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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 34 May 17, 2026 14:30 Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
#3 · 20 pts
5 – 1
Final score
Twente
#4 · 20 pts
✓Model correct — prediction PSV Eindhoven
R. Flamingo (ast. I. Perisic) 15'
N. Fernandez (ast. K. Sildillia) 44'
D. Man (ast. I. Perisic) 53'
G. Til (ast. D. Man) 56'
R. Pepi 84' (pen.)
16' (ast. D. Weidmann) S. Orjasaeter
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave PSV Eindhoven a 56% win probability (draw 18%, Twente 24%). The final result was PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Twente. In 2 previous meetings, PSV Eindhoven have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Twente.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
6
2.57
Actual xG
1.42
5
Saves
3
52%
Possession
48%
12
Corners
9
7
Tackles
14
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽R. Flamingo · ast. I. Perisic
15'
16'
ast. D. Weidmann · S. Orjasaeter⚽
22'
S. Dest
33'
⚽N. Fernandez · ast. K. Sildillia
44'
↕ K. Sildillia / A. Salah-Eddine
46'
⚽D. Man · ast. I. Perisic
53'
⚽G. Til · ast. D. Man
56'
63'
M. Kjolo / D. Weidmann ↕
65'
S. Lemkin
↕ G. Til / J. Veerman
71'
↕ N. Fernandez / I. Saibari
71'
↕ I. Perisic / C. Driouech
71'
73'
R. van Wolfswinkel / R. Zerrouki ↕
73'
A. Verschueren / S. Orjasaeter ↕
↕ D. Man / M. Boadu
77'
⚽R. Pepi (pen.)
84'
88'
M. Pjaca / R. Nijstad ↕
88'
R. Propper / K. Hlynsson ↕
Pre-match prediction
56.57%
PSV ←
18.92%
X
24.51%
Twente
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (PSV Eindhoven) 56.57% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
PSV
2.65
2.57
-0.08
Twente
1.59
1.42
-0.17
PSV Eindhoven dominated by xG (2.57 vs 1.42). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1
32 M. Kovář M. Kovář G 8.30
8 S. Dest S. Dest D 7.20
3 Yarek Gasiorowski Yarek Gasiorowski D 6.90
6 R. Flamingo R. Flamingo 1 ⚽ D 7.70
25 K. Sildillia K. Sildillia 1 👟 45' D 6.70
31 N. Fernandez N. Fernandez 1 ⚽ 71' M 8.00
10 P. Wanner P. Wanner M 7.90
5 I. Perišić I. Perišić 2 👟 71' M 8.00
20 G. Til G. Til 1 ⚽ 71' M 7.60
27 D. Man D. Man 1 ⚽ 1 👟 77' M 7.30
9 R. Pepi R. Pepi 1 ⚽ F 7.20
Bench
4 A. Obispo A. Obispo D
2 A. Salah-Eddine A. Salah-Eddine 45' D 7.20
11 C. Driouech C. Driouech 19' F 6.30
34 I. Saibari I. Saibari 19' M 7.30
56 J. Koller J. Koller M
52 Jordy Bawuah Jordy Bawuah M
35 J. van den Berg J. van den Berg M
23 J. Veerman J. Veerman 19' M 6.70
21 M. Boadu M. Boadu 13' F 6.30
24 Niek Schiks Niek Schiks G
1 N. Olij N. Olij G
Twente Twente 4-2-3-1
22 Przemysław Tytoń Przemysław Tytoń G 5.60
39 M. Rots M. Rots D 5.90
43 R. Nijstad R. Nijstad 88' D 5.70
23
Stav Lemkin D 5.30
28 B. van Rooij B. van Rooij D 6.60
42 D. Weidmann D. Weidmann 1 👟 63' M 6.30
6 R. Zerrouki R. Zerrouki 73' M 6.30
27 S. Ørjasæter S. Ørjasæter 1 ⚽ 73' M 7.20
14 K. Hlynsson K. Hlynsson 88' M 5.90
11 D. Rots D. Rots M 6.20
10 Sam Lammers Sam Lammers F 6.30
Bench
32 A. Verschueren A. Verschueren 17' M 6.50
12 Guilherme Peixoto Guilherme Peixoto D
25 Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink F
38 M. Bruns M. Bruns D
4 M. Kjølø M. Kjølø 27' M 6.20
7 M. Pjaca M. Pjaca 2' F
3 R. Pröpper R. Pröpper 2' D
9 R. van Wolfswinkel R. van Wolfswinkel 17' F 6.50
21 Sam Karssies Sam Karssies G
8 T. Booth T. Booth F
20 T. van den Belt T. van den Belt M
31 Yannick Gerritsen Yannick Gerritsen G
Best on the pitch
M. Kovář
M. Kovář
G · PSV
8.30
· 38 pass
N. Fernandez
N. Fernandez
M · PSV
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
I. Perišić
I. Perišić
M · PSV
8.00
2 👟
· 22 pass
P. Wanner
P. Wanner
M · PSV
7.90
2 shots · 39 pass
R. Flamingo
R. Flamingo
D · PSV
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 36 pass
G. Til
G. Til
M · PSV
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 16 pass
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Kovář G 90 8.30 — — — 38 35% — — —
S. Dest D 90 7.20 — — — 42 35% — 1 —
Yarek Gasiorowski D 90 6.90 — — 1 41 35% 2 — —
R. Flamingo D 90 7.70 1 — 1 36 33% — — —
K. Sildillia D 45 6.70 — 1 — 24 17% 1 — —
N. Fernandez M 71 8.00 1 — 1 25 21% — — —
P. Wanner M 90 7.90 — — 2 39 32% 2 — —
I. Perišić M 71 8.00 — 2 — 22 18% — — —
G. Til M 71 7.60 1 — 1 16 11% — — —
D. Man M 77 7.30 1 1 1 22 15% — — —
R. Pepi F 90 7.20 1 — 3 18 12% 1 — —
A. Salah-Eddine D 45 7.20 — — — 23 15% — — —
C. Driouech F 19 6.30 — — — 8 6% — — —
I. Saibari M 19 7.30 — — 2 9 8% — — —
J. Veerman M 19 6.70 — — — 20 17% 1 — —
M. Boadu F 13 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
Twente Twente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Przemysław Tytoń G 90 5.60 — — — 37 23% — — —
M. Rots D 90 5.90 — — — 31 25% 1 — —
R. Nijstad D 88 5.70 — — 2 44 37% 1 — —
Stav Lemkin D 90 5.30 — — — 34 31% 1 1 —
B. van Rooij D 90 6.60 — — 1 44 37% 3 — —
D. Weidmann M 63 6.30 — 1 1 22 19% — — —
R. Zerrouki M 73 6.30 — — 1 27 18% 1 — —
S. Ørjasæter M 73 7.20 1 — 3 14 9% — — —
K. Hlynsson M 88 5.90 — — 2 24 19% 3 — —
D. Rots M 90 6.20 — — — 25 14% 2 — —
Sam Lammers F 90 6.30 — — 1 26 20% 2 — —
A. Verschueren M 17 6.50 — — — 8 7% — — —
M. Kjølø M 27 6.20 — — 1 8 4% — — —
M. Pjaca F 2 — — — — 1 1% — — —
R. Pröpper D 2 — — — 1 — — — — —
R. van Wolfswinkel F 17 6.50 — — — 8 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?
The final score was PSV Eindhoven 5–1 Twente.
What did the model predict before PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?
The model assigned 56% probability to a PSV Eindhoven win, 18% to a draw, and 24% to an Twente win.