✓Model correct — prediction Portugal
Joao Felix
(ast. Nuno Mendes)
22'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Portugal a 72% win probability (draw 13%, Wales 14%). The final result was Portugal 1–0 Wales.
Match statistics
23
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
10
Corners
2
9
Tackles
7
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Joao Felix
· ast. Nuno Mendes
22'
59'
63'
Daniel James
/
David Brooks
Rúben Neves
/ João Palhinha
67'
Cristiano Ronaldo
/ Gonçalo Ramos
67'
71'
Ben Cabango
71'
Chris Mepham
/
Ben Cabango
77'
Kieffer Moore
/
Lewis Koumas
77'
Sorba Thomas
/
Jordan James
Nuno Mendes
/ Nuno Tavares
78'
João Cancelo
/ Diogo Dalot
90'
Bruno Fernandes
/ João Neves
90'
Pre-match prediction
72.39%
Portugal ←
13.46%
X
14.15%
Wales
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Portugal)
72.39%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.50
—
—
1.60
—
—
Lineups
1
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
19
Nuno Mendes
1 👟
78'
D
Nuno Mendes
1 👟
78'
D
13
Renato Veiga
D
Renato Veiga
D
3
Rúben Dias
D
Rúben Dias
D
20
João Cancelo
89'
D
João Cancelo
89'
D
21
Rúben Neves
67'
M
Rúben Neves
67'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
89'
M
Bruno Fernandes
89'
M
23
Vitinha
M
Vitinha
M
18
Pedro Neto
M
Pedro Neto
M
7
Cristiano Ronaldo
67'
F
Cristiano Ronaldo
67'
F
11
João Félix
1 ⚽
F
João Félix
1 ⚽
F
Bench
10
Bernardo Silva
M
Bernardo Silva
M
2
Diogo Dalot
1'
D
Diogo Dalot
1'
D
14
Francisco Conceição
F
Francisco Conceição
F
9
Gonçalo Ramos
23'
F
Gonçalo Ramos
23'
F
15
João Neves
1'
M
João Neves
1'
M
6
João Palhinha
23'
M
João Palhinha
23'
M
5
Nuno Tavares
12'
D
Nuno Tavares
12'
D
17
Rafael Leão
F
Rafael Leão
F
12
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
22
Samuel Soares
G
Samuel Soares
G
4
Tomás Araújo
D
Tomás Araújo
D
16
Trincão
F
Trincão
F
12
D. Ward
G
D. Ward
G
15
J. Dasilva
D
J. Dasilva
D
4
B. Davies
D
B. Davies
D
6
B. Cabango
71'
D
B. Cabango
71'
D
3
N. Williams
D
N. Williams
D
17
J. James
77'
M
J. James
77'
M
22
J. Sheehan
M
J. Sheehan
M
5
E. Ampadu
M
E. Ampadu
M
11
B. Johnson
F
B. Johnson
F
9
L. Koumas
77'
F
L. Koumas
77'
F
7
D. Brooks
63'
F
D. Brooks
63'
F
Bench
2
C. Mepham
19'
D
C. Mepham
19'
D
14
C. Roberts
D
C. Roberts
D
1
D. Cornell
G
D. Cornell
G
20
D. James
27'
F
D. James
27'
F
23
J. Colwill
M
J. Colwill
M
13
K. Moore
13'
F
K. Moore
13'
F
10
L. Cullen
F
L. Cullen
F
18
M. Harris
F
M. Harris
F
16
R. Norrington-Davies
D
R. Norrington-Davies
D
19
S. Thomas
13'
F
S. Thomas
13'
F
21
T. King
G
T. King
G
8
W. Burns
F
W. Burns
F
Best on the pitch
João Félix
F · Portugal
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 33 pass
Rúben Neves
M · Portugal
7.60
1 shots
· 61 pass
Nuno Mendes
D · Portugal
7.55
1 👟
1 shots
· 58 pass
Vitinha
M · Portugal
7.20
2 shots
· 72 pass
Renato Veiga
D · Portugal
7.18
2 shots
· 73 pass
Bruno Fernandes
M · Portugal
7.13
· 49 pass
Portugal — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Costa | G | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Nuno Mendes | D | 78 | 7.55 | — | 1 | 1 | 58 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 7.18 | — | — | 2 | 73 | 70% | 1 | — | — |
| Rúben Dias | D | 90 | 7.05 | — | — | 2 | 86 | 81% | 0 | — | — |
| João Cancelo | D | 89 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 74 | 68% | 0 | — | — |
| Rúben Neves | M | 67 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 59% | 0 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 89 | 7.13 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinha | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 72 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Neto | M | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 2 | 51 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 67 | 6.39 | — | — | 7 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| João Félix | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 33 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 23 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| João Neves | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 23 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 12 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
Wales — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ward | G | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dasilva | D | 90 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Davies | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Cabango | D | 71 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| N. Williams | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| J. James | M | 77 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 36% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Ampadu | M | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Johnson | F | 90 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 77 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Brooks | F | 63 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mepham | D | 19 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| D. James | F | 27 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Moore | F | 13 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Thomas | F | 13 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Portugal vs Wales?
The final score was Portugal 1–0 Wales.
What did the model predict before Portugal vs Wales?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Portugal win, 13% to a draw, and 14% to an Wales win.