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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 3 August 23, 2026 14:30 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
#2 · 13 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Groningen
#10 · 7 pts
T. Blokzijl 11' (og)
I. Perisic 35'
R. Pepi 45'+3 (pen.)
I. Perisic (ast. Mauro Junior) 53'
S. Dest (ast. R. van Bommel) 56'
9' (ast. T. van Bergen) B. Willumsson
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Groningen 32%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen. In 2 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Groningen.

Match statistics
21
Total shots
5
12
Shots on target
4
4.42
Actual xG
1.09
2
Saves
7
62%
Possession
38%
9
Corners
4
14
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
ast. T. van Bergen · B. Willumsson⚽
⚽T. Blokzijl (og)
11'
R. van Bommel
21'
⚽I. Perisic
35'
45'+2
M. Csinger
⚽R. Pepi (pen.)
45'+3
46'
M. Rente / J. Schreuders ↕
⚽I. Perisic · ast. Mauro Junior
53'
54'
N. Brandis / M. Rente ↕
⚽S. Dest · ast. R. van Bommel
56'
67'
E. van der Laan / B. Willumsson ↕
67'
J. Ondrejka / D. van der Werff ↕
↕ R. van Bommel / A. Bouhamdi
68'
↕ N. Fernandez / P. Wanner
68'
↕ Mauro Junior / F. Kostic
75'
↕ I. Perisic / D. Man
76'
↕ A. Obispo / L. Geertruida
85'
85'
T. Hernes / T. de Jonge ↕
Pre-match prediction
37.45%
PSV ←
30.5%
X
32.05%
Groningen
we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 37.45% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
2.25
4.42
+2.17
Groningen
2.22
1.09
-1.13
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (4.42 vs 1.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
32 M. Kovář M. Kovář G 7.30
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 1 👟 75' D 7.20
4 A. Obispo A. Obispo 85' D 7.50
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo D 7.00
8 S. Dest S. Dest 1 ⚽ D 8.20
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 68' M 6.90
24 K. Sano K. Sano M 7.50
20 G. Til G. Til M 7.60
7 R. van Bommel R. van Bommel 1 👟 68' F 8.60
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 1 ⚽ F 6.90
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 2 ⚽ 76' F 9.60
Bench
37 A. Bouhamdi A. Bouhamdi 22' F 6.30
27 D. Man D. Man 14' F 6.70
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic F
18 F. Kostić F. Kostić 15' M 7.20
41 Khadim Ngom Khadim Ngom G
25 Kiliann Sildillia Kiliann Sildillia D
2 L. Geertruida L. Geertruida 9' D 6.90
1 N. Olij N. Olij G
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner 22' M 6.30
21 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans M
3 Yarek Gasiorowski Yarek Gasiorowski D
Groningen Groningen 4-2-3-1
1 E. Vaessen E. Vaessen G 9.00
2 Wouter Prins Wouter Prins D 5.30
4 M. Csinger M. Csinger D 5.30
3 T. Blokzijl T. Blokzijl 1 ⚽ D 5.20
14 J. Schreuders J. Schreuders 45' D 5.60
18 T. Land T. Land M 6.00
8 T. de Jonge T. de Jonge 85' M 7.50
24 P. Clement P. Clement M 7.00
26 T. van Bergen T. van Bergen 1 👟 M 6.30
17 D. van der Werff D. van der Werff 67' M 6.20
9 B. Willumsson B. Willumsson 1 ⚽ 67' F 7.30
Bench
16 A. Nordin A. Nordin M
44 Besnik Mashuku Besnik Mashuku M
15 E. van der Laan E. van der Laan 23' D 6.90
53 J. Hall J. Hall M
42 J. Mosselaar J. Mosselaar D
11 J. Ondrejka J. Ondrejka 23' F 6.50
13 L. Štubljar L. Štubljar G
12 M. Brandis M. Brandis 36' D 6.20
5 M. Rente M. Rente 9' D 6.20
19 O. Zawada O. Zawada F
31 Rijk Janse Rijk Janse G
7 T. Hernes T. Hernes 9' M 6.50
Best on the pitch
I. Perišić
I. Perišić
F · PSV
9.60
2 ⚽
4 shots · 42 pass
E. Vaessen
E. Vaessen
G · Groningen
9.00
· 58 pass
R. van Bommel
R. van Bommel
F · PSV
8.60
1 👟
2 shots · 46 pass
S. Dest
S. Dest
D · PSV
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 58 pass
G. Til
G. Til
M · PSV
7.60
3 shots · 37 pass
T. de Jonge
T. de Jonge
M · Groningen
7.50
· 30 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Kovář G 90 7.30 — — — 26 24% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 75 7.20 — 1 — 73 67% 1 — —
A. Obispo D 85 7.50 — — — 64 61% 1 — —
R. Flamingo D 90 7.00 — — 2 61 57% 2 — —
S. Dest D 90 8.20 1 — 1 58 55% 2 — —
N. Fernandez M 68 6.90 — — 2 33 31% 1 — —
K. Sano M 90 7.50 — — 1 58 54% 1 — —
G. Til M 90 7.60 — — 3 37 31% — — —
R. van Bommel F 68 8.60 — 1 2 46 39% 2 1 —
R. Pepi F 90 6.90 1 — 4 10 10% — — —
I. Perišić F 76 9.60 2 — 4 42 37% 4 — —
A. Bouhamdi F 22 6.30 — — — 19 16% — — —
D. Man F 14 6.70 — — 1 11 10% — — —
F. Kostić M 15 7.20 — — — 13 13% — — —
L. Geertruida D 9 6.90 — — 1 9 9% — — —
P. Wanner M 22 6.30 — — — 8 8% — — —
Groningen Groningen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Vaessen G 90 9.00 — — — 58 34% 1 — —
Wouter Prins D 90 5.30 — — — 16 14% 2 — —
M. Csinger D 90 5.30 — — — 34 30% 1 1 —
T. Blokzijl D 90 5.20 1 — — 45 41% 1 — —
J. Schreuders D 45 5.60 — — — 14 10% 1 — —
T. Land M 90 6.00 — — 1 39 36% 1 — —
T. de Jonge M 85 7.50 — — — 30 24% 4 — —
P. Clement M 90 7.00 — — 1 32 27% 2 — —
T. van Bergen M 90 6.30 — 1 — 23 20% — — —
D. van der Werff M 67 6.20 — — 1 13 10% — — —
B. Willumsson F 67 7.30 1 — 2 13 10% — — —
E. van der Laan D 23 6.90 — — — 11 11% 1 — —
J. Ondrejka F 23 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
M. Brandis D 36 6.20 — — — 14 9% — — —
M. Rente D 9 6.20 — — — 2 2% — — —
T. Hernes M 9 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Groningen.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs Groningen?
The model assigned 37% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 30% to a draw, and 32% to an Groningen win.