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MLS · Regular Season - 15 May 24, 2026 03:30
Portland Timbers
#8 · 43 pts
1 – 3
Final score
San Jose Earthquakes
#3 · 52 pts
Antony (ast. D. Da Costa) 18'
2' (ast. J. Skahan) P. Judd
12' (ast. N. Fernandez) P. Judd
24' (ast. J. Skahan) D. Munie
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave San Jose Earthquakes a 44% win probability (draw 22%, Portland Timbers 33%). The final result was Portland Timbers 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes. In 2 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for San Jose Earthquakes.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
6
7
Shots on target
6
1.71
Actual xG
0.96
3
Saves
6
66%
Possession
34%
4
Corners
6
24
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
2'
ast. J. Skahan · P. Judd⚽
12'
ast. N. Fernandez · P. Judd⚽
⚽Antony · ast. D. Da Costa
18'
24'
ast. J. Skahan · D. Munie⚽
41'
R. Roberts
45'+2
B. Kikanovic
46'
J. Jasinski / B. Kikanovic ↕
46'
I. Harkes / N. Fernandez ↕
K. Miller
51'
↕ K. Miller / I. Smith
56'
63'
D. Johnson / P. Judd ↕
70'
P. Marie / J. Skahan ↕
↕ B. Bye / J. Mosquera
70'
↕ J. Ortiz / A. Aravena
70'
73'
R. Vieira
82'
D. Romney / J. Ricketts ↕
↕ Antony / A. Lassiter
83'
↕ K. Kelsy / F. Mora
83'
Pre-match prediction
33.3%
Portland
22.31%
X
44.4%
San ←
we assigned to the actual result (San Jose Earthquakes) 44.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portland
1.60
1.71
+0.11
San
2.06
0.96
-1.1
Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.71 vs 0.96). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
41 J. Pantemis J. Pantemis G 7.20
27 J. Fory J. Fory D 6.30
4 K. Miller K. Miller 56' D 6.30
20 F. Surman F. Surman D 6.30
5 Brandon Bye Brandon Bye 70' D 6.30
17 C. Bassett C. Bassett M 7.00
80 J. Ortiz J. Ortiz 70' M 6.90
11 Antony Antony 1 ⚽ 83' M 8.20
10 David Pereira da Costa David Pereira da Costa 1 👟 M 6.90
99 K. Velde K. Velde M 6.90
19 K. Kelsy K. Kelsy 83' F 6.60
Bench
28 A. Aravena A. Aravena 26' F 6.60
6 A. Bonetig A. Bonetig D
7 A. Lassiter A. Lassiter 13' F 6.30
88 Andrew Guerra Andrew Guerra F
9 F. Mora F. Mora 13' F 6.30
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith 40' D 7.50
29 Juan Mosquera Juan Mosquera 26' D 6.70
16 S. Jura S. Jura D
25 T. Muse T. Muse G
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
42 Daniel Daniel G 7.30
2 J. Ricketts J. Ricketts 82' D 6.30
18 R. Roberts R. Roberts D 6.90
5 D. Munie D. Munie 1 ⚽ D 7.60
28 B. Kikanovic B. Kikanovic 45' D 6.20
34 Beau Leroux Beau Leroux M 7.90
14 R. Vieira R. Vieira M 6.90
16 J. Skahan J. Skahan 2 👟 70' M 6.90
20 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 1 👟 45' M 6.90
7 O. Bouda O. Bouda M 5.90
19 P. Judd P. Judd 2 ⚽ 63' F 8.30
Bench
79 D. Johnson D. Johnson 33' M 6.20
4 D. Romney D. Romney 14' D 6.70
31 Francesco Montali Francesco Montali G
6 I. Harkes I. Harkes 51' M 6.30
17 Jack Jasinski Jack Jasinski 51' D 6.70
40 J. Gónzalez J. Gónzalez M
25 M. Floriani M. Floriani D
32 Nonso Adimabua Nonso Adimabua F
3 P. Marie P. Marie 26' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
P. Judd
P. Judd
F · San
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
Antony
Antony
M · Portland
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 36 pass
Beau Leroux
Beau Leroux
M · San
7.90
1 shots · 30 pass
D. Munie
D. Munie
D · San
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 46 pass
Ian Smith
Ian Smith
D · Portland
7.50
1 shots · 28 pass
Daniel
Daniel
G · San
7.30
· 36 pass
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pantemis G 96 7.20 — — — 20 20% 1 — —
J. Fory D 96 6.30 — — — 64 57% 2 — —
K. Miller D 56 6.30 — — — 32 30% 1 1 —
F. Surman D 96 6.30 — — — 63 60% 2 — —
Brandon Bye D 70 6.30 — — 1 47 38% — — —
C. Bassett M 96 7.00 — — 2 83 78% 5 — —
J. Ortiz M 70 6.90 — — — 56 52% 1 — —
Antony M 83 8.20 1 — 2 36 31% 4 — —
David Pereira da Costa M 96 6.90 — 1 — 51 44% 1 — —
K. Velde M 96 6.90 — — 1 42 33% — — —
K. Kelsy F 83 6.60 — — 4 31 26% 2 — —
A. Aravena F 26 6.60 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
A. Lassiter F 13 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
F. Mora F 13 6.30 — — — 2 2% — — —
Ian Smith D 40 7.50 — — 1 28 21% 3 — —
Juan Mosquera D 26 6.70 — — 1 15 12% 1 — —
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Daniel G 96 7.30 — — — 36 17% — — —
J. Ricketts D 82 6.30 — — — 18 13% 1 — —
R. Roberts D 96 6.90 — — — 33 33% 3 1 —
D. Munie D 96 7.60 1 — 1 46 40% — — —
B. Kikanovic D 45 6.20 — — — 13 8% — 1 —
Beau Leroux M 96 7.90 — — 1 30 20% 7 — —
R. Vieira M 96 6.90 — — — 21 16% 2 1 —
J. Skahan M 70 6.90 — 2 — 11 7% 1 — —
N. Fernandez M 45 6.90 — 1 — 25 16% 1 — —
O. Bouda M 96 5.90 — — 1 15 11% — — —
P. Judd F 63 8.30 2 — 2 10 6% — — —
D. Johnson M 33 6.20 — — 1 7 4% — — —
D. Romney D 14 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
I. Harkes M 51 6.30 — — — 8 5% 2 — —
Jack Jasinski D 51 6.70 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
P. Marie D 26 6.70 — — — 7 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The final score was Portland Timbers 1–3 San Jose Earthquakes.
What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 22% to a draw, and 44% to an San Jose Earthquakes win.