56'
T. Correa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cerro Largo a 40% win probability (draw 27%, Progreso 31%). The final result was Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo.
Match statistics
Match Events
42'
M. Fracchia
45'+1
N. Bertocchi
46'
M. Anasco
/
N. Bertocchi
46'
D. Daguerre
/
M. Garcia
49'
S. Marcel
56'
T. Correa⚽
J. Silva
/ A. Codagnone
57'
A. Pinheiro
58'
A. Codagnone
64'
A. Pinheiro
/ D. Sanchez
65'
76'
E. Jourdan
/
S. Assis
81'
N. Ramos
/
A. Pandiani
N. Lopez
/ J. Dos Santos
83'
M. Copelotti
/ J. Rivero
83'
87'
G. Viera
/
T. Correa
G. Trasante
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
31.73%
Progreso
27.76%
X
40.5%
Cerro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cerro Largo)
40.5%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
—
—
1.29
—
—
Lineups
1
A. Mehring
G
A. Mehring
G
15
Mauro Martín
D
13
Hernan Carroso
D
3
F. GarcÃa
D
16
G. Trasante
D
5
Agustin Pinheiro
M
8
Adrián Colombino
M
11
N. López
M
29
Nicolas Fernandez
M
19
Joaquin Solleiro
F
23
M. Copelotti
F
Bench
30
Agustin Codagnone
M
93
Diego Sánchez Richieri
F
25
Jonathan Dos Santos
F
12
Pedro Gonzalez
G
20
Santiago Franca
D
16
Matías Fracchia
D
14
Lucas Correa
D
17
Alexander Hernandez
D
5
Santiago Marcel
M
22
Nicolas Bertochi
M
15
Sebastián Assis
M
10
Axel Pandiani
M
8
Mario García
M
9
Tiziano Correa
1 ⚽
F
Bench
18
Diego Daguerre
F
25
Emiliano Jourdan
M
27
Facundo Alvez
D
Facundo Alvez
D
21
Julián Pou
D
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mehring | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Martín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hernan Carroso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. GarcÃa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Trasante | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Pinheiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrián Colombino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. López | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Fernandez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joaquin Solleiro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Copelotti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cerro Largo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Gonzalez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Franca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Fracchia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Correa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Hernandez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Marcel | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Bertochi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Assis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Pandiani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario García | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiziano Correa | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
The final score was Progreso 0–1 Cerro Largo.
What did the model predict before Progreso vs Cerro Largo?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Progreso win, 27% to a draw, and 40% to an Cerro Largo win.