✗Model wrong — prediction Draw, result Progreso wins
nahuel lopez
89'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Progreso a 24% win probability (draw 55%, Danubio 20%). The final result was Progreso 1–0 Danubio. In 2 previous meetings, Progreso have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Danubio.
Match statistics
Match Events
Agustín Ocampo
26'
28'
Maicol·Ferreira
30'
Luis·Femia
Maximiliano Juambeltz
45'
Maximiliano Juambeltz
/ Matteo copelotti
46'
Emiliano Alvarez
/ Gianfranco trasante
46'
46'
Ivo costantino
/
Hugo Silveira
58'
Sebastián Rodriguez
/
Maicol·Ferreira
58'
J. Millán
/
Ivan Rossi
Ramiro Cristóbal
/ Lorenzo Couture
69'
Agustín Ocampo
/ Nahuel acosta
69'
69'
kleber john
/
Bautista Euclides Tomatis
73'
Emiliano Velazquez
74'
J. Millán
Matteo copelotti
/ Lucas viana
78'
⚽nahuel lopez
89'
nahuel lopez
90'
Pre-match prediction
24.15%
Progreso ←
55.12%
X
20.72%
Danubio
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Progreso)
24.15%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.35
—
—
0.30
—
—
Lineups
1
R. Bacchia
G
7
A. Ocampo
F
25
R. Cristóbal
M
40
A. Cougo
D
24
E. Álvarez
D
17
F. de León
F
10
N. López
1 ⚽
F
8
M. Juambeltz
F
Bench
30
Agustin Codagnone
M
3
Federico García
D
16
G. Trasante
M
4
L. Couture
M
12
L. Fernández
G
23
M. Copelotti
F
11
N. Acosta
F
21
S. Bruschi
M
2
S. Cardozo
D
1
M. Goicoechea
G
31
T. Cavanagh
D
19
M. Brasil
D
2
E. Velázquez
D
28
E. Femia
F
77
B. Tomatis
F
20
M. Ferreira
M
10
M. Peralta
M
16
I. Rossi
M
I. Rossi
M
9
H. Silveira
F
30
S. Fernández
F
Bench
17
Alexander Velazquez
M
15
E. Figueroa
D
0
I. Costantino
F
5
J. Millán
M
11
John Kleber
F
38
J. Trasante
M
32
K. Martínez
G
6
L. Sosa
D
8
S. Rodríguez
M
Progreso — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bacchia | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ocampo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Cristóbal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cougo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Álvarez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. de León | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. López | F | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Juambeltz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Danubio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Goicoechea | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Cavanagh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brasil | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Velázquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Femia | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Tomatis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ferreira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Peralta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Rossi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Silveira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fernández | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Progreso vs Danubio?
The final score was Progreso 1–0 Danubio.
What did the model predict before Progreso vs Danubio?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Progreso win, 55% to a draw, and 20% to an Danubio win.