PSV Eindhoven - Atletico Madrid
Champions League
December 09, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
49.28%
Win
PSV Eindhoven
26.87%
Draw
23.85%
Win
Atletico Madrid
1.94
0.64
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.64%)
1X2 Result
1
49%
X
27%
2
24%
Double Chance
1X
76%
X2
51%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives PSV Eindhoven a 49% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Atletico Madrid. Expected goals are 1.9 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.6 for Atletico Madrid (total 2.6), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.64% probability. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Madrid.
Season Stats
2W
3D
4L
6W
3D
6L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.9
1.9
Conceded
1.7
3.7
Shots OT
5.0
4.8
Corners
5.3
52%
Poss.
50%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
93%
67%
O 2.5
73%
89%
BTTS
80%
0%
Clean Sht
7%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
58%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
1W
1D
3L
· at home
2W
2D
5L
· away
2.2
gls/g
1.6
2.2
Conceded
2.1
20%
Win %
22%
40%
Win or Draw
44%
100%
O 1.5
89%
80%
O 2.5
67%
60%
O 3.5
56%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
11%
0%
Failed to Score
22%
last 9
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ PSV Eindhoven
Atletico Madrid →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 14.7% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 14.2% | 9.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 5 | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
PSV Eindhoven
Attack
68
Defence
64
Form
60
Atletico Madrid
Attack
53
Defence
67
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
9 Dec 2025
2–3
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid?
The model gives PSV Eindhoven a 49% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 23% for an Atletico Madrid win.
How many goals are expected in PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid?
Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 1.9, Atletico Madrid 0.6 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in PSV Eindhoven vs Atletico Madrid?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.64%.