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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 23, 2026 21:00 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
#5 · 0 pts
6 – 1
Final score
PEC Zwolle
#4 · 0 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 8'
R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 57'
S. Graves 72' (og)
E. Bajraktarevic (ast. G. Til) 73'
C. Driouech 79'
E. Bajraktarevic (ast. C. Driouech) 82'
51' Z. Buurmeester
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 77% win probability (draw 12%, PEC Zwolle 9%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PEC Zwolle.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
11
Shots on target
4
1.90
Actual xG
0.81
3
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
4
Corners
4
16
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic
8'
41'
A. Garcia MacNulty
51'
Z. Buurmeester⚽
⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic
57'
↕ J. Veerman / I. Perisic
69'
70'
T. Gooijer / R. Thomas ↕
⚽S. Graves (og)
72'
⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. G. Til
73'
⚽C. Driouech
79'
↕ Mauro Junior / J. Bawuah
80'
↕ G. Til / J. Koller
81'
↕ R. Pepi / M. Boadu
81'
⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. C. Driouech
82'
83'
T. Velthuis / O. Aertssen ↕
83'
T. Buitink / K. de Rooij ↕
I. Perisic
89'
Pre-match prediction
77.42%
PSV ←
12.87%
X
9.72%
PEC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 77.42% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
3.02
1.90
-1.12
PEC
0.93
0.81
-0.12
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Cambuur Cambuur 0 0
2 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0 0
3 Telstar Telstar 0 0
4 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0 0
5 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0 0
6 Ajax Ajax 0 0
7 Twente Twente 0 0
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0 0
9 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0 0
10 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
11 Utrecht Utrecht 0 0
12 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
13 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0 0
14 Willem II Willem II 0 0
15 Excelsior Excelsior 0 0
16 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 0 0
17 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 0 0
18 Groningen Groningen 0 0
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.60
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 80' D 7.70
3
D 6.60
6 Ryan Flamingo Ryan Flamingo D 7.30
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia D 6.60
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 69' M 7.20
35 Joel Van Den Berg Joel Van Den Berg M 6.60
11 Couhaib Driouech Couhaib Driouech 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
20 G. Til G. Til 1 👟 81' M 6.70
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 2 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.90
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 2 ⚽ 81' F 9.20
Bench
27 D. Man D. Man F
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 21' F 6.30
56 Jim Koller Jim Koller 9' M 6.70
52 Jordy Bawuah Jordy Bawuah 10' M 6.60
21 Myron Boadu Myron Boadu 9' F 6.50
36
Wessel Kuhn D
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1
16
G 5.20
2 S. Floranus S. Floranus D 5.70
4 Anselmo Garcia McNulty Anselmo Garcia McNulty D 5.30
28 Simon Graves Simon Graves 1 ⚽ D 5.00
3 Olivier Aertssen Olivier Aertssen 83' D 5.90
8 Zico Buurmeester Zico Buurmeester 1 ⚽ M 7.00
30 R. Thomas R. Thomas 70' M 7.00
22 Kaj de Rooij Kaj de Rooij 83' M 6.50
25 Thijs Oosting Thijs Oosting M 6.50
18 Odysseus Velanas Odysseus Velanas M 6.30
10 K. Kostons K. Kostons F 6.60
Bench
6 T. Gooijer T. Gooijer 20' D 5.60
5 Tijs Velthuis Tijs Velthuis 9' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
E. Bajraktarevic
E. Bajraktarevic
M · PSV
9.90
2 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots · 49 pass
R. Pepi
R. Pepi
F · PSV
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
Couhaib Driouech
Couhaib Driouech
M · PSV
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 48 pass
Mauro Júnior
Mauro Júnior
D · PSV
7.70
1 shots · 84 pass
G · PSV
7.60
· 47 pass
Ryan Flamingo
Ryan Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 129 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 47 45% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 80 7.70 — — 1 84 75% 3 — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 91 84% 1 — —
Ryan Flamingo D 90 7.30 — — — 129 118% 2 — —
K. Sildillia D 90 6.60 — — — 62 54% 3 — —
J. Veerman M 69 7.20 — — — 70 63% — — —
Joel Van Den Berg M 90 6.60 — — 1 37 31% 1 — —
Couhaib Driouech M 90 8.20 1 1 2 48 44% 2 — —
G. Til M 81 6.70 — 1 1 36 31% 2 — —
E. Bajraktarevic M 90 9.90 2 2 3 49 45% — — —
R. Pepi F 81 9.20 2 — 3 18 17% 1 — —
I. Perišić F 21 6.30 — — — 18 16% — 1 —
Jim Koller M 9 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Jordy Bawuah M 10 6.60 — — 1 4 3% 1 — —
Myron Boadu F 9 6.50 — — — — — — — —
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.20 — — — 33 16% — — —
S. Floranus D 90 5.70 — — — 39 34% 2 — —
Anselmo Garcia McNulty D 90 5.30 — — — 38 32% 2 1 —
Simon Graves D 90 5.00 1 — — 37 32% — — —
Olivier Aertssen D 83 5.90 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
Zico Buurmeester M 90 7.00 1 — 1 26 23% 3 — —
R. Thomas M 70 7.00 — — — 34 30% 3 — —
Kaj de Rooij M 83 6.50 — — — 34 28% 2 — —
Thijs Oosting M 90 6.50 — — 1 29 26% 1 — —
Odysseus Velanas M 90 6.30 — — 1 20 14% 4 — —
K. Kostons F 90 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
T. Gooijer D 20 5.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
Tijs Velthuis D 9 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
The model assigned 77% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an PEC Zwolle win.