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PSV Eindhoven - Shakhtar Donetsk

Champions League September 10, 2026 18:45
PSV Eindhoven
#22 · 0 pts
vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
#26 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.94%
Win
PSV Eindhoven
33.02%
Draw
24.03%
Win
Shakhtar Donetsk
1.03
Expected xG
0.54

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (16.72%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 33%
2 24%
Double Chance
1X 76%
X2 57%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives PSV Eindhoven a 42% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 24% for Shakhtar Donetsk. Expected goals are 1.0 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.5 for Shakhtar Donetsk (total 1.6), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.72% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ PSV Eindhoven Shakhtar Donetsk →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.8% 11.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 21.5% 11.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 11.1% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% — —
3 3.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% — —
4 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% — — —
5 0.2% 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
L Bayern München 1–2
L Newcastle 3–0
L Atletico Madrid 2–3
W Liverpool 1–4
D Olympiakos Piraeus 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 19%
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
No data available
Away clean sheet (120 days) 47%

Playing profile

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
Attack
73
Defence
63
Form
60
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
Attack
34
Defence
86
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Manchester City Manchester City 1 3
2 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1 3
3 Real Betis Real Betis 1 3
4 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 1 3
5 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1 3
6 AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC 1 3
7 Arsenal Arsenal 0 0
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0 0
9 Barcelona Barcelona 0 0
10 Bayern München Bayern München 0 0
11 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 0 0
12 Como Como 0 0
13 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 0 0
14 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0 0
15 Galatasaray Galatasaray 0 0
16 RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 0 0
17 Lens Lens 0 0
18 Liverpool Liverpool 0 0
19 Manchester United Manchester United 0 0
20 Napoli Napoli 0 0
21 Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 0 0
22 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 0 0
23 AS Roma AS Roma 0 0
24 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0 0
25 Sabah FA Sabah FA 0 0
26 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0
27 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 0 0
28 Sporting CP Sporting CP 0 0
29 VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart 0 0
30 Viking Viking 0 0
31 Villarreal Villarreal 1 0
32 Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 1 0
33 Lille Lille 1 0
34 Inter Inter 1 0
35 Lask Linz Lask Linz 1 0
36 FC Porto FC Porto 1 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model gives PSV Eindhoven a 42% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 24% for an Shakhtar Donetsk win.
How many goals are expected in PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Expected goals: PSV Eindhoven 1.0, Shakhtar Donetsk 0.5 (total 1.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in PSV Eindhoven vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.72%.