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MLS · Regular Season - 18 August 02, 2026 04:45
Portland Timbers
#8 · 32 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Seattle Sounders
#13 · 27 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Portland Timbers
K. Kelsy (ast. K. Velde) 41'
B. Bye (ast. D. Da Costa) 82'
27' K. Kossa-Rienzi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portland Timbers a 63% win probability (draw 17%, Seattle Sounders 18%). The final result was Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders. In 1 previous meetings, Portland Timbers have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Seattle Sounders.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
1.69
Actual xG
1.22
2
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
5
7
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
7'
K. Kossa-Rienzi / P. Arriola ↕
25'
P. Kingston
27'
K. Kossa-Rienzi⚽
K. Miller
30'
⚽K. Kelsy · ast. K. Velde
41'
K. Kelsy
45'+5
46'
S. Gomez / P. Kingston ↕
↕ A. Lassiter / Antony
65'
71'
S. Gomez
73'
D. Musovski / O. De Rosario ↕
73'
A. Roldan / Kim Kee-Hee ↕
⚽B. Bye · ast. D. Da Costa
82'
84'
A. Lopez / K. Kossa-Rienzi ↕
↕ K. Kelsy / I. Smith
88'
↕ C. Bassett / J. Caicedo
88'
↕ K. Velde / O. Fernandez
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
63.6%
Portland ←
17.56%
X
18.84%
Seattle
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Portland Timbers) 63.6% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portland
2.40
1.69
-0.71
Seattle
1.01
1.22
+0.21
Portland Timbers dominated by xG (1.69 vs 1.22). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 23 46
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 43
3 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 25 40
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 24 40
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 24 38
6 St. Louis City St. Louis City 24 38
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 24 32
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 24 32
9 San Diego San Diego 24 30
10 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 23 29
11 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 24 29
12 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 25 29
13 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 22 27
14 Austin Austin 24 26
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 23 15
Lineups
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-1-4-1
41 J. Pantemis J. Pantemis G 6.90
27 J. Fory J. Fory D 7.00
4 K. Miller K. Miller D 7.60
20 F. Surman F. Surman D 7.20
5 Brandon Bye Brandon Bye 1 ⚽ D 8.30
21 D. Chará D. Chará M 7.90
99 K. Velde K. Velde 1 👟 M 7.30
10 David Pereira da Costa David Pereira da Costa 1 👟 M 7.50
17 C. Bassett C. Bassett 88' M 6.90
7 A. Lassiter A. Lassiter 65' M 7.00
19 K. Kelsy K. Kelsy 1 ⚽ 88' F 6.90
Bench
6 A. Bonetig A. Bonetig D
11 Antony Antony 30' F 6.50
15 E. Miller E. Miller D
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith 7' D
30 J. Caicedo J. Caicedo 7' M
80 J. Ortiz J. Ortiz M
22 O. Fernandez O. Fernandez 1' F
16 S. Jura S. Jura D
25 Trey Muse Trey Muse G
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
26 A. Thomas A. Thomas G 6.20
5 N. Tolo N. Tolo D 7.00
39 S. Hawkins S. Hawkins D 6.70
20 Kim Kee-Hee Kim Kee-Hee 73' D 6.60
17 P. Arriola P. Arriola 7' D
45 P. Kingston P. Kingston 45' M 6.20
37 S. Brunell S. Brunell M 6.30
14 P. Rothrock P. Rothrock M 5.90
11 A. Rusnák A. Rusnák M 6.90
9 Jesús Ferreira Jesús Ferreira M 6.60
95 O. De Rosario O. De Rosario 73' F 6.20
Bench
35 Antino Lopez Antino Lopez 11' D 6.70
16 A. Roldan A. Roldan 22' D 6.50
19 D. Musovski D. Musovski 22' F 6.70
85 K. Kossa-Rienzi K. Kossa-Rienzi 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.90
4 R. Sailor R. Sailor D
24 S. Frei S. Frei G
90 S. Gomez S. Gomez 50' M 6.50
40 Shane O'Neill Shane O'Neill M
Best on the pitch
Brandon Bye
Brandon Bye
D · Portland
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 52 pass
D. Chará
D. Chará
M · Portland
7.90
· 55 pass
K. Kossa-Rienzi
K. Kossa-Rienzi
M · Seattle
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
K. Miller
K. Miller
D · Portland
7.60
· 69 pass
David Pereira da Costa
David Pereira da Costa
M · Portland
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 54 pass
K. Velde
K. Velde
M · Portland
7.30
1 👟
2 shots · 42 pass
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Pantemis G 95 6.90 — — — 18 14% — — —
J. Fory D 95 7.00 — — — 49 43% — — —
K. Miller D 95 7.60 — — — 69 60% 1 1 —
F. Surman D 95 7.20 — — 1 51 43% 1 — —
Brandon Bye D 95 8.30 1 — 1 52 44% 1 — —
D. Chará M 95 7.90 — — — 55 51% 2 — —
K. Velde M 94 7.30 — 1 2 42 35% — — —
David Pereira da Costa M 95 7.50 — 1 1 54 49% 1 — —
C. Bassett M 88 6.90 — — 1 46 39% 1 — —
A. Lassiter M 65 7.00 — — 1 21 18% — — —
K. Kelsy F 88 6.90 1 — 4 15 13% — 1 —
Antony F 30 6.50 — — — 13 11% — — —
Ian Smith D 7 — — — — — — — — —
J. Caicedo M 7 — — — — 3 2% — — —
O. Fernandez F 1 — — — — — — — — —
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Thomas G 95 6.20 — — — 28 13% — — —
N. Tolo D 95 7.00 — — 3 35 32% 3 — —
S. Hawkins D 95 6.70 — — 1 40 35% 1 — —
Kim Kee-Hee D 73 6.60 — — — 34 28% 2 — —
P. Arriola D 7 — — — — 1 — — — —
P. Kingston M 45 6.20 — — — 27 22% 2 1 —
S. Brunell M 95 6.30 — — 1 46 37% 1 — —
P. Rothrock M 95 5.90 — — — 22 22% — — —
A. Rusnák M 95 6.90 — — 2 51 46% — — —
Jesús Ferreira M 95 6.60 — — 2 48 38% 1 — —
O. De Rosario F 73 6.20 — — 1 13 10% — — —
Antino Lopez D 11 6.70 — — — 7 7% — — —
A. Roldan D 22 6.50 — — — 11 7% 1 — —
D. Musovski F 22 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
K. Kossa-Rienzi M 77 7.90 1 — 1 39 33% 3 — —
S. Gomez M 50 6.50 — — — 22 18% — 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?
The final score was Portland Timbers 2–1 Seattle Sounders.
What did the model predict before Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders?
The model assigned 63% probability to a Portland Timbers win, 17% to a draw, and 18% to an Seattle Sounders win.