Portland Timbers 5–4 Minnesota United FC — pre-match prediction — MLS — September 06, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 23 September 06, 2026 04:30

Portland Timbers

#9 · 32 pts

5 – 4

Final score

Minnesota United FC

#14 · 29 pts

Vincent Janssen 11' (pen.)

Drake Callender 20' (og)

Vincent Janssen (ast. David Da Costa) 26'

Vincent Janssen (ast. Ariel Lassiter) 55'

Kristoffer Velde (ast. Antony) 71'

32' (ast. Joaquín Pereyra) Marcus Caldeira

37' (ast. Kelvin Yeboah) Anthony Markanich

50' Marcus Caldeira

90'+2 (ast. Carlos Harvey) Tomás Chancalay

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 47% win probability (draw 22%, Minnesota United FC 29%). The final result was Portland Timbers 5–4 Minnesota United FC. In 1 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Minnesota United FC.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

40%

Possession

60%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽Vincent Janssen (pen.)

11'

⚽Drake Callender (og)

20'

24'

Michael Boxall

⚽Vincent Janssen · ast. David Da Costa

26'

32'

ast. Joaquín Pereyra · Marcus Caldeira⚽

↕ Jose Caicedo / Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri

37'

ast. Kelvin Yeboah · Anthony Markanich⚽

Finn Surman

45'+7

50'

Marcus Caldeira⚽

⚽Vincent Janssen · ast. Ariel Lassiter

55'

↕ Vincent Janssen / Diego Chará

68'

↕ Ariel Lassiter / Antony

69'

⚽Kristoffer Velde · ast. Antony

71'

72'

Nectarios Triantis / Wil Trapp ↕

72'

Tomás Chancalay / Marcus Caldeira ↕

74'

Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño

78'

Maurice Malone / Kelvin Yeboah ↕

↕ Eric Miller / Joel Waterman

81'

↕ David Da Costa / Ian Smith

82'

88'

Mauricio González Carabalí / Anthony Markanich ↕

88'

Carlos Harvey / Owen Gene ↕

90'+2

ast. Carlos Harvey · Tomás Chancalay⚽

90'+6

Morris Duggan

Pre-match prediction

47.8%

Portland ←

22.61%

29.59%

Minnesota

we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 47.8% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Portland

1.75

—

Minnesota

1.33

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	25	49
2	Houston Dynamo	26	44
3	St. Louis City	26	44
4	FC Dallas	26	44
5	San Jose Earthquakes	26	42
6	Los Angeles FC	27	41
7	Colorado Rapids	26	36
8	Los Angeles Galaxy	27	33
9	Portland Timbers	26	32
10	Seattle Sounders	25	32
11	San Diego	26	31
12	Austin	26	30
13	Real Salt Lake	26	29
14	Minnesota United FC	26	29
15	Sporting Kansas City	25	18

Lineups

Portland Timbers 4-3-3

James Pantemis G 6.19

Jímer Fory D 6.12

Kamal Miller D 6.12

Finn Surman D 6.16

Eric Miller 81' D 6.01

David Pereira da Costa 1 👟 82' M 6.94

J. Caicedo 37' M 6.48

Cole Bassett M 6.30

K. Velde 1 ⚽ F 7.97

Vincent Janssen 3 ⚽ 68' F 9.73

A. Lassiter 1 👟 69' F 6.84

Bench

Alex Bonetig D 0.00

Antony Alves 1 👟 21' F 7.00

Diego Chará 22' M 5.91

Gage Guerra F 0.00

Hunter Sulte G 0.00

Ian Smith 8' D 5.62

Joao Ortíz 53' M 6.47

Joel Waterman 9' D 5.69

Omir Fernandez F 0.00

Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2

Drake Callender 1 ⚽ G 5.27

Morris Duggan D 5.50

M. Boxall D 5.60

Jefferson Díaz D 5.79

Anthony Markanich 1 ⚽ 88' M 7.58

Owen Gene 88' M 6.57

Wil Trapp 72' M 6.69

Kyle Duncan M 6.25

J. Pereyra 1 👟 M 7.33

Kelvin Yeboah 1 👟 78' F 7.09

Marcus Caldeira 2 ⚽ 72' F 8.62

Bench

Alec Smir G 0.00

Aziel Jackson M 0.00

Carlos Harvey 1 👟 2' M 6.17

K. Chandler D 0.00

Maurice Malone 12' F 6.30

Mauricio González 2' F 6.32

Nectarios Triantis 18' D 5.48

Nicolás Romero D 0.00

Tomás Chancalay 1 ⚽ 18' F 7.23

Best on the pitch

Vincent Janssen

F · Portland

9.73

3 ⚽

4 shots · 34 pass

Marcus Caldeira

F · Minnesota

8.62

2 ⚽

2 shots · 9 pass

K. Velde

F · Portland

7.97

1 ⚽

3 shots · 42 pass

Anthony Markanich

M · Minnesota

7.58

1 ⚽

1 shots · 33 pass

J. Pereyra

M · Minnesota

7.33

1 👟

4 shots · 55 pass

Tomás Chancalay

F · Minnesota

7.23

1 ⚽

2 shots · 8 pass

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
James Pantemis	G	90	6.19	—	—	0	25	14%	0	—	—
Jímer Fory	D	90	6.12	—	—	1	52	43%	3	—	—
Kamal Miller	D	90	6.12	—	—	0	64	56%	2	—	—
Finn Surman	D	90	6.16	—	—	0	62	57%	2	1	—
Eric Miller	D	81	6.01	—	—	0	45	37%	1	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	82	6.94	—	1	1	45	40%	0	—	—
J. Caicedo	M	37	6.48	—	—	0	26	25%	3	—	—
Cole Bassett	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	48	41%	1	—	—
K. Velde	F	90	7.97	1	—	3	42	38%	1	—	—
Vincent Janssen	F	68	9.73	3	—	4	34	30%	3	—	—
A. Lassiter	F	69	6.84	—	1	1	30	22%	0	—	—
Antony Alves	F	21	7.00	—	1	0	14	10%	2	—	—
Diego Chará	M	22	5.91	—	—	0	12	12%	1	—	—
Ian Smith	D	8	5.62	—	—	0	10	7%	1	—	—
Joao Ortíz	M	53	6.47	—	—	0	31	30%	2	—	—
Joel Waterman	D	9	5.69	—	—	0	8	3%	0	—	—

Minnesota United FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Drake Callender	G	90	5.27	1	—	0	30	20%	0	—	—
Morris Duggan	D	90	5.50	—	—	0	66	58%	2	1	—
M. Boxall	D	90	5.60	—	—	0	61	58%	1	1	—
Jefferson Díaz	D	90	5.79	—	—	2	71	66%	3	1	—
Anthony Markanich	M	88	7.58	1	—	1	33	27%	1	—	—
Owen Gene	M	88	6.57	—	—	1	67	62%	1	—	—
Wil Trapp	M	72	6.69	—	—	0	43	40%	0	—	—
Kyle Duncan	M	90	6.25	—	—	2	44	40%	2	—	—
J. Pereyra	M	90	7.33	—	1	4	55	46%	0	—	—
Kelvin Yeboah	F	78	7.09	—	1	3	25	18%	1	—	—
Marcus Caldeira	F	72	8.62	2	—	2	9	8%	1	—	—
Carlos Harvey	M	2	6.17	—	1	0	12	10%	1	—	—
Maurice Malone	F	12	6.30	—	—	0	5	4%	1	—	—
Mauricio González	F	2	6.32	—	—	0	3	2%	0	—	—
Nectarios Triantis	D	18	5.48	—	—	0	17	14%	0	—	—
Tomás Chancalay	F	18	7.23	1	—	2	8	7%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC?

The final score was Portland Timbers 5–4 Minnesota United FC.

What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC?

The model assigned 47% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 22% to a draw, and 29% to an Minnesota United FC win.