Portugal - Norway
⚡ Pre-match analysis
65.73%
Win
Portugal
14.0%
Draw
20.27%
Win
Norway
3.76
2.06
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Portugal
65.73%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–2
(5.81%)
1X2 Result
1
66%
X
14%
2
20%
Double Chance
1X
80%
X2
34%
12
86%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
86%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portugal a 65% win probability, against 14% for a draw and 20% for Norway. Expected goals are 3.8 for Portugal and 2.1 for Norway (total 5.8), with a 93% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–2 at 5.81% probability.
Season Stats
6W
3D
1L
4W
1D
1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.5
1.1
Conceded
1.2
5.4
Shots OT
6.2
6.4
Corners
6.0
57%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
83%
70%
O 2.5
83%
80%
BTTS
50%
10%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ
Based on the last 10 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
64%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
4W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
1D
1L
· away
3.2
gls/g
1.7
1.4
Conceded
2.0
80%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
67%
60%
O 3.5
67%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
33%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Portugal
Norway →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 5 | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Portugal
Attack
41
Defence
70
Form
66
Norway
Attack
48
Defence
56
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Unavailable
Norway
Injured
UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 4
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #3 |
| → Portugal | #1 | #3 |
| → Draw | #1 | #2 |
| → Norway | #2 | #1 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Portugal vs Norway?
The model gives Portugal a 65% win probability, 14% for a draw, and 20% for an Norway win.
How many goals are expected in Portugal vs Norway?
Expected goals: Portugal 3.8, Norway 2.1 (total 5.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 93%.
What is the most likely score in Portugal vs Norway?
3–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 5.81%.