← Championship
Championship · Regular Season - 46 May 02, 2026 13:30
Portsmouth
#18 · 55 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Birmingham
#10 · 64 pts
A. Segecic (ast. J. Williams) 8'
19' (ast. K. Wagner) A. Priske

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Portsmouth 35%). The final result was Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Birmingham.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
5
0.54
Actual xG
1.18
4
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
9
14
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Segecic · ast. J. Williams
8'
17'
Paik Seung-Ho / J. Stansfield ↕
19'
ast. K. Wagner · A. Priske⚽
↕ J. Swift / C. Chaplin
21'
L. Le Roux
39'
↕ C. Ogilvie / R. Poole
46'
54'
T. Doyle / J. E. Solis Romero ↕
63'
C. Vicente
↕ H. Matthews / C. Shaughnessy
71'
↕ M. Alli / T. Waddingham
71'
A. Segecic
81'
82'
B. Osayi-Samuel
J. Mousinho
82'
↕ L. Le Roux / M. Pack
84'
Pre-match prediction
35.02%
Portsmouth
27.07%
X ←
37.91%
Birmingham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 27.07% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
1.08
0.54
-0.54
Birmingham
1.29
1.18
-0.11
Birmingham dominated by xG (1.18 vs 0.54). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
30
G 7.30
3
C. Ogilvie 45' D 6.30
17
I. Bowat D 7.20
14
H. Matthews 71' D 6.50
2
J. Williams 1 👟 D 6.70
21
A. Dozzell M 6.60
16
L. Le Roux 84' M 7.00
27
M. Alli 71' M 6.90
8
J. Swift 21' M 6.50
10
A. Segecic 1 ⚽ M 7.90
40
Jacob Brown F 6.20
Bench
36
C. Chaplin 73' F 7.30
6
C. Shaughnessy 23' D 6.90
38
E. Adams M
7 M. Pack M. Pack 10' M 6.70
5
R. Poole 49' D 6.90
Birmingham Birmingham 4-2-3-1
25
G 6.60
31
1 👟 D 7.30
4
Christoph Klarer D 7.30
5
P. Neumann D 7.00
26
B. Osayi-Samuel D 7.20
24
T. Iwata M 6.20
14
J. E. Solis Romero 54' M 6.60
17
Ibrahim Osman M 7.20
28
Jay Stansfield 17' M 6.00
23 Carlos Vicente Carlos Vicente M 5.90
29
A. Priske 1 ⚽ F 7.00
Bench
10
D. Gray F
2
E. Laird D
37
J. Panzo D
33
M. Ducksch F
8
Paik Seung-Ho 77' M 6.60
16
P. Roberts M
Best on the pitch
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
C. Chaplin
F · Portsmouth
7.30
3 shots · 31 pass
Christoph Klarer
D · Birmingham
7.30
· 17 pass
D · Birmingham
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
G · Portsmouth
7.30
· 28 pass
Ibrahim Osman
M · Birmingham
7.20
3 shots · 19 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 7.30 — — — 28 13% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 45 6.30 — — — 13 9% — — —
I. Bowat D 94 7.20 — — — 27 21% 2 — —
H. Matthews D 71 6.50 — — — 20 13% — — —
J. Williams D 94 6.70 — 1 — 23 17% 2 — —
A. Dozzell M 94 6.60 — — — 20 17% — — —
L. Le Roux M 84 7.00 — — — 24 21% 7 1 —
M. Alli M 71 6.90 — — 1 15 9% 1 — —
J. Swift M 21 6.50 — — — 8 6% — — —
A. Segecic M 94 7.90 1 — 3 16 12% — 1 —
Jacob Brown F 94 6.20 — — 1 13 11% — — —
C. Chaplin F 73 7.30 — — 3 31 21% 2 — —
C. Shaughnessy D 23 6.90 — — — 8 6% — — —
M. Pack M 10 6.70 — — — 4 3% — — —
R. Poole D 49 6.90 — — — 12 10% — — —
Birmingham Birmingham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 94 6.60 — — — 29 8% — — —
D 94 7.30 — 1 1 24 16% 2 — —
Christoph Klarer D 94 7.30 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
P. Neumann D 94 7.00 — — — 16 10% 1 — —
B. Osayi-Samuel D 94 7.20 — — — 18 16% 5 1 —
T. Iwata M 94 6.20 — — — 24 18% — — —
J. E. Solis Romero M 54 6.60 — — — 17 14% 1 — —
Ibrahim Osman M 94 7.20 — — 3 19 12% 3 — —
Jay Stansfield M 17 6.00 — — 1 1 1% — — —
Carlos Vicente M 94 5.90 — — 1 22 17% 2 1 —
A. Priske F 94 7.00 1 — 3 20 6% 1 — —
Paik Seung-Ho M 77 6.60 — — — 24 20% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
The final score was Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Portsmouth win, 27% to a draw, and 37% to an Birmingham win.