Primera División · Torneo Intermedio - 6 July 18, 2026 17:30 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo

Progreso

#6 · 19 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Deportivo Maldonado

#2 · 29 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Deportivo Maldonado, result Progreso wins

A. Ocampo 10' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Maldonado a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Progreso 16%). The final result was Progreso 1–0 Deportivo Maldonado. In 2 previous meetings, Progreso have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Deportivo Maldonado.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽A. Ocampo (pen.)

10'

28'

F. Tealde

A. Ocampo

35'

A. Cougo

41'

46'

G. Lopez / S. Cartagena ↕

↕ M. Copelotti / M. Juambeltz

57'

↕ F. De Leon / G. Trasante

57'

A. Cougo

58'

A. Cougo

58'

↕ A. Ocampo / F. Kidd

61'

76'

E. Mozzone / S. Tormo ↕

76'

L. Ibanez / J. M. Ginzo ↕

↕ E. Alvarez / G. Silva

77'

↕ N. Lopez / I. Lemmo

78'

A. Requena

80'

86'

H. Menosse / F. Tealde ↕

86'

J. Fernandez / G. Larrazabal ↕

G. Silva

90'+1

90'+1

R. Cesar

90'+6

H. Menosse

Pre-match prediction

16.67%

Progreso ←

22.82%

X

60.5%

Deportivo

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Progreso) 16.67% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Progreso

0.40

—

—

Deportivo

1.67

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Liverpool Montevideo	12	27
2	Atletico Torque	12	25
3	Club Nacional	12	23
4	Deportivo Maldonado	12	21
5	Penarol	12	21
6	Progreso	12	19
7	Juventud	12	18
8	Cerro	12	18
9	Racing Montevideo	12	16
10	Boston River	12	15
11	Wanderers	12	15
12	Albion FC	12	12
13	Danubio	12	10
14	Cerro Largo	12	9
15	Defensor Sporting	12	9
16	Central Espanol	12	5