MLS
· Regular Season - 17
July 26, 2026 04:30
F. Mora
(ast. A. Lassiter)
56'
F. Mora
(ast. K. Velde)
67'
18'
(ast. M. Guilavogui)
J. Sanabria
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 48% win probability (draw 23%, Real Salt Lake 28%). The final result was Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Real Salt Lake.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
6
Shots on target
2
2.58
Actual xG
0.15
1
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
13
Corners
5
12
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
C. Bassett
10'
18'
ast. M. Guilavogui ·
J. Sanabria⚽
34'
M. Guilavogui
D. Chara
41'
55'
S. Solans
⚽F. Mora
· ast. A. Lassiter
56'
A. Lassiter
/ Antony
57'
58'
S. Junqua
/
D. Yedlin
⚽F. Mora
· ast. K. Velde
67'
D. Chara
/ J. Caicedo
72'
F. Mora
/ A. Aravena
72'
74'
S. Lobjanidze
/
D. Luna
74'
V. Olatunji
/
S. Solans
74'
J. J. Arias
/
L. Engel
85'
A. Katranis
/
J. Sanabria
C. Bassett
/ J. Ortiz
86'
Pre-match prediction
48.0%
Portland ←
23.88%
X
28.12%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers)
48.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
2.58
+0.82
1.26
0.15
-1.11
Portland Timbers dominated by xG (2.58 vs 0.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
J. Pantemis
G
J. Pantemis
G
27
J. Fory
D
J. Fory
D
4
K. Miller
D
K. Miller
D
20
Finn Surman
D
Finn Surman
D
5
Brandon Bye
D
Brandon Bye
D
21
D. Chará
72'
M
D. Chará
72'
M
99
K. Velde
1 👟
M
K. Velde
1 👟
M
10
David Pereira da Costa
M
David Pereira da Costa
M
17
C. Bassett
86'
M
C. Bassett
86'
M
7
A. Lassiter
1 👟
57'
M
A. Lassiter
1 👟
57'
M
9
F. Mora
2 ⚽
72'
F
F. Mora
2 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
28
A. Aravena
24'
F
A. Aravena
24'
F
6
A. Bonetig
D
A. Bonetig
D
11
Antony
39'
F
Antony
39'
F
15
E. Miller
D
E. Miller
D
23
Ian Smith
D
Ian Smith
D
30
J. Caicedo
24'
M
J. Caicedo
24'
M
80
J. Ortiz
10'
M
J. Ortiz
10'
M
53
S. Jura
D
S. Jura
D
25
Trey Muse
G
Trey Muse
G
1
Rafael Cabral
G
Rafael Cabral
G
4
L. Engel
74'
D
L. Engel
74'
D
26
P. Quinton
D
P. Quinton
D
2
D. Yedlin
58'
D
D. Yedlin
58'
D
8
Juan Sanabria
1 ⚽
85'
M
Juan Sanabria
1 ⚽
85'
M
92
N. Caliskan
M
N. Caliskan
M
6
S. Spierings
M
S. Spierings
M
72
Zavier Gozo
M
Zavier Gozo
M
9
M. Guilavogui
1 👟
34'
F
M. Guilavogui
1 👟
34'
F
22
S. Solans
74'
F
S. Solans
74'
F
10
D. Luna
74'
F
D. Luna
74'
F
Bench
98
Alexandros Katranis
11'
D
Alexandros Katranis
11'
D
27
Griffin Dillon
M
Griffin Dillon
M
21
J. Arias
22'
D
J. Arias
22'
D
31
M. Stajduhar
G
M. Stajduhar
G
7
P. Ruiz
M
P. Ruiz
M
12
Saba Lobzhanidze
22'
M
Saba Lobzhanidze
22'
M
29
S. Junqua
38'
D
S. Junqua
38'
D
17
Victor Olatunji
22'
F
Victor Olatunji
22'
F
23
Zach Booth
M
Zach Booth
M
Best on the pitch
K. Velde
M · Portland
8.30
1 👟
4 shots
· 35 pass
F. Mora
F · Portland
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
Juan Sanabria
M · Real
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 34 pass
K. Miller
D · Portland
7.70
· 79 pass
Rafael Cabral
G · Real
7.60
· 36 pass
A. Lassiter
M · Portland
7.30
1 👟
· 20 pass
Portland Timbers — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pantemis | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Fory | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Miller | D | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 2 | — | — |
| Finn Surman | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 64% | — | — | — |
| Brandon Bye | D | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chará | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Velde | M | 96 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 4 | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| David Pereira da Costa | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Bassett | M | 86 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 40 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Lassiter | M | 57 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| F. Mora | F | 72 | 8.20 | 2 | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Aravena | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Antony | F | 39 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Caicedo | M | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Ortiz | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | G | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Engel | D | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Quinton | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yedlin | D | 58 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 85 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Caliskan | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Spierings | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 14% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Guilavogui | F | 34 | 5.70 | — | 1 | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | 1 |
| S. Solans | F | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Luna | F | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandros Katranis | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| S. Junqua | D | 38 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 23% to a draw, and 28% to an Real Salt Lake win.