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MLS · Regular Season - 7 April 11, 2026 22:45
#10 · 32 pts
2 – 1
Final score
#6 · 41 pts
Kristoffer Velde (ast. Cole Bassett) 32'
Kevin Kelsy (ast. Brandon Bye) 90'+6
49' (ast. Matthew Evans) Jude Terry
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Los Angeles FC a 45% win probability (draw 26%, Portland Timbers 27%). The final result was Portland Timbers 2–1 Los Angeles FC. In 2 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles FC.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
5
1.55
Actual xG
0.80
4
Saves
0
58%
Possession
42%
1
Corners
7
19
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Jímer Fory
7'
14'
Matthew Evans
30'
Cabral Carter / Thomas Hasal ↕
⚽Kristoffer Velde · ast. Cole Bassett
32'
46'
Timothy Tillman / Mathieu Choinière ↕
49'
ast. Matthew Evans · Jude Terry⚽
56'
Marky Delgado / Matthew Evans ↕
56'
Ryan Porteous / Kenny Nielsen ↕
58'
Artem Smoliakov
↕ Jímer Fory / Ian Smith
64'
68'
Jacob Shaffelburg / Denis Bouanga ↕
↕ Antony Alves / Alexander Aravena
71'
76'
Ryan Raposo / Artem Smoliakov ↕
Kristoffer Velde
82'
88'
↕ Cole Bassett / Ariel Lassiter
89'
↕ Felipe Mora / Kevin Kelsy
89'
⚽Kevin Kelsy · ast. Brandon Bye
90'+6
↕ Kristoffer Velde / Diego Chara
90'
Pre-match prediction
27.65%
Portland ←
26.75%
X
45.59%
Los
we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 27.65% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portland
1.14
1.55
+0.41
Los
2.59
0.80
-1.79
Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.55 vs 0.80). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Lineups
41
G 7.60
27 J. Fory J. Fory 64' D 6.20
6 A. Bonetig A. Bonetig D 6.90
20 Finn Surman Finn Surman D 7.30
5
1 👟 D 7.20
30
M 7.90
17 C. Bassett C. Bassett 1 👟 89' M 7.30
11 Antony Antony 71' M 6.30
10 David Pereira da Costa David Pereira da Costa M 7.20
99 K. Velde K. Velde 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.90
9 F. Mora F. Mora 89' F 6.90
Bench
28 A. Aravena A. Aravena 19' F 6.60
21 D. Chará D. Chará 1' M
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith 26' D 6.60
80 J. Ortiz J. Ortiz M
19 Kevin Kelsy Kevin Kelsy 1 ⚽ 9' F 7.20
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-2-3-1
12 Thomas Hasal Thomas Hasal 30' G 6.30
29
Artem Smoliakov 76' D 6.50
91 N. Tafari N. Tafari D 6.90
45 Kenny Nielsen Kenny Nielsen 56' D 6.90
24 R. Hollingshead R. Hollingshead D 6.30
22 Jude Terry Jude Terry 1 ⚽ M 7.60
66 Mathieu Choinière Mathieu Choinière 45' M 6.60
99 D. Bouanga D. Bouanga 68' M 6.50
70 M. Evans M. Evans 1 👟 56' M 6.20
19 T. Boyd T. Boyd M 6.60
27 N. Ordaz N. Ordaz F 6.20
Bench
30 D. Martínez D. Martínez F
4 E. Segura E. Segura D
18 Jacob Shaffelburg Jacob Shaffelburg 22' F 6.50
17 J. Ebobisse J. Ebobisse F
5 R. Porteous R. Porteous 34' D 6.30
21 R. Raposo R. Raposo 14' M 6.50
11 T. Tillman T. Tillman 45' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
M · Portland
7.90
1 shots · 102 pass
K. Velde
K. Velde
M · Portland
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 40 pass
G · Portland
7.60
· 28 pass
Jude Terry
Jude Terry
M · Los
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 64 pass
Finn Surman
Finn Surman
D · Portland
7.30
· 93 pass
C. Bassett
C. Bassett
M · Portland
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 77 pass
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 28 25% — — —
J. Fory D 64 6.20 — — — 52 47% 1 1 —
A. Bonetig D 90 6.90 — — — 80 76% — — —
Finn Surman D 90 7.30 — — — 93 88% 3 — —
D 90 7.20 — 1 2 57 47% 3 — —
M 90 7.90 — — 1 102 91% 4 — —
C. Bassett M 89 7.30 — 1 1 77 73% 2 — —
Antony M 71 6.30 — — — 35 30% — — —
David Pereira da Costa M 90 7.20 — — 1 57 52% — — —
K. Velde M 89 7.90 1 — 2 40 34% 2 1 —
F. Mora F 89 6.90 — — — 13 11% 3 — —
A. Aravena F 19 6.60 — — 2 12 11% 1 — —
D. Chará M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Ian Smith D 26 6.60 — — — 16 16% — — —
Kevin Kelsy F 9 7.20 1 — 1 1 — — — —
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Thomas Hasal G 30 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
Artem Smoliakov D 76 6.50 — — 1 52 47% 2 1 —
N. Tafari D 90 6.90 — — 1 56 55% — — —
Kenny Nielsen D 56 6.90 — — — 40 33% 2 — —
R. Hollingshead D 90 6.30 — — 1 32 25% 5 — —
Jude Terry M 90 7.60 1 — 1 64 59% 2 — —
Mathieu Choinière M 45 6.60 — — — 39 35% 1 — —
D. Bouanga M 68 6.50 — — 2 17 13% 1 — —
M. Evans M 56 6.20 — 1 1 25 22% 2 1 —
T. Boyd M 90 6.60 — — 4 24 20% 1 — —
N. Ordaz F 90 6.20 — — 1 18 17% — — —
Jacob Shaffelburg F 22 6.50 — — — 12 8% — — —
R. Porteous D 34 6.30 — — — 19 16% 1 — —
R. Raposo M 14 6.50 — — — 3 3% — — —
T. Tillman M 45 6.70 — — — 26 23% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was Portland Timbers 2–1 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 26% to a draw, and 45% to an Los Angeles FC win.