Portugal - Denmark
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.01%
Win
Portugal
26.18%
Draw
15.81%
Win
Denmark
1.8
0.84
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.5%)
1X2 Result
1
58%
X
26%
2
16%
Double Chance
1X
84%
X2
42%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portugal a 58% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Denmark. Expected goals are 1.8 for Portugal and 0.8 for Denmark (total 2.6), with a 82% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.5% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Portugal have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Denmark.
Season Stats
10W
3D
1L
5W
2D
5L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
1.4
1.1
Conceded
1.4
5.7
Shots OT
4.6
6.4
Corners
5.3
56%
Poss.
48%
Percentages
79%
O 1.5
67%
71%
O 2.5
42%
79%
BTTS
42%
14%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 14 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
47%
O 3.5
68%
BTTS
6W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
2D
3L
· away
2.7
gls/g
1.2
1.1
Conceded
1.8
86%
Win %
17%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
86%
O 1.5
50%
86%
O 2.5
50%
43%
O 3.5
50%
86%
BTTS
50%
14%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Portugal
Denmark →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 12.8% | 10.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | — |
| 2 | 11.5% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Portugal
Attack
54
Defence
69
Form
70
Denmark
Attack
45
Defence
61
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
What's at stake · League A - Group D
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #2 |
| → Portugal | #1 | #2 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Denmark | #1 | #2 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Portugal vs Denmark?
The model gives Portugal a 58% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 15% for an Denmark win.
How many goals are expected in Portugal vs Denmark?
Expected goals: Portugal 1.8, Denmark 0.8 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 82%.
What is the most likely score in Portugal vs Denmark?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.5%.