PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle — pre-match prediction — Eredivisie — April 23, 2026

← Eredivisie

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 23, 2026 21:00 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven

#2 · 13 pts

6 – 1

Final score

PEC Zwolle

#13 · 4 pts

✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven

R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 8'

R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 57'

S. Graves 72' (og)

E. Bajraktarevic (ast. G. Til) 73'

C. Driouech 79'

E. Bajraktarevic (ast. C. Driouech) 82'

51' Z. Buurmeester

Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 77% win probability (draw 12%, PEC Zwolle 9%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PEC Zwolle.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.90

Actual xG

0.81

Saves

67%

Possession

33%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic

41'

A. Garcia MacNulty

51'

Z. Buurmeester⚽

⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic

57'

↕ J. Veerman / I. Perisic

69'

70'

T. Gooijer / R. Thomas ↕

⚽S. Graves (og)

72'

⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. G. Til

73'

⚽C. Driouech

79'

↕ Mauro Junior / J. Bawuah

80'

↕ G. Til / J. Koller

81'

↕ R. Pepi / M. Boadu

81'

⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. C. Driouech

82'

83'

T. Velthuis / O. Aertssen ↕

83'

T. Buitink / K. de Rooij ↕

I. Perisic

89'

Pre-match prediction

77.42%

PSV ←

12.87%

9.72%

PEC

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 77.42% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

PSV

3.02

1.90

-1.12

PEC

0.93

0.81

-0.12

PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	6	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	13
3	Twente	6	13
4	Feyenoord	5	11
5	Excelsior	5	10
6	Fortuna Sittard	5	10
7	GO Ahead Eagles	5	8
8	Ajax	4	7
9	NEC Nijmegen	5	7
10	Groningen	5	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	5
12	Heerenveen	5	5
13	PEC Zwolle	5	4
14	Telstar	5	4
15	Utrecht	5	2
16	Willem II	5	2
17	Cambuur	5	1
18	ADO Den Haag	6	1

Lineups

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

G 7.60

Mauro Júnior 80' D 7.70

D 6.60

R. Flamingo D 7.30

Kiliann Sildillia D 6.60

J. Veerman 69' M 7.20

J. van den Berg M 6.60

C. Driouech 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20

G. Til 1 👟 81' M 6.70

E. Bajraktarevic 2 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.90

R. Pepi 2 ⚽ 81' F 9.20

Bench

D. Man F

I. Perišić 21' F 6.30

J. Koller 9' M 6.70

Jordy Bawuah 10' M 6.60

Myron Boadu 9' F 6.50

Wessel Kuhn D

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

G 5.20

S. Floranus D 5.70

A. MacNulty D 5.30

S. Graves 1 ⚽ D 5.00

O. Aertssen 83' D 5.90

Zico Buurmeester 1 ⚽ M 7.00

R. Thomas 70' M 7.00

Kaj de Rooij 83' M 6.50

T. Oosting M 6.50

O. Velanas M 6.30

K. Kostons F 6.60

Bench

T. Gooijer 20' D 5.60

T. Velthuis 9' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

E. Bajraktarevic

M · PSV

9.90

2 ⚽ 2 👟

3 shots · 49 pass

R. Pepi

F · PSV

9.20

2 ⚽

3 shots · 18 pass

C. Driouech

M · PSV

8.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 48 pass

Mauro Júnior

D · PSV

7.70

1 shots · 84 pass

G · PSV

7.60

· 47 pass

R. Flamingo

D · PSV

7.30

· 129 pass

PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	7.60	—	—	—	47	45%	—	—	—
Mauro Júnior	D	80	7.70	—	—	1	84	75%	3	—	—
	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	91	84%	1	—	—
R. Flamingo	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	129	118%	2	—	—
Kiliann Sildillia	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	62	54%	3	—	—
J. Veerman	M	69	7.20	—	—	—	70	63%	—	—	—
J. van den Berg	M	90	6.60	—	—	1	37	31%	1	—	—
C. Driouech	M	90	8.20	1	1	2	48	44%	2	—	—
G. Til	M	81	6.70	—	1	1	36	31%	2	—	—
E. Bajraktarevic	M	90	9.90	2	2	3	49	45%	—	—	—
R. Pepi	F	81	9.20	2	—	3	18	17%	1	—	—
I. Perišić	F	21	6.30	—	—	—	18	16%	—	1	—
J. Koller	M	9	6.70	—	—	—	2	2%	—	—	—
Jordy Bawuah	M	10	6.60	—	—	1	4	3%	1	—	—
Myron Boadu	F	9	6.50	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

PEC Zwolle — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	5.20	—	—	—	33	16%	—	—	—
S. Floranus	D	90	5.70	—	—	—	39	34%	2	—	—
A. MacNulty	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	38	32%	2	1	—
S. Graves	D	90	5.00	1	—	—	37	32%	—	—	—
O. Aertssen	D	83	5.90	—	—	1	18	13%	2	—	—
Zico Buurmeester	M	90	7.00	1	—	1	26	23%	3	—	—
R. Thomas	M	70	7.00	—	—	—	34	30%	3	—	—
Kaj de Rooij	M	83	6.50	—	—	—	34	28%	2	—	—
T. Oosting	M	90	6.50	—	—	1	29	26%	1	—	—
O. Velanas	M	90	6.30	—	—	1	20	14%	4	—	—
K. Kostons	F	90	6.60	—	—	—	21	18%	1	—	—
T. Gooijer	D	20	5.60	—	—	—	9	6%	—	—	—
T. Velthuis	D	9	6.60	—	—	—	1	1%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?

The final score was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle.

What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?

The model assigned 77% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an PEC Zwolle win.