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Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 15, 2026 16:00 Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Portsmouth
#11 · 18 pts
1 – 3
Final score
QPR
#8 · 20 pts
T. Devlin (ast. E. Adams) 15'
33' (ast. H. Vale) I. Chair
40' (ast. I. Chair) K. Saito
45'+2 (ast. A. S. Mbengue) I. Chair
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 34% win probability (draw 32%, QPR 32%). The final result was Portsmouth 1–3 QPR. In 2 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for QPR.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
11
6
Shots on target
6
2.00
Actual xG
2.04
3
Saves
5
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
3
17
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Devlin · ast. E. Adams
15'
20'
K. Adamson / B. Kemper ↕
25'
R. Edwards
33'
ast. H. Vale · I. Chair⚽
40'
ast. I. Chair · K. Saito⚽
45'+2
ast. A. S. Mbengue · I. Chair⚽
↕ L. Brooke-Smith / R. Kavuma McQueen
46'
58'
P. Smyth / K. Saito ↕
58'
G. Kamara / K. Poku ↕
↕ A. Kamara / J. Murphy
65'
↕ Z. Swanson / B. Arthur
72'
↕ R. Poole / Marezi
72'
74'
J. Varane / A. S. Mbengue ↕
74'
A. Lloyd / R. Burrell ↕
↕ E. Adams / O. Bailey
83'
Pre-match prediction
34.62%
Portsmouth
32.47%
X
32.91%
QPR ←
we assigned to the actual result (QPR) 32.91% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
1.28
2.00
+0.72
QPR
1.65
2.04
+0.39
xG dominance was balanced (2.00 – 2.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1 N. Schmid N. Schmid G 7.50
22 Z. Swanson Z. Swanson 72' D 6.30
6 C. Shaughnessy C. Shaughnessy D 6.30
5 R. Poole R. Poole 72' D 5.90
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin 1 ⚽ D 7.20
38 E. Adams E. Adams 1 👟 83' M 7.20
19 R. Shein R. Shein M 6.70
28 L. Brooke-Smith L. Brooke-Smith 45' M 6.30
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic M 7.50
11 A. Kamara A. Kamara 65' M 6.30
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop F 7.70
Bench
2 Benjamin Arthur Benjamin Arthur 18' D 7.20
31 D. Bielica D. Bielica G
23 Josh Murphy Josh Murphy 25' M 6.30
8 J. Swift J. Swift M
16 Luke Le Roux Luke Le Roux M
55 M. Dia M. Dia D
29 M. Milovanović M. Milovanović 18' F 6.60
27 O. Bailey O. Bailey 14' M 6.30
25 R. Kavuma McQueen R. Kavuma McQueen 45' F 7.30
QPR QPR 4-2-3-1
1 P. Charles P. Charles G 6.60
12 B. Kemper B. Kemper 20' D 6.20
6 J. Clarke-Salter J. Clarke-Salter D 6.30
3 J. Dunne J. Dunne D 6.60
27 A. Mbengue A. Mbengue 1 👟 74' D 7.00
5 R. Edwards R. Edwards M 6.50
20 H. Vale H. Vale 1 👟 M 7.70
14 K. Saito K. Saito 1 ⚽ 58' M 7.70
10 I. Chair I. Chair 2 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.70
17 K. Poku K. Poku 58' M 6.70
16 R. Burrell R. Burrell 74' F 6.30
Bench
15 A. Lloyd A. Lloyd 16' F 6.20
13 C. Ward C. Ward G
18 G. Kamara G. Kamara 32' M 7.20
23 I. Alemayehu I. Alemayehu M
40 J. Varane J. Varane 16' M 6.60
2 K. Adamson K. Adamson 70' D 6.90
4 L. Morrison L. Morrison D
11 P. Smyth P. Smyth 32' F 7.20
22 R. Kone R. Kone F
Best on the pitch
I. Chair
I. Chair
M · QPR
8.70
2 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots · 27 pass
K. Saito
K. Saito
M · QPR
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 10 pass
H. Vale
H. Vale
M · QPR
7.70
1 👟
2 shots · 25 pass
C. Bishop
C. Bishop
F · Portsmouth
7.70
· 18 pass
N. Schmid
N. Schmid
G · Portsmouth
7.50
· 38 pass
A. Segecic
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
7.50
3 shots · 15 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Schmid G 90 7.50 — — — 38 25% — — —
Z. Swanson D 72 6.30 — — — 41 34% 1 — —
C. Shaughnessy D 90 6.30 — — 2 64 56% — — —
R. Poole D 72 5.90 — — — 46 43% — — —
T. Devlin D 90 7.20 1 — 1 37 28% 3 — —
E. Adams M 83 7.20 — 1 — 39 35% 2 — —
R. Shein M 90 6.70 — — 1 47 43% — — —
L. Brooke-Smith M 45 6.30 — — 1 9 8% 1 — —
A. Segecic M 90 7.50 — — 3 15 12% 1 — —
A. Kamara M 65 6.30 — — 1 16 13% — — —
C. Bishop F 90 7.70 — — — 18 11% — — —
Benjamin Arthur D 18 7.20 — — — 12 10% 2 — —
Josh Murphy M 25 6.30 — — — 6 1% — — —
M. Milovanović F 18 6.60 — — 2 5 4% 1 — —
O. Bailey M 14 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
R. Kavuma McQueen F 45 7.30 — — 2 12 10% 6 — —
QPR QPR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Charles G 90 6.60 — — — 53 38% — — —
B. Kemper D 20 6.20 — — — 6 5% — — —
J. Clarke-Salter D 90 6.30 — — — 42 37% 1 — —
J. Dunne D 90 6.60 — — — 43 36% 1 — —
A. Mbengue D 74 7.00 — 1 — 23 19% — — —
R. Edwards M 90 6.50 — — — 33 24% 1 1 —
H. Vale M 90 7.70 — 1 2 25 16% 2 — —
K. Saito M 58 7.70 1 — 1 10 7% 1 — —
I. Chair M 90 8.70 2 1 5 27 21% — — —
K. Poku M 58 6.70 — — — 11 8% 2 — —
R. Burrell F 74 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
A. Lloyd F 16 6.20 — — 1 11 6% 1 — —
G. Kamara M 32 7.20 — — 1 26 23% 1 — —
J. Varane M 16 6.60 — — — 4 3% — — —
K. Adamson D 70 6.90 — — — 25 19% — — —
P. Smyth F 32 7.20 — — 1 15 12% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs QPR?
The final score was Portsmouth 1–3 QPR.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs QPR?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Portsmouth win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an QPR win.