Primera División · Torneo Intermedio - 6 July 18, 2026 17:30 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo

Progreso

#15 · 10 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Deportivo Maldonado

#2 · 29 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Deportivo Maldonado, result Progreso wins

A. Ocampo 10' (pen.)

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Deportivo Maldonado a 60% win probability (draw 22%, Progreso 16%). The final result was Progreso 1–0 Deportivo Maldonado. In 1 previous meetings, Progreso have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Maldonado.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽A. Ocampo (pen.)

10'

28'

F. Tealde

A. Ocampo

35'

A. Cougo

41'

46'

G. Lopez / S. Cartagena ↕

↕ M. Copelotti / M. Juambeltz

57'

↕ F. De Leon / G. Trasante

57'

A. Cougo

58'

A. Cougo

58'

↕ A. Ocampo / F. Kidd

61'

76'

E. Mozzone / S. Tormo ↕

76'

L. Ibanez / J. M. Ginzo ↕

↕ E. Alvarez / G. Silva

77'

↕ N. Lopez / I. Lemmo

78'

A. Requena

80'

86'

H. Menosse / F. Tealde ↕

86'

J. Fernandez / G. Larrazabal ↕

G. Silva

90'+1

90'+1

R. Cesar

90'+6

H. Menosse

Pre-match prediction

16.67%

Progreso ←

22.82%

X

60.5%

Deportivo

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Progreso) 16.67% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Progreso

0.40

—

—

Deportivo

1.67

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Racing Montevideo	15	31
2	Deportivo Maldonado	15	29
3	Albion FC	15	28
4	Penarol	15	27
5	Central Espanol	15	24
6	Atletico Torque	15	23
7	Club Nacional	15	22
8	Defensor Sporting	15	21
9	Liverpool Montevideo	15	20
10	Wanderers	15	20
11	Danubio	15	18
12	Cerro Largo	15	17
13	Boston River	15	17
14	Juventud	15	15
15	Progreso	15	10
16	Cerro	15	10