July 23, 2026 04:30
Portland Timbers
#8 · 32 pts
2 – 2
Final score
FC Dallas
#4 · 40 pts
K. Kelsy 66'
F. Mora (ast. K. Velde) 90'+2
45'+1 (ast. J. Valiente) P. Delgado
88' P. Musa
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 40% win probability (draw 23%, FC Dallas 35%). The final result was Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
2.34
Actual xG
1.01
1
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
3
16
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
K. Miller
37'
45'+1
ast. J. Valiente · P. Delgado⚽
↕ A. Lassiter / K. Velde
55'
↕ J. Caicedo / D. Chara
55'
59'
H. Johansson
62'
P. Musa / L. Farrington ↕
62'
B. Kamungo / P. Delgado ↕
62'
S. Sarver / S. Moreno ↕
⚽K. Kelsy
66'
↕ K. Kelsy / F. Mora
81'
↕ C. Bassett / A. Aravena
81'
84'
S. Ibeagha / H. Johansson ↕
84'
R. Binyamin / J. Valiente ↕
88'
P. Musa⚽
⚽F. Mora · ast. K. Velde
90'+2
D. Chara
90'+4
90'+6
S. Ibeagha
B. Bye
90'
Pre-match prediction
40.92%
Portland
23.35%
X ←
35.73%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portland
1.71
2.34
+0.63
FC
1.66
1.01
-0.65
Portland Timbers dominated by xG (2.34 vs 1.01). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1
41 J. Pantemis J. Pantemis G 6.30
27 J. Fory J. Fory D 6.50
4 K. Miller K. Miller D 7.20
20 F. Surman F. Surman D 7.20
5 Brandon Bye Brandon Bye D 6.50
30 J. Caicedo J. Caicedo 55' M 6.90
11 Antony Antony M 6.90
10 David Pereira da Costa David Pereira da Costa M 7.30
17 C. Bassett C. Bassett 81' M 6.30
7 A. Lassiter A. Lassiter 55' M 6.70
19 K. Kelsy K. Kelsy 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.20
Bench
6 A. Bonetig A. Bonetig D
28 Alexander Aravena Alexander Aravena 17' F 5.90
21 D. Chará D. Chará 43' M 6.30
15 E. Miller E. Miller D
9 Felipe Mora Felipe Mora 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.70
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith D
80 J. Ortiz J. Ortiz M
99 K. Velde K. Velde 1 👟 43' F 7.30
25 Trey Muse Trey Muse G
FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-4-1-1
42 Daniel Daniel G 7.00
32 N. Norris N. Norris D 6.90
18 S. Moore S. Moore D 7.00
3 O. Urhoghide O. Urhoghide D 6.30
14 H. Johansson H. Johansson 84' D 6.20
8 P. Delgado P. Delgado 1 ⚽ 62' M 7.30
55 Kaick Kaick M 7.30
12 C. Cappis C. Cappis M 7.20
21 J. Valiente J. Valiente 1 👟 84' M 6.90
10 S. Moreno S. Moreno 62' F 6.50
23 L. Farrington L. Farrington 62' F 6.50
Bench
11 Anderson Julio Anderson Julio F
77 B. Kamungo B. Kamungo 36' F 6.60
27 Caleb Swann Caleb Swann M
40 J. Sirois J. Sirois G
5 L. Abubakar L. Abubakar D
9 P. Musa P. Musa 1 ⚽ 36' F 7.90
6 R. Binyamin R. Binyamin 14' M 6.70
28 Samuel Sarver Samuel Sarver 36' F 6.70
25 S. Ibeagha S. Ibeagha 14' D 6.20
Best on the pitch
P. Musa
P. Musa
F · FC
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Felipe Mora
Felipe Mora
F · Portland
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 6 pass
Kaick
Kaick
M · FC
7.30
· 44 pass
P. Delgado
P. Delgado
M · FC
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
David Pereira da Costa
David Pereira da Costa
M · Portland
7.30
· 48 pass
K. Velde
K. Velde
F · Portland
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 11 pass
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pantemis G 98 6.30 — — — 28 20% — — —
J. Fory D 98 6.50 — — — 59 54% 2 — —
K. Miller D 98 7.20 — — — 75 69% — 1 —
F. Surman D 98 7.20 — — — 67 62% 2 — —
Brandon Bye D 98 6.50 — — 1 78 58% 2 1 —
J. Caicedo M 55 6.90 — — — 43 39% 2 — —
Antony M 98 6.90 — — 1 35 29% 2 — —
David Pereira da Costa M 98 7.30 — — — 48 41% 2 — —
C. Bassett M 81 6.30 — — 2 46 40% — — —
A. Lassiter M 55 6.70 — — — 30 28% 1 — —
K. Kelsy F 81 7.20 1 — 4 18 14% 1 — —
Alexander Aravena F 17 5.90 — — — 6 4% — — —
D. Chará M 43 6.30 — — — 28 22% 2 1 —
Felipe Mora F 17 7.70 1 — 1 6 5% — — —
K. Velde F 43 7.30 — 1 2 11 7% — — —
FC Dallas FC Dallas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel G 98 7.00 — — — 26 18% — — —
N. Norris D 98 6.90 — — — 35 25% 1 — —
S. Moore D 98 7.00 — — — 31 27% 2 — —
O. Urhoghide D 98 6.30 — — — 22 14% 3 — —
H. Johansson D 84 6.20 — — — 13 12% 2 1 —
P. Delgado M 62 7.30 1 — 2 25 23% — — —
Kaick M 98 7.30 — — — 44 36% 3 — —
C. Cappis M 98 7.20 — — — 54 45% 2 — —
J. Valiente M 84 6.90 — 1 — 24 22% 1 — —
S. Moreno F 62 6.50 — — 1 32 25% 1 — —
L. Farrington F 62 6.50 — — 1 14 11% 1 — —
B. Kamungo F 36 6.60 — — — 9 8% — — —
P. Musa F 36 7.90 1 — 2 22 14% — — —
R. Binyamin M 14 6.70 — — — 5 5% — — —
Samuel Sarver F 36 6.70 — — 1 5 3% 1 — —
S. Ibeagha D 14 6.20 — — — 3 2% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?
The final score was Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas.
What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 23% to a draw, and 35% to an FC Dallas win.