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Championship · Regular Season - 12 October 24, 2026 13:30 Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Portsmouth
#11 · 18 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Millwall
#13 · 15 pts
Lyndon Dykes 16' (og)
Thomas Waddingham 82'
6' Jenson Metcalfe
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Millwall 31%). The final result was Portsmouth 2–1 Millwall. In 2 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Millwall.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
1
0.91
Actual xG
0.73
0
Saves
1
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
6'
Jenson Metcalfe⚽
⚽Lyndon Dykes (og)
16'
24'
Tristan Crama
45'
Jake Cooper
↕ Adrian Segecic / Ebou Adams
61'
↕ Ryan Kavuma-McQueen / Tyrese Shade
62'
68'
Mihailo·Ivanovic / Lyndon Dykes ↕
68'
Romain Esse / Kyrell Lisbie ↕
Marko Milovanović
71'
↕ Marko Milovanović / Thomas Waddingham
71'
75'
Ryan Leonard / Tristan Crama ↕
76'
Alfie Doughty / Luke Cundle ↕
⚽Thomas Waddingham
82'
87'
D. Kelly / Jenson Metcalfe ↕
Zak Swanson
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
38.12%
Portsmouth ←
30.07%
X
31.8%
Millwall
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 38.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
1.20
0.91
-0.3
Millwall
1.05
0.73
-0.32
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 0.73). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1 N. Schmid N. Schmid G 6.10
22 Z. Swanson Z. Swanson D 5.93
55 M. Dia M. Dia D 6.46
5 R. Poole R. Poole D 6.63
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin D 6.22
37 I. Mohamed I. Mohamed M 6.31
7 M. Pack M. Pack M 6.37
25 R. Kavuma McQueen R. Kavuma McQueen 62' M 6.68
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic 61' M 6.14
11 A. Kamara A. Kamara M 5.97
29 M. Milovanović M. Milovanović 71' F 6.24
Bench
31 D. Bielica D. Bielica G 0.00
38 E. Adams E. Adams 29' M 6.42
32 E. Kenny E. Kenny M 0.00
15 F. Umeh F. Umeh F 0.00
16 J. Meghoma J. Meghoma D 0.00
27 O. Bailey O. Bailey M 0.00
19 R. Shein R. Shein M 0.00
17 T. Shade T. Shade 28' F 6.76
20 T. Waddingham T. Waddingham 1 ⚽ 19' F 7.83
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
15 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe G 5.21
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge D 6.44
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 5.55
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 6.51
4 T. Crama T. Crama 75' D 5.66
49 D. Mazou-Sacko D. Mazou-Sacko M 6.34
14 Jenson Metcalfe Jenson Metcalfe 1 ⚽ 87' M 8.20
22 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 68' M 5.92
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 76' M 6.29
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli M 5.51
13 L. Dykes L. Dykes 1 ⚽ 68' F 5.38
Bench
45 A. Doughty A. Doughty 14' M 6.11
16 D. Kelly D. Kelly 3' M 6.07
12 E. Baggott E. Baggott D 0.00
41 G. Evans G. Evans G 0.00
2 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu D 0.00
9 M. Ivanović M. Ivanović 22' F 6.19
17 M. Sykes M. Sykes M 0.00
11 R. Esse R. Esse 22' M 6.03
18 R. Leonard R. Leonard 15' D 6.03
Best on the pitch
Jenson Metcalfe
Jenson Metcalfe
M · Millwall
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 45 pass
T. Waddingham
T. Waddingham
F · Portsmouth
7.83
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
T. Shade
T. Shade
F · Portsmouth
6.76
2 shots · 8 pass
R. Kavuma McQueen
R. Kavuma McQueen
M · Portsmouth
6.68
· 3 pass
R. Poole
R. Poole
D · Portsmouth
6.63
1 shots · 55 pass
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
6.51
· 47 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Schmid G 90 6.10 — — 0 57 30% 0 — —
Z. Swanson D 90 5.93 — — 0 27 14% 4 1 —
M. Dia D 90 6.46 — — 0 37 28% 0 — —
R. Poole D 90 6.63 — — 1 55 40% 1 — —
T. Devlin D 90 6.22 — — 1 26 18% 3 — —
I. Mohamed M 90 6.31 — — 0 34 26% 4 — —
M. Pack M 90 6.37 — — 1 47 37% 0 — —
R. Kavuma McQueen M 62 6.68 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
A. Segecic M 61 6.14 — — 0 13 11% 0 — —
A. Kamara M 90 5.97 — — 0 11 9% 0 — —
M. Milovanović F 71 6.24 — — 1 6 3% 0 1 —
E. Adams M 29 6.42 — — 0 12 8% 1 — —
T. Shade F 28 6.76 — — 2 8 6% 1 — —
T. Waddingham F 19 7.83 1 — 1 3 2% 0 — —
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crocombe G 90 5.21 — — 0 29 13% 0 — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 90 6.44 — — 0 37 31% 0 — —
J. Cooper D 90 5.55 — — 1 56 39% 1 1 —
C. Taylor D 90 6.51 — — 0 47 37% 1 — —
T. Crama D 75 5.66 — — 0 25 20% 2 1 —
D. Mazou-Sacko M 90 6.34 — — 0 30 27% 2 — —
Jenson Metcalfe M 87 8.20 1 — 2 45 39% 3 — —
K. Lisbie M 68 5.92 — — 3 10 7% 1 — —
L. Cundle M 76 6.29 — — 0 26 24% 1 — —
C. Neghli M 90 5.51 — — 3 28 18% 1 — —
L. Dykes F 68 5.38 1 — 1 13 9% 0 — —
A. Doughty M 14 6.11 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
D. Kelly M 3 6.07 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
M. Ivanović F 22 6.19 — — 0 2 0% 0 — —
R. Esse M 22 6.03 — — 0 3 2% 2 — —
R. Leonard D 15 6.03 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Millwall?
The final score was Portsmouth 2–1 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Millwall?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Portsmouth win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Millwall win.