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Championship · Regular Season - 9 October 10, 2026 16:00 Deepdale Stadium, Preston
Preston
#24 · 5 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Millwall
#13 · 15 pts
79' (ast. Luke Cundle) Camiel Neghli
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Preston 30%). The final result was Preston 0–1 Millwall. In 2 previous meetings, Preston have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Millwall.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
1
Shots on target
3
0.67
Actual xG
1.15
2
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
4
14
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Leo Leroy
15'
19'
Jenson Metcalfe
↕ Harry Clarke / Pol Valentin
45'
↕ Callum Lang / Delano Burgzorg
59'
66'
Tristan Crama / Ryan Leonard ↕
66'
Luke Cundle / Kyrell Lisbie ↕
71'
Derek Mazou Sacko
↕ Andrija Vukčević / Thierry Small
72'
74'
Mark Sykes / Taïryk Arconte ↕
79'
ast. Luke Cundle · Camiel Neghli⚽
Pre-match prediction
30.98%
Preston
31.09%
X
37.93%
Millwall ←
we assigned to the actual result (Millwall) 37.93% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Preston
1.08
0.67
-0.41
Millwall
1.40
1.15
-0.25
Millwall dominated by xG (1.15 vs 0.67). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Preston Preston 3-4-1-2
1 D. Iversen D. Iversen G 5.71
16 A. Hughes A. Hughes D 6.22
14 J. Storey J. Storey D 7.16
24 O. Offiah O. Offiah D 5.79
3 A. Vukčević A. Vukčević 72' M 6.40
15 J. Thompson J. Thompson M 6.34
27 L. Leroy L. Leroy M 6.42
4 H. Clarke H. Clarke 45' M 6.74
7 A. Devine A. Devine M 6.07
10 C. Lang C. Lang 59' F 6.56
9 J. Erabi J. Erabi F 6.13
Bench
23 A. Moran A. Moran M 0.00
37 D. Burgzorg D. Burgzorg 31' F 6.77
30 G. Gryba G. Gryba F 0.00
20 L. Gibbs L. Gibbs M 0.00
6 L. Lindsay L. Lindsay D 0.00
21 L. Nicholls L. Nicholls G 0.00
2 Pol Valentín Pol Valentín 45' D 6.31
11 T. Small T. Small 18' D 6.21
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
34 F. Marschall F. Marschall G 6.47
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge D 6.15
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 6.63
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 7.12
18 R. Leonard R. Leonard 66' D 6.51
14 Jenson Metcalfe Jenson Metcalfe M 6.90
49 D. Mazou-Sacko D. Mazou-Sacko M 6.36
22 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 66' M 6.58
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli 1 ⚽ M 8.18
7 T. Arconte T. Arconte 74' M 6.19
13 L. Dykes L. Dykes F 6.14
Bench
45 A. Doughty A. Doughty M 0.00
23 D. Batth D. Batth D 0.00
2 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu D 0.00
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 1 👟 24' M 6.77
15 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe G 0.00
17 M. Sykes M. Sykes 16' M 6.31
4 T. Crama T. Crama 24' D 6.43
35 Y. Issoufou Y. Issoufou F 0.00
29 Z. Lovelace Z. Lovelace F 0.00
Best on the pitch
C. Neghli
C. Neghli
M · Millwall
8.18
1 ⚽
2 shots · 44 pass
J. Storey
J. Storey
D · Preston
7.16
· 32 pass
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
7.12
1 shots · 44 pass
Jenson Metcalfe
Jenson Metcalfe
M · Millwall
6.90
1 shots · 41 pass
L. Cundle
L. Cundle
M · Millwall
6.77
1 👟
· 18 pass
D. Burgzorg
D. Burgzorg
F · Preston
6.77
· 2 pass
Preston Preston — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Iversen G 90 5.71 — — 0 33 11% 0 — —
A. Hughes D 90 6.22 — — 0 45 34% 0 — —
J. Storey D 90 7.16 — — 0 32 28% 0 — —
O. Offiah D 90 5.79 — — 0 41 25% 1 — —
A. Vukčević M 72 6.40 — — 0 19 16% 2 — —
J. Thompson M 90 6.34 — — 1 46 35% 1 — —
L. Leroy M 90 6.42 — — 2 39 32% 4 1 —
H. Clarke M 45 6.74 — — 2 18 11% 0 — —
A. Devine M 90 6.07 — — 1 37 27% 2 — —
C. Lang F 59 6.56 — — 2 15 9% 1 — —
J. Erabi F 90 6.13 — — 4 14 12% 1 — —
D. Burgzorg F 31 6.77 — — 0 2 0% 1 — —
Pol Valentín D 45 6.31 — — 0 12 6% 1 — —
T. Small D 18 6.21 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Marschall G 90 6.47 — — 0 46 20% 0 — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 90 6.15 — — 0 41 28% 0 — —
J. Cooper D 90 6.63 — — 0 48 34% 1 — —
C. Taylor D 90 7.12 — — 1 44 33% 2 — —
R. Leonard D 66 6.51 — — 0 28 21% 1 — —
Jenson Metcalfe M 90 6.90 — — 1 41 34% 3 1 —
D. Mazou-Sacko M 90 6.36 — — 1 40 32% 0 1 —
K. Lisbie M 66 6.58 — — 3 11 7% 0 — —
C. Neghli M 90 8.18 1 — 2 44 36% 2 — —
T. Arconte M 74 6.19 — — 1 11 6% 0 — —
L. Dykes F 90 6.14 — — 1 27 16% 1 — —
L. Cundle M 24 6.77 — 1 0 18 16% 0 — —
M. Sykes M 16 6.31 — — 0 8 7% 0 — —
T. Crama D 24 6.43 — — 1 16 10% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Preston vs Millwall?
The final score was Preston 0–1 Millwall.
What did the model predict before Preston vs Millwall?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Preston win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Millwall win.