B. Potts
(ast. A. Devine)
46'
(og)
82'
T. Small
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave QPR a 38% win probability (draw 26%, Preston 35%). The final result was Preston 1–1 QPR. In 1 previous meetings, Preston have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for QPR.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
13
2
Shots on target
5
0.63
Actual xG
0.71
4
Saves
1
51%
Possession
49%
2
Corners
5
10
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
13'
J. Varane
O. Offiah
/ P. Valentin
46'
⚽B. Potts
· ast. A. Devine
46'
65'
K. Morgan
B. Potts
/ A. Moran
66'
67'
K. Poku
/
P. Smyth
A. Vukcevic
/ T. Small
67'
72'
D. Bennie
/
R. Kolli
72'
I. Hayden
/
J. Varane
L. Gibson
76'
L. Dobbin
/ D. Jebbison
77'
82'
(og)
T. Small⚽
85'
J. Clarke-Salter
/
A. S. Mbengue
90'+1
J. Clarke-Salter
Pre-match prediction
35.18%
Preston
26.07%
X ←
38.76%
QPR
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
0.63
-0.49
1.60
0.71
-0.89
xG dominance was balanced (0.63 – 0.71).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Iversen
G
3
A. Vukcevic
66'
D
16
A. Hughes
D
19
L. Gibson
D
14
J. Storey
D
J. Storey
D
42
O. Offiah
45'
D
21
A. Devine
1 👟
M
4
B. Whiteman
M
44
B. Potts
1 ⚽
66'
M
17
L. Dobbin
77'
F
L. Dobbin
77'
F
28
Milutin Osmajić
F
Bench
23
Andrew Moran
30'
M
Andrew Moran
30'
M
9
D. Jebbison
19'
F
6
L. Lindsay
D
L. Lindsay
D
2
P. Valentin
51'
D
26
T. Small
1 ⚽
30'
D
13
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
37
R. Edwards
D
3
Jimmy Dunne
D
27
A. Mbengue
85'
D
A. Mbengue
85'
D
11
Paul Smyth
67'
M
Paul Smyth
67'
M
40
J. Varane
72'
M
21
K. Morgan
M
20
H. Vale
M
22
Richard Kone
F
26
Rayan Kolli
72'
F
Bench
23
D. Bennie
24'
F
15
Isaac Hayden
24'
M
6
J. Clarke-Salter
11'
D
2
K. Adamson
D
17
K. Poku
29'
M
5
S. Cook
D
Best on the pitch
D. Iversen
G · Preston
7.90
· 29 pass
B. Potts
M · Preston
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
B. Whiteman
M · Preston
7.70
1 shots
· 44 pass
Jimmy Dunne
D · QPR
7.60
· 43 pass
K. Morgan
M · QPR
7.20
1 shots
· 45 pass
A. Mbengue
D · QPR
7.20
1 shots
· 20 pass
Preston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Iversen | G | 96 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 28% | — | — | — |
| A. Vukcevic | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | — | — | — |
| A. Hughes | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Gibson | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Storey | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Offiah | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Devine | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| B. Whiteman | M | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Potts | M | 66 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Dobbin | F | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Milutin Osmajić | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrew Moran | M | 30 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 19 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| P. Valentin | D | 51 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Small | D | 30 | 5.20 | 1 | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 18% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 44% | — | — | — |
| Jimmy Dunne | D | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Mbengue | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| Paul Smyth | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Varane | M | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Morgan | M | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Vale | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Kone | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Rayan Kolli | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| D. Bennie | F | 24 | 7.00 | — | — | 4 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaac Hayden | M | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Clarke-Salter | D | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Poku | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Preston vs QPR?
The final score was Preston 1–1 QPR.
What did the model predict before Preston vs QPR?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Preston win, 26% to a draw, and 38% to an QPR win.