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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 8 October 09, 2026 20:00 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
#3 · 20 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Heerenveen
#7 · 15 pts
Guus Til 29'
marcus linday 68' (og)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Heerenveen 27%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heerenveen. In 3 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Heerenveen.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
12
2
Shots on target
5
1.64
Actual xG
1.58
5
Saves
0
55%
Possession
45%
4
Corners
6
18
Tackles
12
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Guus Til
29'
Armando Obispo
42'
60'
marcus linday
64'
Marko Farji / Maxence Rivera ↕
64'
Ringo Meerveld / Levi Smans ↕
↕ Esmir Bajraktarević / Ivan Perišić
65'
↕ Noah Fernandez / Filip Kostić
65'
↕ Armando Obispo / Yarek Gasiorowski
65'
⚽marcus linday (og)
68'
74'
Sam Kersten
75'
Mats Egbring / Oliver Johansen Braude ↕
75'
Lanroy Machine / Dylan Vente ↕
↕ Mauro Júnior / Shuryjano Cornecion
83'
↕ Ruben van Bommel / Ayoni Santos
83'
83'
Luca Oyen / Nolhan courtens ↕
Pre-match prediction
44.66%
PSV ←
27.63%
X
27.71%
Heerenveen
we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 44.66% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
1.90
1.64
-0.26
Heerenveen
1.34
1.58
+0.24
xG dominance was balanced (1.64 – 1.58). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
32 M. Kovář M. Kovář G 8.14
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 83' D 6.72
4 A. Obispo A. Obispo 65' D 7.03
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo D 7.19
8 S. Dest S. Dest D 7.43
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 65' M 6.85
24 K. Sano K. Sano M 7.20
7 R. van Bommel R. van Bommel 83' M 6.32
20 G. Til G. Til 1 ⚽ M 7.95
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 65' M 6.64
21 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans F 6.52
Bench
37 A. Bouhamdi A. Bouhamdi F 0.00
35 A. Santos A. Santos 7' M 7.00
27 D. Man D. Man F 0.00
18 F. Kostić F. Kostić 25' M 6.77
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 25' F 6.59
41 Khadim Ngom Khadim Ngom G 0.00
2 L. Geertruida L. Geertruida D 0.00
23 M. Hansen M. Hansen F 0.00
1 N. Olij N. Olij G 0.00
42 S. Cornecion S. Cornecion 7' M 6.86
3 Yarek Gasiorowski Yarek Gasiorowski 25' D 7.11
Heerenveen Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
22 B. Klaverboer B. Klaverboer G 5.71
19 V. Zagaritis V. Zagaritis D 6.45
3 M. Willemsen M. Willemsen D 6.71
4 S. Kersten S. Kersten D 6.10
45 O. Braude O. Braude 75' D 5.84
36 N. Courtens N. Courtens 83' M 6.49
16 M. Linday M. Linday 1 ⚽ M 5.48
7 M. Rivera M. Rivera 64' M 6.65
14 L. Smans L. Smans 64' M 5.99
20 J. Trenskow J. Trenskow M 6.44
9 D. Vente D. Vente 75' F 6.25
Bench
44 A. Noppert A. Noppert G 0.00
23 D. Bladi D. Bladi D 0.00
28 H. Petrov H. Petrov D 0.00
41 J. Scholten J. Scholten D 0.00
29 L. Machine L. Machine 15' F 6.26
11 L. Oyen L. Oyen 7' F 6.26
15 M. Egbring M. Egbring 15' D 6.14
21 M. Farji M. Farji 26' F 6.36
2 M. Hilgers M. Hilgers D 0.00
10 R. Meerveld R. Meerveld 26' M 6.17
17 R. Uldriķis R. Uldriķis F 0.00
30 T. Schreuder T. Schreuder G 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Kovář
M. Kovář
G · PSV
8.14
· 45 pass
G. Til
G. Til
M · PSV
7.95
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
S. Dest
S. Dest
D · PSV
7.43
· 51 pass
K. Sano
K. Sano
M · PSV
7.20
1 shots · 59 pass
R. Flamingo
R. Flamingo
D · PSV
7.19
· 69 pass
Yarek Gasiorowski
Yarek Gasiorowski
D · PSV
7.11
· 20 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Kovář G 90 8.14 — — 0 45 36% 0 — —
Mauro Júnior D 83 6.72 — — 1 43 35% 3 — —
A. Obispo D 65 7.03 — — 0 45 40% 2 1 —
R. Flamingo D 90 7.19 — — 0 69 58% 4 — —
S. Dest D 90 7.43 — — 0 51 49% 1 — —
N. Fernandez M 65 6.85 — — 1 30 26% 3 — —
K. Sano M 90 7.20 — — 1 59 54% 2 — —
R. van Bommel M 83 6.32 — — 2 34 28% 0 — —
G. Til M 90 7.95 1 — 1 24 18% 1 — —
E. Bajraktarevic M 65 6.64 — — 2 25 22% 0 — —
S. Mijnans F 90 6.52 — — 6 32 28% 1 — —
A. Santos M 7 7.00 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
F. Kostić M 25 6.77 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
I. Perišić F 25 6.59 — — 0 19 14% 0 — —
S. Cornecion M 7 6.86 — — 1 4 4% 0 — —
Yarek Gasiorowski D 25 7.11 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
Heerenveen Heerenveen — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
B. Klaverboer G 90 5.71 — — 0 46 30% 0 — —
V. Zagaritis D 90 6.45 — — 3 30 26% 0 — —
M. Willemsen D 90 6.71 — — 0 65 61% 1 — —
S. Kersten D 90 6.10 — — 0 41 38% 3 1 —
O. Braude D 75 5.84 — — 1 32 21% 1 — —
N. Courtens M 83 6.49 — — 1 32 29% 0 — —
M. Linday M 90 5.48 1 — 1 62 56% 3 1 —
M. Rivera M 64 6.65 — — 3 16 13% 0 — —
L. Smans M 64 5.99 — — 0 15 12% 2 — —
J. Trenskow M 90 6.44 — — 0 32 28% 0 — —
D. Vente F 75 6.25 — — 2 22 18% 0 — —
L. Machine F 15 6.26 — — 0 2 1% 0 — —
L. Oyen F 7 6.26 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
M. Egbring D 15 6.14 — — 0 6 4% 1 — —
M. Farji F 26 6.36 — — 0 8 5% 1 — —
R. Meerveld M 26 6.17 — — 1 12 9% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 2–0 Heerenveen.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
The model assigned 44% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Heerenveen win.