Portland Timbers - Puebla
Leagues Cup
August 07, 2026 04:30
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.2%
Win
Portland Timbers
27.14%
Draw
27.66%
Win
Puebla
3.4
1.62
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.17%)
1X2 Result
1
45%
X
27%
2
28%
Double Chance
1X
72%
X2
55%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portland Timbers a 45% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Puebla. Expected goals are 3.4 for Portland Timbers and 1.6 for Puebla (total 5.0), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.17% probability.
Season Stats
5W
3D
7L
3W
3D
9L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
0.9
1.9
Conceded
1.7
4.8
Shots OT
4.3
4.9
Corners
4.4
52%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
67%
73%
O 2.5
60%
73%
BTTS
53%
7%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
37%
O 3.5
64%
BTTS
4W
2D
2L
· at home
2W
1D
7L
· away
2.2
gls/g
0.6
1.8
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
30%
100%
O 1.5
50%
88%
O 2.5
50%
63%
O 3.5
10%
88%
BTTS
40%
13%
Clean Sht
30%
0%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ
Home/away records across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Portland Timbers
Puebla →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Portland Timbers
Attack
53
Defence
56
Form
58
Puebla
Attack
44
Defence
48
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Puebla?
The model gives Portland Timbers a 45% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 27% for an Puebla win.
How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers vs Puebla?
Expected goals: Portland Timbers 3.4, Puebla 1.6 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Portland Timbers vs Puebla?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.17%.