World Cup
· Group Stage - 2
June 23, 2026 19:00
✓Model correct — prediction Portugal
C. Ronaldo
(ast. J. Cancelo)
6'
N. Mendes
17'
C. Ronaldo
(ast. B. Fernandes)
39'
A. Nematov
60'
(og)
R. Leao
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portugal a 67% win probability (draw 20%, Uzbekistan 12%). The final result was Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
9
Shots on target
2
2.44
Actual xG
0.24
2
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
3
Corners
2
13
Tackles
17
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽C. Ronaldo
· ast. J. Cancelo
6'
14'
O. Khamrobekov
⚽N. Mendes
17'
29'
⚽C. Ronaldo
· ast. B. Fernandes
39'
J. Cancelo
/ N. Semedo
46'
P. Neto
/ F. Conceicao
46'
46'
K. Alizhonov
/
S. Nasrullaev
46'
A. Mozgovoy
/
O. Khamrobekov
⚽A. Nematov
(og)
60'
Joao Felix
/ Trincao
64'
R. Veiga
68'
73'
I. Sergeev
/
A. Fayzullaev
J. Neves
/ B. Silva
76'
Vitinha
/ R. Leao
83'
⚽R. Leao
87'
90'+2
R. Jiyanov
/
B. Karimov
90'+2
S. Esanov
/
O. Shukurov
Pre-match prediction
67.26%
Portugal ←
20.29%
X
12.46%
Uzbekistan
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Portugal)
67.26%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.32
2.44
+0.12
0.82
0.24
-0.58
Portugal dominated by xG (2.44 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
25
Nuno Mendes
1 ⚽
D
Nuno Mendes
1 ⚽
D
13
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
20
João Cancelo
1 👟
45'
D
João Cancelo
1 👟
45'
D
23
Vitinha
83'
M
Vitinha
83'
M
15
João Neves
76'
M
João Neves
76'
M
11
João Félix
64'
M
João Félix
64'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
Bruno Fernandes
1 👟
M
18
Pedro Neto
45'
M
Pedro Neto
45'
M
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
2 ⚽
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
2 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Bernardo Silva
15'
M
Bernardo Silva
15'
M
5
Diogo Dalot
D
Diogo Dalot
D
26
Francisco Conceição
46'
F
Francisco Conceição
46'
F
16
Francisco Trincão
27'
F
Francisco Trincão
27'
F
19
Gonçalo Guedes
F
Gonçalo Guedes
F
14
Gonçalo Inácio
D
Gonçalo Inácio
D
9
Gonçalo Ramos
F
Gonçalo Ramos
F
12
José Sá
G
José Sá
G
6
Matheus Nunes
M
Matheus Nunes
M
2
Nélson Semedo
46'
D
Nélson Semedo
46'
D
17
Rafael Leão
1 ⚽
8'
F
Rafael Leão
1 ⚽
8'
F
21
Rúben Neves
M
Rúben Neves
M
22
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
24
Samú Costa
M
Samú Costa
M
4
Tomás Araújo
D
12
Abduvokhid Nematov
1 ⚽
G
Abduvokhid Nematov
1 ⚽
G
5
Rustam Ashurmatov
D
Rustam Ashurmatov
D
18
Abdulla Abdullaev
D
Abdulla Abdullaev
D
2
A. Khusanov
D
A. Khusanov
D
13
Sherzod Nasrullaev
45'
M
Sherzod Nasrullaev
45'
M
7
Otabek Shukurov
M
Otabek Shukurov
M
9
Odiljon Khamrobekov
45'
M
Odiljon Khamrobekov
45'
M
24
Bekhruz Karimov
M
Bekhruz Karimov
M
22
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
73'
F
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
73'
F
19
Azizjon Ganiev
F
Azizjon Ganiev
F
14
Eldor Shomurodov
F
Eldor Shomurodov
F
Bench
6
Akmal Mozgovoy
46'
M
Akmal Mozgovoy
46'
M
25
Avazbek Ulmasaliyev
D
Avazbek Ulmasaliyev
D
20
Azizbek Amanov
F
Azizbek Amanov
F
16
Botirali Ergashev
G
Botirali Ergashev
G
17
Dostonbek Khamdamov
M
Dostonbek Khamdamov
M
4
Farrukh Sayfiev
D
Farrukh Sayfiev
D
21
Igor Sergeev
18'
F
Igor Sergeev
18'
F
26
Jakhongir Urozov
D
Jakhongir Urozov
D
8
Jamshid Iskandarov
M
Jamshid Iskandarov
M
3
Khozhiakbar Alizhonov
46'
D
Khozhiakbar Alizhonov
46'
D
11
Oston Urunov
M
Oston Urunov
M
10
Ruslanbek Jiyanov
M
Ruslanbek Jiyanov
M
23
Sherzod Esanov
M
Sherzod Esanov
M
15
Umarbek Eshmuradov
D
Umarbek Eshmuradov
D
1
Utkir Yusupov
G
Utkir Yusupov
G
Best on the pitch
Cristiano Ronaldo
F · Portugal
8.70
2 ⚽
6 shots
· 17 pass
Bruno Fernandes
M · Portugal
8.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 67 pass
Nuno Mendes
D · Portugal
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 52 pass
Vitinha
M · Portugal
7.70
1 shots
· 98 pass
Rafael Leão
F · Portugal
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Rúben Dias
D · Portugal
7.60
· 61 pass
Portugal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 91 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 52 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 91 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 67 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| Rúben Dias | D | 91 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 60% | 2 | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 83 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 98 | 95% | — | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| João Félix | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 91 | 8.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 67 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 91 | 8.70 | 2 | — | 6 | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Conceição | F | 46 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Francisco Trincão | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Nélson Semedo | D | 46 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Leão | F | 8 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Uzbekistan — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abduvokhid Nematov | G | 91 | 6.20 | 1 | — | — | 20 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Rustam Ashurmatov | D | 91 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdulla Abdullaev | D | 91 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Khusanov | D | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Sherzod Nasrullaev | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Otabek Shukurov | M | 91 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Odiljon Khamrobekov | M | 45 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Bekhruz Karimov | M | 91 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Abbosbek Fayzullaev | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Azizjon Ganiev | F | 91 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| Eldor Shomurodov | F | 91 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Akmal Mozgovoy | M | 46 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Igor Sergeev | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Khozhiakbar Alizhonov | D | 46 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
The final score was Portugal 5–0 Uzbekistan.
What did the model predict before Portugal vs Uzbekistan?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Portugal win, 20% to a draw, and 12% to an Uzbekistan win.