Liga MX
· Clausura - 17
April 25, 2026 05:00
B. Garnica
10'
55'
(ast. E. Perez)
A. Avila
79'
(ast. A. Avila)
D. Parra
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Puebla a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Club Queretaro 32%). The final result was Puebla 1–2 Club Queretaro. In 1 previous meetings, Puebla have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Club Queretaro.
Match statistics
3
Total shots
17
2
Shots on target
6
0.87
Actual xG
2.95
3
Saves
1
40%
Possession
60%
3
Corners
12
18
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽B. Garnica
10'
15'
Nicolás Díaz
16'
Bryan Garnica
16'
46'
L. Rodriguez
/
C. Garcia
46'
E. Perez
/
J. Cazares
55'
ast. E. Perez ·
A. Avila⚽
57'
E. Lozano
/ L. Rey
58'
61'
J. Gomez
/
J. Unjanque
A. Gamarra
/ J. R. Pachuca Martinez
72'
72'
J. Robles
/
B. Duarte
A. Organista
/ C. Baltazar
73'
79'
ast. A. Avila ·
D. Parra⚽
81'
84'
B. Parra
/
S. Homenchenko
F. Monarrez
/ E. Mustre
90'
Pre-match prediction
34.41%
Puebla
33.06%
X
32.52%
Club ←
we assigned to the actual result (Club Queretaro)
32.52%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
0.87
-0.05
0.93
2.95
+2.02
Club Queretaro dominated by xG (2.95 vs 0.87).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
28
G
7
F. Monarrez
89'
D
4
J. Vargas
D
6
N. Diaz
D
12
I. Moreno
D
16
A. Ramirez
M
11
E. Gomez
M
24
A. Organista
73'
M
18
A. Gamarra
72'
M
27
B. Garnica
1 ⚽
16'
M
17
E. Lozano
58'
F
Bench
20
J. R. Pachuca Martinez
18'
D
1
G
27
Daniel Parra
1 ⚽
D
2
L. Abascia
D
9
D
22
Bayron Duarte
72'
D
190
J. Cazares
45'
M
4
C. Garcia
45'
M
6
S. Homenchenko
84'
M
14
J. Unjanque
61'
M
37
M. Coronel
F
31
A. Avila
1 ⚽
1 👟
F
Bench
10
Lucas Rodríguez
45'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Vargas
D · Puebla
7.30
· 39 pass
A. Ramirez
M · Puebla
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
L. Abascia
D · Club
7.30
· 78 pass
Daniel Parra
D · Club
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 52 pass
N. Diaz
D · Puebla
7.20
· 38 pass
A. Avila
F · Club
7.00
1 ⚽ 1 👟
5 shots
· 23 pass
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| F. Monarrez | D | 89 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Diaz | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 6 | — | — |
| A. Ramirez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| E. Gomez | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Organista | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gamarra | M | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 16 | 5.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | 1 |
| E. Lozano | F | 58 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. R. Pachuca Martinez | D | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
Club Queretaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Parra | D | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 52 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Abascia | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 78 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 59% | — | — | — | |
| Bayron Duarte | D | 72 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Cazares | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| C. Garcia | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Homenchenko | M | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| J. Unjanque | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Coronel | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 27% | — | — | — |
| A. Avila | F | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Rodríguez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Puebla vs Club Queretaro?
The final score was Puebla 1–2 Club Queretaro.
What did the model predict before Puebla vs Club Queretaro?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Puebla win, 33% to a draw, and 32% to an Club Queretaro win.