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Portuguesa FC - Estudiantes de Merida FC

Liga FUTVE September 13, 2026 22:00 Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata
Portuguesa FC
#2 · 8 pts
vs
Estudiantes de Merida FC
#4 · 3 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 24.7°C 💨 7 km/h 🌧️ 25% · Niigata
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.43%
Win
Portuguesa FC
25.51%
Draw
23.06%
Win
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1.55
Expected xG
0.9
Most likely outcome
Portuguesa FC
51.43%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.43%)
1X2 Result
1 51%
X 26%
2 23%
Double Chance
1X 77%
X2 49%
12 75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 43%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Portuguesa FC a 51% win probability, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Estudiantes de Merida FC. Expected goals are 1.6 for Portuguesa FC and 0.9 for Estudiantes de Merida FC (total 2.4), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.43% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Portuguesa FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes de Merida FC.

Season Stats

Portuguesa FC
6W 6D 3L
Estudiantes de Merida FC
5W 3D 7L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
0.8
1.1
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
60%
33%
O 2.5
27%
53%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Portuguesa FC
5W 4D 1L · at home
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2W 1D 7L · away
1.4
gls/g
0.6
0.7
Conceded
1.4
50%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
30%
70%
O 1.5
60%
30%
O 2.5
30%
10%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
20%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Portuguesa FC Estudiantes de Merida FC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 7.8% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 13.4% 12.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.3% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 4.8% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 2.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
D Zamora FC 1–1
D Caracas FC 1–1
D Metropolitanos FC 2–2
D Monagas SC 0–0
W Trujillanos FC 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
W Deportivo Tachira FC 2–0
L Carabobo FC 1–0
D UCV 1–1
W Deportivo La Guaira 1–2
D Puerto Cabello 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
Attack
31
Defence
75
Form
54
Estudiantes de Merida FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
Attack
26
Defence
79
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Portuguesa FC
0
Draw
1
Estudiantes de Merida FC
5 Apr 2026 Liga FUTVE 1–2

Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - A

# Team G Pts
1 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 6 10
2 Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 6 8
3 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 6 7
4 UCV UCV 6 6

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - A

Top 2 advance to the next round

Portuguesa FC Estudiantes de Merida FC
Current #2 #1
→ Portuguesa FC #1 #1
→ Draw #2 #1
→ Estudiantes de Merida FC #2 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
The model gives Portuguesa FC a 51% win probability, 25% for a draw, and 23% for an Estudiantes de Merida FC win.
How many goals are expected in Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Expected goals: Portuguesa FC 1.6, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.9 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Portuguesa FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.43%.