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Championship · Regular Season - 10 October 14, 2026 20:45 Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Portsmouth
#11 · 18 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Sheffield Utd
#12 · 16 pts
Zak Swanson 41'
Adrian Segecic (ast. Ryan Kavuma-McQueen) 54'
Ebou Adams 89'
59' (ast. Tahith Chong) Japhet Tanganga
67' (ast. Kalvin Phillips) Thomas Cannon
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portsmouth a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Sheffield Utd 31%). The final result was Portsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd. In 2 previous meetings, Portsmouth have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sheffield Utd.

Match statistics
24
Total shots
11
7
Shots on target
4
2.25
Actual xG
2.03
2
Saves
4
67%
Possession
33%
10
Corners
6
19
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Jayden Meghoma
27'
35'
Hamza Choudhury
⚽Zak Swanson
41'
44'
Hamza Choudhury
45'
Mark McGuinness / Patrick Bamford ↕
45'
Kalvin Phillips / Ben Brereton ↕
⚽Adrian Segecic · ast. Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
54'
59'
ast. Tahith Chong · Japhet Tanganga⚽
Nicolas Schmid
60'
60'
Sam McCallum
60'
Oliver Arblaster / Joe Rothwell ↕
↕ Marko Milovanović / Colby·Bishop
62'
67'
ast. Kalvin Phillips · Thomas Cannon⚽
↕ Abu Kamara / Keshi Anderson
68'
↕ Iyad Mohamed / Ebou Adams
69'
↕ Zak Swanson / Terry Devlin
69'
79'
Romelle Donovan / Tahith Chong ↕
79'
Tyrese Campbell / Thomas Cannon ↕
Ebou Adams
82'
↕ Keshi Anderson / Odin Bailey
87'
⚽Ebou Adams
89'
Pre-match prediction
37.81%
Portsmouth ←
30.69%
X
31.5%
Sheffield
we assigned to the actual result (Portsmouth) 37.81% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Portsmouth
1.28
2.25
+0.97
Sheffield
1.09
2.03
+0.94
xG dominance was balanced (2.25 – 2.03). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
1 N. Schmid N. Schmid G 6.58
16 J. Meghoma J. Meghoma D 6.77
55 M. Dia M. Dia D 7.44
5 R. Poole R. Poole D 6.71
22 Z. Swanson Z. Swanson 1 ⚽ 69' D 7.17
37 I. Mohamed I. Mohamed 69' M 6.40
7 M. Pack M. Pack M 6.55
25 R. Kavuma McQueen R. Kavuma McQueen 1 👟 M 7.39
10 A. Segecic A. Segecic 1 ⚽ M 8.20
11 A. Kamara A. Kamara 68' M 6.32
29 M. Milovanović M. Milovanović 62' F 6.42
Bench
30 B. Killip B. Killip G 0.00
9 C. Bishop C. Bishop 28' F 6.61
31 D. Bielica D. Bielica G 0.00
38 E. Adams E. Adams 1 ⚽ 21' M 7.03
32 E. Kenny E. Kenny M 0.00
21 K. Anderson K. Anderson 19' M 6.21
27 O. Bailey O. Bailey 3' M 6.10
19 R. Shein R. Shein M 0.00
24 T. Devlin T. Devlin 21' M 6.11
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 4-4-2
1 M. Cooper M. Cooper G 6.34
3 S. McCallum S. McCallum D 5.46
15 L. Kitching L. Kitching D 6.11
5 J. Tanganga J. Tanganga 1 ⚽ D 6.84
8 H. Choudhury H. Choudhury 44' D 5.16
22 B. Brereton B. Brereton 45' M 5.86
7 J. Rothwell J. Rothwell 60' M 6.48
42 Sydie Peck Sydie Peck M 6.44
19 T. Chong T. Chong 1 👟 79' M 6.27
45 P. Bamford P. Bamford 45' F 5.96
9 T. Cannon T. Cannon 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.52
Bench
17 A. Davies A. Davies G 0.00
14 H. Burrows H. Burrows D 0.00
10 J. Ayew J. Ayew F 0.00
44 J. Riedewald J. Riedewald M 0.00
27 K. Phillips K. Phillips 1 👟 45' M 6.58
25 M. McGuinness M. McGuinness 45' D 6.25
4 O. Arblaster O. Arblaster 30' M 6.01
11 R. Donovan R. Donovan 11' M 5.79
23 T. Campbell T. Campbell 11' F 6.24
Best on the pitch
A. Segecic
A. Segecic
M · Portsmouth
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 30 pass
T. Cannon
T. Cannon
F · Sheffield
7.52
1 ⚽
5 shots · 13 pass
M. Dia
M. Dia
D · Portsmouth
7.44
· 56 pass
R. Kavuma McQueen
R. Kavuma McQueen
M · Portsmouth
7.39
1 👟
7 shots · 14 pass
Z. Swanson
Z. Swanson
D · Portsmouth
7.17
1 ⚽
1 shots · 42 pass
E. Adams
E. Adams
M · Portsmouth
7.03
1 ⚽
2 shots · 20 pass
Portsmouth Portsmouth — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Schmid G 90 6.58 — — 0 39 26% 0 1 —
J. Meghoma D 90 6.77 — — 1 43 41% 2 1 —
M. Dia D 90 7.44 — — 0 56 52% 7 — —
R. Poole D 90 6.71 — — 3 65 51% 1 — —
Z. Swanson D 69 7.17 1 — 1 42 33% 1 — —
I. Mohamed M 69 6.40 — — 3 27 23% 1 — —
M. Pack M 90 6.55 — — 2 76 64% 0 — —
R. Kavuma McQueen M 90 7.39 — 1 7 14 11% 2 — —
A. Segecic M 90 8.20 1 — 2 30 26% 1 — —
A. Kamara M 68 6.32 — — 0 25 21% 1 — —
M. Milovanović F 62 6.42 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
C. Bishop F 28 6.61 — — 1 4 2% 0 — —
E. Adams M 21 7.03 1 — 2 20 16% 1 1 —
K. Anderson M 19 6.21 — — 1 12 12% 0 — —
O. Bailey M 3 6.10 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
T. Devlin M 21 6.11 — — 0 19 17% 2 — —
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Cooper G 90 6.34 — — 0 34 9% 0 — —
S. McCallum D 90 5.46 — — 0 16 8% 0 1 —
L. Kitching D 90 6.11 — — 1 22 16% 5 — —
J. Tanganga D 90 6.84 1 — 1 13 13% 1 — —
H. Choudhury D 44 5.16 — — 0 12 9% 1 — 1
B. Brereton M 45 5.86 — — 0 12 9% 1 — —
J. Rothwell M 60 6.48 — — 0 24 21% 3 — —
Sydie Peck M 90 6.44 — — 0 33 25% 1 — —
T. Chong M 79 6.27 — 1 1 9 8% 3 — —
P. Bamford F 45 5.96 — — 1 5 2% 0 — —
T. Cannon F 79 7.52 1 — 5 13 6% 1 — —
K. Phillips M 45 6.58 — 1 1 18 15% 4 — —
M. McGuinness D 45 6.25 — — 1 6 2% 2 — —
O. Arblaster M 30 6.01 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
R. Donovan M 11 5.79 — — 0 4 4% 1 — —
T. Campbell F 11 6.24 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
The final score was Portsmouth 3–2 Sheffield Utd.
What did the model predict before Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Portsmouth win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Sheffield Utd win.