56'
T. Correa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerro Largo a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Progreso 31%). The final result was Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo.
Match statistics
Match Events
42'
M. Fracchia
45'+1
N. Bertocchi
46'
M. Anasco
/
N. Bertocchi
46'
D. Daguerre
/
M. Garcia
49'
S. Marcel
56'
T. Correa⚽
J. Silva
/ A. Codagnone
57'
A. Pinheiro
58'
A. Codagnone
64'
A. Pinheiro
/ D. Sanchez
65'
76'
E. Jourdan
/
S. Assis
81'
N. Ramos
/
A. Pandiani
N. Lopez
/ J. Dos Santos
83'
M. Copelotti
/ J. Rivero
83'
87'
G. Viera
/
T. Correa
G. Trasante
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
31.73%
Progreso
27.76%
X
40.5%
Cerro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Largo)
40.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
—
—
1.29
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Mehring
G
A. Mehring
G
15
M. Martin
D
13
H. Carroso
D
3
Federico García
D
16
G. Trasante
D
5
A. Pinheiro
M
8
Adrián Colombino
M
11
N. López
M
29
Nicolas Fernandez
M
19
Joaquin Solleiro
F
23
M. Copelotti
F
Bench
30
Agustin Codagnone
M
93
Diego Sánchez Richieri
F
25
Jonathan Dos Santos
F
12
P. González
G
20
S. Franca
D
16
Matías Fracchia
D
14
Lucas Correa
D
17
A. Hernández
D
5
S. Marcel
M
22
N. Bertochi
M
15
A. Assis
M
10
Axel Michele Pandiani
M
8
M. García
M
9
T. Correa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Diego Daguerre
F
25
E. Jourdan
M
27
Facundo Alvez
D
Facundo Alvez
D
21
J. Pou
D
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mehring | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Martin | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Carroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Trasante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Colombino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. López | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Fernandez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Solleiro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Copelotti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cerro Largo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. González | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Franca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Fracchia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Correa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Marcel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Bertochi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Assis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Michele Pandiani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. García | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Correa | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
The final score was Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo.
What did the model predict before Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Progreso win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Cerro Largo win.