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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 31 April 23, 2026 21:00 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
#3 · 20 pts
6 – 1
Final score
PEC Zwolle
#15 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 8'
R. Pepi (ast. E. Bajraktarevic) 57'
S. Graves 72' (og)
E. Bajraktarevic (ast. G. Til) 73'
C. Driouech 79'
E. Bajraktarevic (ast. C. Driouech) 82'
51' Z. Buurmeester
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 77% win probability (draw 12%, PEC Zwolle 9%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle. In 1 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for PEC Zwolle.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
11
Shots on target
4
1.90
Actual xG
0.81
3
Saves
5
67%
Possession
33%
4
Corners
4
16
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic
8'
41'
A. Garcia MacNulty
51'
Z. Buurmeester⚽
⚽R. Pepi · ast. E. Bajraktarevic
57'
↕ J. Veerman / I. Perisic
69'
70'
T. Gooijer / R. Thomas ↕
⚽S. Graves (og)
72'
⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. G. Til
73'
⚽C. Driouech
79'
↕ Mauro Junior / J. Bawuah
80'
↕ G. Til / J. Koller
81'
↕ R. Pepi / M. Boadu
81'
⚽E. Bajraktarevic · ast. C. Driouech
82'
83'
T. Velthuis / O. Aertssen ↕
83'
T. Buitink / K. de Rooij ↕
I. Perisic
89'
Pre-match prediction
77.42%
PSV ←
12.87%
X
9.72%
PEC
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 77.42% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
3.02
1.90
-1.12
PEC
0.93
0.81
-0.12
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.81). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
1
G 7.60
17 Mauro Júnior Mauro Júnior 80' D 7.70
3
D 6.60
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo D 7.30
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia D 6.60
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 69' M 7.20
35 J. van den Berg J. van den Berg M 6.60
11 C. Driouech C. Driouech 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.20
20 G. Til G. Til 1 👟 81' M 6.70
19 E. Bajraktarevic E. Bajraktarevic 2 ⚽ 2 👟 M 9.90
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 2 ⚽ 81' F 9.20
Bench
27 D. Man D. Man F
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 21' F 6.30
56 J. Koller J. Koller 9' M 6.70
52 Jordy Bawuah Jordy Bawuah 10' M 6.60
21 M. Boadu M. Boadu 9' F 6.50
36
Wessel Kuhn D
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1
16
G 5.20
2 S. Floranus S. Floranus D 5.70
4 A. MacNulty A. MacNulty D 5.30
28 Simon Graves Simon Graves 1 ⚽ D 5.00
3 Olivier Aertssen Olivier Aertssen 83' D 5.90
8 Zico Buurmeester Zico Buurmeester 1 ⚽ M 7.00
30 Ryan Thomas Ryan Thomas 70' M 7.00
22 Kaj de Rooij Kaj de Rooij 83' M 6.50
25 Thijs Oosting Thijs Oosting M 6.50
18 Odysseus Velanas Odysseus Velanas M 6.30
10 Koen Kostons Koen Kostons F 6.60
Bench
5 Tijs Velthuis Tijs Velthuis 9' D 6.60
6 Tristan Gooijer Tristan Gooijer 20' D 5.60
Best on the pitch
E. Bajraktarevic
E. Bajraktarevic
M · PSV
9.90
2 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots · 49 pass
R. Pepi
R. Pepi
F · PSV
9.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 18 pass
C. Driouech
C. Driouech
M · PSV
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 48 pass
Mauro Júnior
Mauro Júnior
D · PSV
7.70
1 shots · 84 pass
G · PSV
7.60
· 47 pass
R. Flamingo
R. Flamingo
D · PSV
7.30
· 129 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.60 — — — 47 45% — — —
Mauro Júnior D 80 7.70 — — 1 84 75% 3 — —
D 90 6.60 — — — 91 84% 1 — —
R. Flamingo D 90 7.30 — — — 129 118% 2 — —
K. Sildillia D 90 6.60 — — — 62 54% 3 — —
J. Veerman M 69 7.20 — — — 70 63% — — —
J. van den Berg M 90 6.60 — — 1 37 31% 1 — —
C. Driouech M 90 8.20 1 1 2 48 44% 2 — —
G. Til M 81 6.70 — 1 1 36 31% 2 — —
E. Bajraktarevic M 90 9.90 2 2 3 49 45% — — —
R. Pepi F 81 9.20 2 — 3 18 17% 1 — —
I. Perišić F 21 6.30 — — — 18 16% — 1 —
J. Koller M 9 6.70 — — — 2 2% — — —
Jordy Bawuah M 10 6.60 — — 1 4 3% 1 — —
M. Boadu F 9 6.50 — — — — — — — —
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 5.20 — — — 33 16% — — —
S. Floranus D 90 5.70 — — — 39 34% 2 — —
A. MacNulty D 90 5.30 — — — 38 32% 2 1 —
Simon Graves D 90 5.00 1 — — 37 32% — — —
Olivier Aertssen D 83 5.90 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
Zico Buurmeester M 90 7.00 1 — 1 26 23% 3 — —
Ryan Thomas M 70 7.00 — — — 34 30% 3 — —
Kaj de Rooij M 83 6.50 — — — 34 28% 2 — —
Thijs Oosting M 90 6.50 — — 1 29 26% 1 — —
Odysseus Velanas M 90 6.30 — — 1 20 14% 4 — —
Koen Kostons F 90 6.60 — — — 21 18% 1 — —
Tijs Velthuis D 9 6.60 — — — 1 1% — — —
Tristan Gooijer D 20 5.60 — — — 9 6% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 6–1 PEC Zwolle.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs PEC Zwolle?
The model assigned 77% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 12% to a draw, and 9% to an PEC Zwolle win.