Andrew Hughes
(ast. Leo Leroy)
78'
82'
Aune Heggebo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Brom a 45% win probability (draw 29%, Preston 24%). The final result was Preston 1–1 West Brom. In 2 previous meetings, Preston have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for West Brom.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
20
4
Shots on target
5
1.82
Actual xG
2.11
4
Saves
3
28%
Possession
72%
6
Corners
9
22
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
33'
Harry Whitwell
Alfie Devine
/ Andrew Moran
45'
60'
J. Morgan
/
Harry Whitwell
60'
Aune Heggebo
/
Barney Stewart
Andrew Moran
64'
Brad Potts
/ Callum Lang
70'
Johnny Kenny
/ Jusef Erabi
70'
⚽Andrew Hughes
· ast. Leo Leroy
78'
82'
Aune Heggebo⚽
Graham Alexander
83'
85'
Kareem Tunde
/
Felix Horn Myhre
88'
Rabby Nzingoula
/
Ousmane·Diakite
Pre-match prediction
24.91%
Preston
29.69%
X ←
45.4%
West
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
29.69%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.72
1.82
+1.1
1.31
2.11
+0.8
xG dominance was balanced (1.82 – 2.11).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
D. Iversen
G
D. Iversen
G
3
A. Vukčević
D
A. Vukčević
D
16
A. Hughes
1 ⚽
D
A. Hughes
1 ⚽
D
14
J. Storey
D
J. Storey
D
24
O. Offiah
D
O. Offiah
D
27
L. Leroy
1 👟
M
L. Leroy
1 👟
M
44
B. Potts
70'
M
B. Potts
70'
M
37
D. Burgzorg
M
D. Burgzorg
M
7
A. Devine
45'
M
A. Devine
45'
M
17
S. Mills
M
S. Mills
M
38
J. Kenny
70'
F
J. Kenny
70'
F
Bench
23
A. Moran
45'
M
A. Moran
45'
M
10
C. Lang
20'
F
C. Lang
20'
F
12
C. Wiley
D
C. Wiley
D
32
Ed Nolan
D
Ed Nolan
D
9
J. Erabi
20'
F
J. Erabi
20'
F
21
L. Nicholls
G
L. Nicholls
G
2
Pol Valentín
D
Pol Valentín
D
11
T. Small
D
T. Small
D
1
M. O’Leary
G
M. O’Leary
G
4
C. Styles
D
C. Styles
D
6
G. Campbell
D
G. Campbell
D
2
C. Mepham
D
C. Mepham
D
18
B. Pereira
D
B. Pereira
D
21
I. Price
M
I. Price
M
17
O. Diakité
88'
M
O. Diakité
88'
M
8
J. Molumby
M
J. Molumby
M
29
Harry Whitwell
60'
M
Harry Whitwell
60'
M
9
B. Stewart
60'
F
B. Stewart
60'
F
7
F. Myhre
85'
F
F. Myhre
85'
F
Bench
19
A. Heggebø
1 ⚽
30'
F
A. Heggebø
1 ⚽
30'
F
22
C. Townsend
D
C. Townsend
D
11
J. Morgan
30'
F
J. Morgan
30'
F
26
K. Tunde
5'
F
K. Tunde
5'
F
35
M. Crowther
M
M. Crowther
M
13
M. Ingram
G
M. Ingram
G
3
N. Phillips
D
N. Phillips
D
20
R. Nzingoula
2'
M
R. Nzingoula
2'
M
23
T. Bany
F
T. Bany
F
Best on the pitch
A. Hughes
D · Preston
8.48
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
A. Heggebø
F · West
8.04
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 5 pass
C. Styles
D · West
7.41
1 shots
· 77 pass
J. Morgan
F · West
7.20
1 shots
· 7 pass
J. Molumby
M · West
7.20
3 shots
· 76 pass
A. Devine
M · Preston
7.17
2 shots
· 7 pass
Preston — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Iversen | G | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Vukčević | D | 90 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hughes | D | 90 | 8.48 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Storey | D | 90 | 6.94 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Offiah | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Leroy | M | 90 | 7.13 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Potts | M | 70 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burgzorg | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 3 | 13 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Devine | M | 45 | 7.17 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mills | M | 90 | 6.49 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kenny | F | 70 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Moran | M | 45 | 6.77 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Lang | F | 20 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Erabi | F | 20 | 6.68 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
West Brom — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O’Leary | G | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Styles | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 1 | 77 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Campbell | D | 90 | 6.88 | — | — | 0 | 69 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mepham | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 62% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Pereira | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Price | M | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 5 | 56 | 46% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Diakité | M | 88 | 7.02 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 51% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Molumby | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 76 | 69% | 2 | — | — |
| Harry Whitwell | M | 60 | 5.61 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 27% | 0 | 1 | — |
| B. Stewart | F | 60 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Myhre | F | 85 | 6.85 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Heggebø | F | 30 | 8.04 | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Morgan | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Tunde | F | 5 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Nzingoula | M | 2 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Preston vs West Brom?
The final score was Preston 1–1 West Brom.
What did the model predict before Preston vs West Brom?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Preston win, 29% to a draw, and 45% to an West Brom win.