World Cup
· Group Stage - 1
June 17, 2026 19:00
J. Neves
(ast. P. Neto)
6'
45'+5
(ast. A. Masuaku)
Y. Wissa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portugal a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Congo DR 22%). The final result was Portugal 1–1 Congo DR.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
2
0.62
Actual xG
0.82
1
Saves
0
75%
Possession
25%
4
Corners
4
10
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Neves
· ast. P. Neto
6'
B. Silva
13'
32'
C. Mbemba
45'+5
ast. A. Masuaku ·
Y. Wissa⚽
B. Silva
/ F. Conceicao
46'
57'
N. Sadiki
/
N. Mukau
P. Neto
/ R. Leao
71'
N. Mendes
/ N. Semedo
72'
74'
C. Pickel
/
E. Kayembe
74'
J. Kayembe
/
A. Masuaku
Vitinha
/ G. Ramos
83'
85'
S. Banza
/
C. Bakambu
85'
G. Kalulu
/
A. Wan-Bissaka
N. Semedo
88'
T. Araujo
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
50.11%
Portugal
27.1%
X ←
22.79%
Congo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.1%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
0.62
-1.16
0.95
0.82
-0.13
xG dominance was balanced (0.62 – 0.82).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
25
Nuno Mendes
72'
D
Nuno Mendes
72'
D
13
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
4
Tomás Araújo
D
Tomás Araújo
D
20
João Cancelo
D
João Cancelo
D
23
Vitinha
83'
M
Vitinha
83'
M
15
João Neves
1 ⚽
M
João Neves
1 ⚽
M
18
Pedro Neto
1 👟
71'
M
Pedro Neto
1 👟
71'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
M
Bruno Fernandes
M
10
Bernardo Silva
45'
M
Bernardo Silva
45'
M
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
F
Bench
5
Diogo Dalot
D
Diogo Dalot
D
26
Francisco Conceição
48'
F
Francisco Conceição
48'
F
19
Gonçalo Guedes
F
Gonçalo Guedes
F
14
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
9
Gonçalo Ramos
10'
F
Gonçalo Ramos
10'
F
11
João Félix
F
João Félix
F
12
José Sá
G
José Sá
G
6
Matheus Nunes
M
Matheus Nunes
M
2
Nélson Semedo
21'
D
Nélson Semedo
21'
D
17
Rafael Leão
22'
F
Rafael Leão
22'
F
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
21
Rúben Neves
M
Rúben Neves
M
22
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
24
Samú Costa
M
Samú Costa
M
16
Trincão
F
Trincão
F
1
L. Mpasi
G
L. Mpasi
G
26
Arthur Masuaku
1 👟
74'
D
Arthur Masuaku
1 👟
74'
D
3
S. Kapuadi
D
S. Kapuadi
D
4
A. Tuanzebe
D
A. Tuanzebe
D
22
C. Mbemba
D
C. Mbemba
D
2
A. Wan-Bissaka
85'
D
A. Wan-Bissaka
85'
D
25
E. Kayembe
74'
M
E. Kayembe
74'
M
8
S. Moutoussamy
M
S. Moutoussamy
M
6
N. Mukau
57'
M
N. Mukau
57'
M
17
C. Bakambu
85'
F
C. Bakambu
85'
F
20
Y. Wissa
1 ⚽
F
Y. Wissa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
15
A. Tshibola
M
A. Tshibola
M
9
B. Cipenga
F
B. Cipenga
F
18
C. Pickel
19'
M
C. Pickel
19'
M
5
Dylan Batubinsika
D
Dylan Batubinsika
D
19
Fiston Mayele
F
Fiston Mayele
F
11
Gaël Kakuta
M
Gaël Kakuta
M
24
G. Kalulu
8'
D
12
J. Kayembe
19'
D
J. Kayembe
19'
D
21
M. Epolo
G
M. Epolo
G
13
Meschak Elia
F
Meschak Elia
F
7
N. Mbuku
F
N. Mbuku
F
14
N. Sadiki
36'
M
N. Sadiki
36'
M
23
Simon Banza
8'
F
10
T. Bongonda
M
T. Bongonda
M
16
Timothy Fayulu
G
Timothy Fayulu
G
Best on the pitch
João Neves
M · Portugal
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 86 pass
Bruno Fernandes
M · Portugal
7.90
1 shots
· 75 pass
Vitinha
M · Portugal
7.50
· 128 pass
Renato Veiga
D · Portugal
7.30
· 91 pass
Y. Wissa
F · Congo
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
Pedro Neto
M · Portugal
7.00
1 👟
· 41 pass
Portugal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 91 | 88% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 102 | 95% | — | 1 | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 62 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 83 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 128 | 121% | — | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 93 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 86 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 41 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 66% | 3 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Conceição | F | 48 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
Congo DR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Mpasi | G | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Masuaku | D | 74 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kapuadi | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mbemba | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Wan-Bissaka | D | 85 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Kayembe | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Moutoussamy | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Mukau | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| C. Bakambu | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 93 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Pickel | M | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Kalulu | D | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kayembe | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Sadiki | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Simon Banza | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portugal vs Congo DR?
The final score was Portugal 1–1 Congo DR.
What did the model predict before Portugal vs Congo DR?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Portugal win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Congo DR win.