A. Segecic
(ast. J. Williams)
8'
19'
(ast. K. Wagner)
A. Priske
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Birmingham a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Portsmouth 35%). The final result was Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Birmingham.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
5
0.54
Actual xG
1.18
4
Saves
1
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
9
14
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽A. Segecic
· ast. J. Williams
8'
17'
Paik Seung-Ho
/
J. Stansfield
19'
ast. K. Wagner ·
A. Priske⚽
J. Swift
/ C. Chaplin
21'
L. Le Roux
39'
C. Ogilvie
/ R. Poole
46'
54'
T. Doyle
/
J. E. Solis Romero
63'
C. Vicente
H. Matthews
/ C. Shaughnessy
71'
M. Alli
/ T. Waddingham
71'
A. Segecic
81'
82'
B. Osayi-Samuel
J. Mousinho
82'
L. Le Roux
/ M. Pack
84'
Pre-match prediction
35.02%
Portsmouth
27.07%
X ←
37.91%
Birmingham
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.08
0.54
-0.54
1.29
1.18
-0.11
Birmingham dominated by xG (1.18 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
30
G
3
C. Ogilvie
45'
D
C. Ogilvie
45'
D
17
I. Bowat
D
I. Bowat
D
14
H. Matthews
71'
D
H. Matthews
71'
D
2
J. Williams
1 👟
D
J. Williams
1 👟
D
21
A. Dozzell
M
A. Dozzell
M
16
Luke Le Roux
84'
M
Luke Le Roux
84'
M
27
M. Alli
71'
M
M. Alli
71'
M
8
J. Swift
21'
M
J. Swift
21'
M
10
A. Segecic
1 ⚽
M
A. Segecic
1 ⚽
M
40
J. Brown
F
J. Brown
F
Bench
36
C. Chaplin
73'
F
C. Chaplin
73'
F
6
C. Shaughnessy
23'
D
C. Shaughnessy
23'
D
38
E. Adams
M
E. Adams
M
7
M. Pack
10'
M
M. Pack
10'
M
5
R. Poole
49'
D
R. Poole
49'
D
25
G
31
1 👟
D
4
C. Klarer
D
C. Klarer
D
5
P. Neumann
D
P. Neumann
D
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
B. Osayi-Samuel
D
24
T. Iwata
M
T. Iwata
M
14
J. Solis
54'
M
J. Solis
54'
M
17
I. Osman
M
I. Osman
M
28
J. Stansfield
17'
M
J. Stansfield
17'
M
23
Carlos Vicente
M
Carlos Vicente
M
29
A. Priske
1 ⚽
F
A. Priske
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
D. Gray
F
D. Gray
F
2
E. Laird
D
E. Laird
D
37
J. Panzo
D
33
M. Ducksch
F
M. Ducksch
F
16
P. Roberts
M
P. Roberts
M
8
Seung Ho Paik
77'
M
Seung Ho Paik
77'
M
Best on the pitch
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 16 pass
C. Chaplin
F · Portsmouth
7.30
3 shots
· 31 pass
C. Klarer
D · Birmingham
7.30
· 17 pass
D · Birmingham
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
G · Portsmouth
7.30
· 28 pass
I. Osman
M · Birmingham
7.20
3 shots
· 19 pass
Portsmouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| C. Ogilvie | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | — | — |
| I. Bowat | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Matthews | D | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 13% | — | — | — |
| J. Williams | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dozzell | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Luke Le Roux | M | 84 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 7 | 1 | — |
| M. Alli | M | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Swift | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| A. Segecic | M | 94 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Brown | F | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Chaplin | F | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Shaughnessy | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Pack | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| R. Poole | D | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Birmingham — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 8% | — | — | — | |
| D | 94 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — | |
| C. Klarer | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Neumann | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Osayi-Samuel | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| T. Iwata | M | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Solis | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Osman | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Stansfield | M | 17 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vicente | M | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Priske | F | 94 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Seung Ho Paik | M | 77 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
The final score was Portsmouth 1–1 Birmingham.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Birmingham?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Portsmouth win, 27% to a draw, and 37% to an Birmingham win.