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Championship · Regular Season - 41 April 06, 2026 13:30 Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Portsmouth
#11 · 18 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Oxford United
K. Anderson (ast. C. Bishop) 9'
A. Dozzell (ast. M. Alli) 87'
48' B. Spencer
81' (ast. M. Helik) W. Lankshear
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 40% win probability (draw 32%, Oxford United 26%). The final result was Portsmouth 2–2 Oxford United. In 1 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Oxford United.

Match statistics
5
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
2
0.61
Actual xG
0.85
1
Saves
1
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
4
17
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽K. Anderson · ast. C. Bishop
9'
C. Ogilvie
17'
↕ C. Chaplin / J. Williams
21'
46'
H. ter Avest / S. Long ↕
46'
W. Vaulks / Y. E. Konak ↕
48'
B. Spencer⚽
59'
B. Spencer
61'
W. Vaulks
A. Dozzell
62'
M. Pack
65'
66'
P. Placheta / B. Spencer ↕
78'
M. Helik
80'
M. Harris / M. Peart-Harris ↕
↕ K. Anderson / M. Alli
80'
81'
ast. M. Helik · W. Lankshear⚽
⚽A. Dozzell · ast. M. Alli
87'
Pre-match prediction
40.9%
Portsmouth
32.54%
X ←
26.56%
Oxford
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
1.03
0.61
-0.42
Oxford
0.93
0.85
-0.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.61 – 0.85). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1
72' G 6.20
3 C. Ogilvie C. Ogilvie 17' D 3.00
6 C. Shaughnessy C. Shaughnessy 72' D 6.60
5 R. Poole R. Poole 72' D 7.00
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin 72' D 6.60
21 A. Dozzell A. Dozzell 1 ⚽ 72' M 6.90
7 M. Pack M. Pack 72' M 7.00
37 K. Anderson K. Anderson 1 ⚽ 72' M 8.30
36 C. Chaplin C. Chaplin 21' M 6.30
47 G. Caballero G. Caballero 72' M 6.60
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop 1 👟 72' F 6.60
Bench
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic M
29 H. Blair H. Blair F
40 J. Brown J. Brown F
26 J. Bursik J. Bursik G
8 J. Swift J. Swift M
2 J. Williams J. Williams 51' D 6.90
16 Luke Le Roux Luke Le Roux M
27 M. Alli M. Alli 1 👟 F
55 M. Dia M. Dia D
Oxford United Oxford United 4-2-3-1
1
72' G 6.90
15 B. Spencer B. Spencer 1 ⚽ 66' D 7.20
3 C. Brown C. Brown 72' D 6.90
6 M. Helik M. Helik 1 👟 72' D 6.30
2 S. Long S. Long 45' D 6.20
8 C. Brannagan C. Brannagan 72' M 6.90
5 Y. Konak Y. Konak 45' M 6.50
44 M. Peart-Harris M. Peart-Harris 72' M 6.20
33 J. Donley J. Donley 72' M 6.30
17 S. Mills S. Mills 72' M 7.20
27 W. Lankshear W. Lankshear 1 ⚽ 72' F 6.00
Bench
24 Hidde ter Avest Hidde ter Avest 27' D 6.60
38 Jamie Carson McDonnell Jamie Carson McDonnell M
9 M. Harris M. Harris F
4 W. Vaulks W. Vaulks 27' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
K. Anderson
K. Anderson
M · Portsmouth
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 23 pass
S. Mills
S. Mills
M · Oxford
7.20
1 shots · 27 pass
B. Spencer
B. Spencer
D · Oxford
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
R. Poole
R. Poole
D · Portsmouth
7.00
1 shots · 15 pass
M. Pack
M. Pack
M · Portsmouth
7.00
· 24 pass
J. Williams
J. Williams
D · Portsmouth
6.90
· 10 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 72 6.20 — — — 33 11% — — —
C. Ogilvie D 17 3.00 — — — 6 4% — — 1
C. Shaughnessy D 72 6.60 — — — 14 11% 4 — —
R. Poole D 72 7.00 — — 1 15 10% 2 — —
T. Devlin D 72 6.60 — — — 16 11% 2 — —
A. Dozzell M 72 6.90 1 — 1 28 27% — 1 —
M. Pack M 72 7.00 — — — 24 23% 1 1 —
K. Anderson M 72 8.30 1 — 2 23 20% 1 — —
C. Chaplin M 21 6.30 — — — 11 9% — — —
G. Caballero M 72 6.60 — — 1 8 8% 2 — —
C. Bishop F 72 6.60 — 1 — 11 6% — — —
J. Williams D 51 6.90 — — — 10 8% 5 — —
Oxford United Oxford United — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 72 6.90 — — — 24 19% — — —
B. Spencer D 66 7.20 1 — 1 14 11% 3 1 —
C. Brown D 72 6.90 — — — 48 44% — — —
M. Helik D 72 6.30 — 1 — 41 38% — — —
S. Long D 45 6.20 — — — 20 14% — — —
C. Brannagan M 72 6.90 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Y. Konak M 45 6.50 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
M. Peart-Harris M 72 6.20 — — — 10 6% 1 — —
J. Donley M 72 6.30 — — — 14 11% 1 — —
S. Mills M 72 7.20 — — 1 27 21% 1 — —
W. Lankshear F 72 6.00 1 — — 5 5% 1 — —
Hidde ter Avest D 27 6.60 — — — 17 16% 1 — —
W. Vaulks M 27 6.70 — — — 16 12% 1 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Oxford United?
The final score was Portsmouth 2–2 Oxford United.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Oxford United?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Portsmouth win, 32% to a draw, and 26% to an Oxford United win.