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Portland Timbers - Puebla

Leagues Cup August 07, 2026 04:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.2%
Win
Portland Timbers
27.14%
Draw
27.66%
Win
Puebla
3.4
Expected xG
1.62

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (9.17%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 27%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 55%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portland Timbers a 45% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Puebla. Expected goals are 3.4 for Portland Timbers and 1.6 for Puebla (total 5.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.17% probability.

Season Stats

Portland Timbers
5W 3D 7L
Puebla
3W 3D 9L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
0.9
1.9
Conceded
1.7
4.8
Shots OT
4.3
4.9
Corners
4.4
52%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
73%
O 2.5
60%
73%
BTTS
53%
7%
Clean Sht
27%
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
37%
O 3.5
64%
BTTS
Portland Timbers
4W 2D 2L · at home
Puebla
2W 1D 7L · away
2.2
gls/g
0.6
1.8
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
30%
100%
O 1.5
50%
88%
O 2.5
50%
63%
O 3.5
10%
88%
BTTS
40%
13%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.

Score Matrix

↕ Portland Timbers Puebla →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
1 2.3% 3.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
2 3.8% 6.2% 5.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
3 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
4 3.7% 6.0% 4.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
5 2.5% 4.1% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%

Recent form

No data available
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
Attack
53
Defence
56
Form
58
Puebla Puebla
Attack
44
Defence
48
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Puebla?
The model gives Portland Timbers a 45% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 27% for an Puebla win.
How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers vs Puebla?
Expected goals: Portland Timbers 3.4, Puebla 1.6 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Portland Timbers vs Puebla?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.17%.