Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders — pre-match prediction — MLS — August 02, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 18 August 02, 2026 04:45

Portland Timbers

#8 · 43 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Seattle Sounders

#10 · 43 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Portland Timbers

K. Kelsy (ast. K. Velde) 41'

B. Bye (ast. D. Da Costa) 82'

27' K. Kossa-Rienzi

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 63% win probability (draw 17%, Seattle Sounders 18%). The final result was Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders. In 1 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Seattle Sounders.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.69

Actual xG

1.22

Saves

53%

Possession

47%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

K. Kossa-Rienzi / P. Arriola ↕

25'

P. Kingston

27'

K. Kossa-Rienzi⚽

K. Miller

30'

⚽K. Kelsy · ast. K. Velde

41'

K. Kelsy

45'+5

46'

S. Gomez / P. Kingston ↕

↕ A. Lassiter / Antony

65'

71'

S. Gomez

73'

D. Musovski / O. De Rosario ↕

73'

A. Roldan / Kim Kee-Hee ↕

⚽B. Bye · ast. D. Da Costa

82'

84'

A. Lopez / K. Kossa-Rienzi ↕

↕ K. Kelsy / I. Smith

88'

↕ C. Bassett / J. Caicedo

88'

↕ K. Velde / O. Fernandez

90'+4

Pre-match prediction

63.6%

Portland ←

17.56%

18.84%

Seattle

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 63.6% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Portland

2.40

1.69

-0.71

Seattle

1.01

1.22

+0.21

Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.69 vs 1.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	61
2	FC Dallas	33	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	52
4	St. Louis City	33	51
5	Houston Dynamo	33	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	44
8	Portland Timbers	33	43
9	Colorado Rapids	33	43
10	Seattle Sounders	33	43
11	Real Salt Lake	33	42
12	Minnesota United FC	33	41
13	San Diego	33	38
14	Austin	33	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	23

Lineups

Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1

J. Pantemis G 6.90

J. Fory D 7.00

K. Miller D 7.60

F. Surman D 7.20

Brandon Bye 1 ⚽ D 8.30

D. Chará M 7.90

K. Velde 1 👟 M 7.30

David Pereira da Costa 1 👟 M 7.50

C. Bassett 88' M 6.90

A. Lassiter 65' M 7.00

K. Kelsy 1 ⚽ 88' F 6.90

Bench

A. Bonetig D

Antony 30' F 6.50

E. Miller D

Ian Smith 7' D

J. Caicedo 7' M

J. Ortiz M

O. Fernandez 1' F

S. Jura D

T. Muse G

Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1

A. Thomas G 6.20

N. Tolo D 7.00

S. Hawkins D 6.70

Kim Kee-Hee 73' D 6.60

P. Arriola 7' D

P. Kingston 45' M 6.20

S. Brunell M 6.30

P. Rothrock M 5.90

A. Rusnák M 6.90

J. Ferreira M 6.60

O. De Rosario 73' F 6.20

Bench

Antino Lopez 11' D 6.70

A. Roldan 22' D 6.50

D. Musovski 22' F 6.70

K. Kossa-Rienzi 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.90

R. Sailor D

S. Frei G

S. Gomez 50' M 6.50

Shane O'Neill M

Best on the pitch

Brandon Bye

D · Portland

8.30

1 ⚽

1 shots · 52 pass

D. Chará

M · Portland

7.90

· 55 pass

K. Kossa-Rienzi

M · Seattle

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 39 pass

K. Miller

D · Portland

7.60

· 69 pass

David Pereira da Costa

M · Portland

7.50

1 👟

1 shots · 54 pass

K. Velde

M · Portland

7.30

1 👟

2 shots · 42 pass

Portland Timbers — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Pantemis	G	95	6.90	—	—	—	18	14%	—	—	—
J. Fory	D	95	7.00	—	—	—	49	43%	—	—	—
K. Miller	D	95	7.60	—	—	—	69	60%	1	1	—
F. Surman	D	95	7.20	—	—	1	51	43%	1	—	—
Brandon Bye	D	95	8.30	1	—	1	52	44%	1	—	—
D. Chará	M	95	7.90	—	—	—	55	51%	2	—	—
K. Velde	M	94	7.30	—	1	2	42	35%	—	—	—
David Pereira da Costa	M	95	7.50	—	1	1	54	49%	1	—	—
C. Bassett	M	88	6.90	—	—	1	46	39%	1	—	—
A. Lassiter	M	65	7.00	—	—	1	21	18%	—	—	—
K. Kelsy	F	88	6.90	1	—	4	15	13%	—	1	—
Antony	F	30	6.50	—	—	—	13	11%	—	—	—
Ian Smith	D	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Caicedo	M	7	—	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
O. Fernandez	F	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Seattle Sounders — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Thomas	G	95	6.20	—	—	—	28	13%	—	—	—
N. Tolo	D	95	7.00	—	—	3	35	32%	3	—	—
S. Hawkins	D	95	6.70	—	—	1	40	35%	1	—	—
Kim Kee-Hee	D	73	6.60	—	—	—	34	28%	2	—	—
P. Arriola	D	7	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
P. Kingston	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	27	22%	2	1	—
S. Brunell	M	95	6.30	—	—	1	46	37%	1	—	—
P. Rothrock	M	95	5.90	—	—	—	22	22%	—	—	—
A. Rusnák	M	95	6.90	—	—	2	51	46%	—	—	—
J. Ferreira	M	95	6.60	—	—	2	48	38%	1	—	—
O. De Rosario	F	73	6.20	—	—	1	13	10%	—	—	—
Antino Lopez	D	11	6.70	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
A. Roldan	D	22	6.50	—	—	—	11	7%	1	—	—
D. Musovski	F	22	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
K. Kossa-Rienzi	M	77	7.90	1	—	1	39	33%	3	—	—
S. Gomez	M	50	6.50	—	—	—	22	18%	—	1	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?

The final score was Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders.

What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?

The model assigned 63% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an Seattle Sounders win.