← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 23, 2026 23:00
PSV Eindhoven
#1 · 81 pts
6 – 1
Final score
PEC Zwolle
#13 · 37 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 8'
R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 57'
S. Graves 72' (og)
E. Bajraktarevic (ast. G. Til) 73'
C. Driouech 79'
E. Bajraktarevic (ast. C. Driouech) 82'
51' Z. Buurmeester

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 77% win probability (draw 12%, PEC Zwolle 9%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PEC Zwolle.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
11
Shots on target
4
1.90
Actual xG
0.81
3
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
4
Corners
4
16
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic
8'
41'
A. Garcia MacNulty
51'
Z. Buurmeester⚽
⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic
57'
↕ J. Veerman / I. Perisic
69'
70'
T. Gooijer / R. Thomas ↕
⚽S. Graves (og)
72'
⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. G. Til
73'
⚽C. Driouech
79'
↕ Mauro Junior / J. Bawuah
80'
↕ G. Til / J. Koller
81'
↕ R. Pepi / M. Boadu
81'
⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. C. Driouech
82'
83'
T. Velthuis / O. Aertssen ↕
83'
T. Buitink / K. de Rooij ↕
I. Perisic
89'
Pre-match prediction
77.42%
PSV ←
12.87%
X
9.72%
PEC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 77.42% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
3.02
1.90
-1.12
PEC
0.93
0.81
-0.12
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.60
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 80' D 7.70
3
D 6.60
6 Ryan Flamingo Ryan Flamingo D 7.30
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia D 6.60
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 69' M 7.20
35 Joel Van Den Berg Joel Van Den Berg M 6.60
11 Couhaib Driouech Couhaib Driouech 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
20 G. Til G. Til 1 👟 81' M 6.70
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 2 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.90
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 2 ⚽ 81' F 9.20
Bench
27 D. Man D. Man F
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 21' F 6.30
56 Jim Koller Jim Koller 9' M 6.70
52 Jordy Bawuah Jordy Bawuah 10' M 6.60
21 Myron Boadu Myron Boadu 9' F 6.50
36
Wessel Kuhn D
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1
16
G 5.20
2
S. Floranus D 5.70
4 Anselmo Garcia McNulty Anselmo Garcia McNulty D 5.30
28 Simon Graves Simon Graves 1 ⚽ D 5.00
3 Olivier Aertssen Olivier Aertssen 83' D 5.90
8 Zico Buurmeester Zico Buurmeester 1 ⚽ M 7.00
30 R. Thomas R. Thomas 70' M 7.00
22 Kaj de Rooij Kaj de Rooij 83' M 6.50
25 Thijs Oosting Thijs Oosting M 6.50
18 Odysseus Velanas Odysseus Velanas M 6.30
10 K. Kostons K. Kostons F 6.60
Bench
5 Tijs Velthuis Tijs Velthuis 9' D 6.60
6 Tristan Gooijer Tristan Gooijer 20' D 5.60
Best on the pitch
E. Bajraktarevic
E. Bajraktarevic
M · PSV
9.90
2 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots · 49 pass
R. Pepi
R. Pepi
F · PSV
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
Couhaib Driouech
Couhaib Driouech
M · PSV
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 48 pass
Mauro Júnior
Mauro Júnior
D · PSV
7.70
1 shots · 84 pass
G · PSV
7.60
· 47 pass
Ryan Flamingo
Ryan Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 129 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 47 45% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 80 7.70 — — 1 84 75% 3 — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 91 84% 1 — —
Ryan Flamingo D 90 7.30 — — — 129 118% 2 — —
K. Sildillia D 90 6.60 — — — 62 54% 3 — —
J. Veerman M 69 7.20 — — — 70 63% — — —
Joel Van Den Berg M 90 6.60 — — 1 37 31% 1 — —
Couhaib Driouech M 90 8.20 1 1 2 48 44% 2 — —
G. Til M 81 6.70 — 1 1 36 31% 2 — —
E. Bajraktarevic M 90 9.90 2 2 3 49 45% — — —
R. Pepi F 81 9.20 2 — 3 18 17% 1 — —
I. Perišić F 21 6.30 — — — 18 16% — 1 —
Jim Koller M 9 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Jordy Bawuah M 10 6.60 — — 1 4 3% 1 — —
Myron Boadu F 9 6.50 — — — — — — — —
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.20 — — — 33 16% — — —
S. Floranus D 90 5.70 — — — 39 34% 2 — —
Anselmo Garcia McNulty D 90 5.30 — — — 38 32% 2 1 —
Simon Graves D 90 5.00 1 — — 37 32% — — —
Olivier Aertssen D 83 5.90 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
Zico Buurmeester M 90 7.00 1 — 1 26 23% 3 — —
R. Thomas M 70 7.00 — — — 34 30% 3 — —
Kaj de Rooij M 83 6.50 — — — 34 28% 2 — —
Thijs Oosting M 90 6.50 — — 1 29 26% 1 — —
Odysseus Velanas M 90 6.30 — — 1 20 14% 4 — —
K. Kostons F 90 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
Tijs Velthuis D 9 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
Tristan Gooijer D 20 5.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
The model assigned 77% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an PEC Zwolle win.